Week 12 predictions for every D-I/FBS college football game
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Each Monday morning, Whatifsports.com's NCAA college football simulation engine will provide you with game predictions for every D-1 FBS game that upcoming week. The college football simulation engine generates detailed information for each game including the home team's chances of winning (Home Win%) and the average points scored for both teams. Make sure to share the college football information you gained here with your friends by either checking out our NCAA football widgets on the WhatIf To Go page or clicking on the social networking share bar at the top and bottom of this article.
Check out our 2010 College Football Season-to-Date page to follow our accuracy and for Locks and Upsets of the Week available on Wednesdays.
The statistical inputs to the thousands of college football simulations are based on rigorous analysis of each team's roster, depth charts and statistically based player rankings. Roster modifications are made in cases of injury or suspension and those player's are removed from their team's game simulation for that week.
Game of the Week: Ohio State at Iowa (featuring Wisconsin at Michigan)
Sometimes you just need a little help from your friends. But when those friends happen to be your hated rival and a team 99-percent of your fan base would rather see on the back of a 1980s milk carton than on a football field, the Joe Cocker-esque request for assistance may fall on deaf ears.
But like today's politicians reaching across the aisle to help each other's cause or the recent pop culture faux pas when rapper Eminem produced a duet with pop sensations, Pink and Rihanna, Ohio State's temptation to dance with the Maize and Blue devil is warranted, if only, for survival.
The Buckeyes, who some considered BCS title contenders three months ago, need Michigan to beat Wisconsin this week at the Big House (or see Northwestern knock off the Badgers next week) to have a shot at sharing the Big Ten crown with Michigan State (assuming the Bucks and Spartans win out).
I know there are a lot of "what-ifs" in the previous paragraph, but these scenarios are our specialty.
Forgetting Ohio State's collaboration with the Wolverines for just a second, the Buckeyes need to take care of their own business at Iowa. The last time Jim Tressel's team left the state to face a ranked opponent; the Badgers brought the shock and awe with an opening kickoff return for a touchdown and a ground attack (188 yards and 3 TDs) that controlled the clock and sucked the life out of Ohio State.
The 31-18 loss in Madison placed OSU in a rare Big Ten predicament. They would need others to help their post-season cause instead of controlling their own destiny within the conference.
As for Iowa, the Hawkeyes have bungled their shot at the conference crown the last two weeks. A sub-par effort at Indiana required a late fourth-quarter touchdown pass from Rick Stanzi to bounce out of Bloomington with an 18-13 win. However, head coach Kirk Ferentz would watch Rose Bowl aspirations wilt away this past Saturday when Northwestern challenged the Hawkeyes for 60 minutes and rallied for the 21-17 upset win to drop Iowa to 7-3 (4-2 Big Ten).
Although the Buckeyes and Hawkeyes both rank in the top ten in points allowed per game, 5th (13.6) and 7th (15.0) respectively, Ohio State outranks their opponent in passing and rushing yards allowed per game in addition to the number of defensive interceptions (17 compared to 15).
Using our college football simulation engine, we simulated Ohio State versus Iowa 101 times and in one of the closest Game of the Week results, the Buckeyes win 57.4-percent of the time by an average score of 26-22.
Considering Wisconsin absolutely annihilated Indiana last weekend, to learn the Badgers are favored to win 89.1-percent of the time by an average score of 43-23 over Michigan isn't an unexpected simulation revelation.
It's just disappointing that, for just one week, those two crazy kids from opposite sides of the track couldn't work together to achieve a common goal.
Not to worry, I'm sure those clad in scarlet and grey have something in store for their "friends" from Ann Arbor on November 27th.
College Football Week 12
|Duke Blue Devils||16.8||22||Boxscore|
|@ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets||83.2||35|
|North Carolina State Wolfpack||18.3||23||Boxscore|
|@ North Carolina Tar Heels||81.7||34|
|@ Boston College Eagles||56.4||22|
|Virginia Tech Hokies||57.9||32||Boxscore|
|@ Miami (FL) Hurricanes||42.1||27|
|@ Wake Forest Demon Deacons||20.8||21|
|Florida State Seminoles||85.1||39||Boxscore|
|@ Maryland Terrapins||14.9||26|
|Rutgers Scarlet Knights||14.4||17||Boxscore|
|@ Cincinnati Bearcats||85.6||29|
|@ Syracuse Orange||49.5||23|
|West Virginia Mountaineers||74.3||29||Boxscore|
|@ Louisville Cardinals||25.7||18|
|@ South Florida Bulls||17.8||19|
|Illinois Fighting Illini||13.9||19||Boxscore|
|@ Northwestern Wildcats||86.1||33|
|@ Michigan State Spartans||84.2||33|
|Ohio State Buckeyes||57.4||26||Boxscore|
|@ Iowa Hawkeyes||42.6||22|
|@ Michigan Wolverines||10.9||23|
|Penn State Nittany Lions||92.1||36||Boxscore|
|@ Indiana Hoosiers||7.9||19|
|Eastern Michigan Eagles||7.9||12||Boxscore|
|@ Buffalo Bulls||92.1||29|
|Bowling Green Falcons||27.7||20||Boxscore|
|@ Toledo Rockets||72.3||28|
|@ Temple Owls||53.5||27|
|Miami (OH) RedHawks||60.4||23||Boxscore|
|@ Akron Zips||39.6||19|
|Kent State Golden Flashes||66.3||23||Boxscore|
|@ Western Michigan Broncos||33.7||16|
|Northern Illinois Huskies||95.0||40||Boxscore|
|@ Ball State Cardinals||5.0||11|
|@ Oregon State Beavers||41.1||24|
|@ Washington Huskies||24.8||20|
|@ California Golden Bears||12.9||20|
|Georgia State Panthers||5.0||6||Boxscore|
|@ Alabama Crimson Tide||95.0||63|
|Appalachian State Mountaineers||5.0||6||Boxscore|
|@ Florida Gators||95.0||54|
|@ South Carolina Gamecocks||95.0||43|
|@ LSU Tigers||86.1||34|
|@ Mississippi State Bulldogs||19.8||31|
|@ Vanderbilt Commodores||13.9||14|
|New Mexico State Aggies||5.0||13||Boxscore|
|@ Nevada Wolf Pack||95.0||51|
|Fresno State Bulldogs||6.9||24||Boxscore|
|@ Boise State Broncos||93.1||45|
|San Jose State Spartans||7.9||17||Boxscore|
|@ Hawaii Warriors||92.1||38|
|@ Utah State Aggies||35.6||32|
|Army Black Knights||11.9||15||Boxscore|
|@ Notre Dame Fighting Irish||88.1||31|
|Arkansas State Red Wolves||46.5||29||Boxscore|
|@ Navy Midshipmen||53.5||30|
|Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders||79.2||32||Boxscore|
|@ Western Kentucky Hilltoppers||20.8||21|
|Weber State Wildcats||5.0||6||Boxscore|
|@ Texas Tech Red Raiders||95.0||56|
|Florida Atlantic Owls||7.9||16||Boxscore|
|@ Texas Longhorns||92.1||36|
|@ Texas A&M Aggies||56.4||27|
|Kansas State Wildcats||48.5||22||Boxscore|
|@ Colorado Buffaloes||51.5||23|
|@ Baylor Bears||30.7||27|
|@ Iowa State Cyclones||6.9||16|
|Oklahoma State Cowboys||95.0||49||Boxscore|
|@ Kansas Jayhawks||5.0||19|
|@ UAB Blazers||93.1||34|
|Marshall Thundering Herd||14.9||19||Boxscore|
|@ Southern Methodist Mustangs||85.1||33|
|@ Southern Miss Golden Eagles||59.4||39|
|@ Tulsa Golden Hurricane||39.6||32|
|East Carolina Pirates||74.3||32||Boxscore|
|@ Rice Owls||25.7||22|
|@ Tulane Green Wave||19.8||24|
|New Mexico Lobos||5.0||12||Boxscore|
|@ Brigham Young Cougars||95.0||34|
|Colorado State Rams||45.5||23||Boxscore|
|@ Wyoming Cowboys||54.5||24|
|@ San Diego State Aztecs||34.7||26|
|Air Force Falcons||94.1||34||Boxscore|
|@ UNLV Rebels||5.9||13|
|North Texas Mean Green||25.7||21||Boxscore|
|@ Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks||74.3||30|
|Florida International Golden Panthers||60.4||28||Boxscore|
|@ Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns||39.6||25|
Ryan Fowler is the Content Manager for Whatifsports.com. He can be reached at firstname.lastname@example.org.