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Each Monday morning, Whatifsports.com's NCAA college football simulation engine will provide you with game predictions for every D-1 FBS game that upcoming week. The college football simulation engine generates detailed information for each game including the home team's chances of winning (Home Win%) and the average points scored for both teams. Make sure to share the college football information you gained here with your friends by either checking out our NCAA football widgets on the WhatIf To Go page or clicking on the social networking share bar at the top and bottom of this article.
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The statistical inputs to the thousands of college football simulations are based on rigorous analysis of each team's roster, depth charts and statistically based player rankings. Roster modifications are made in cases of injury or suspension and those player's are removed from their team's game simulation for that week.
Game of the Week: Arkansas vs Georgia
Georgia has an opportunity to forget about a Week 2 nightmare. Arkansas has a chance to make a bit of a statement. We may not have the premiere college football matchups that we had throughout this past week, but who doesn't like a good, old-fashioned SEC brouhaha?
The Georgia Bulldogs are coming off a disappointing Saturday, losing 17-6 on the road at nationally ranked South Carolina. The problem was, after putting up 55 points on Louisiana-Lafayette in their opener, they managed just six in their first test of the season.
The Bulldogs rank 94th out of 120 Football Bowl Subdivision teams in total offense per game. And while that number is somewhat clouded - they still average a run-of-the-mill 5.48 yards per play - failing to find the end zone against South Carolina and having to kick two field goals of less than 30 yards had to sting.
Defensively, however, you have to like where the Bulldogs are at. While it's still early in the season, they are one of just a handful of teams in the country allowing fewer than four yards per play to opposing offenses. The unit simply needs the Georgia offense to put up a few points.
The Bulldogs clearly put themselves behind the eight ball by losing to the Gamecocks, a division foe in the SEC. While the Razorbacks aren't in the East Division, a victory would go a long way in raising the confidence level whereas a loss would mean a disastrous 0-2 start in conference play.
The Razorbacks would love nothing more than to hand Georgia that kind of a start. Arkansas is off to a quick 2-0 record, but surely haven't been tested to the likes of going on the road to Athens. The Razorbacks have cruised to this point, dumping Louisiana-Monroe and Tennessee Tech by a combined total of 75-10.
What does a couple of big victories over a pair of cupcake opponents mean? Well, Arkansas's statistics have them looking like a team capable of winning a national championship.
The Razorbacks are averaging a whopping 7.71 yards per offensive play and if it appears that they have been one-dimensional because they rank in the bottom half of the FBS in rushing yards per game, forget about it. Arkansas is still averaging 5 yards per carry. But its passing attack surely has looked more dominant as the Razorbacks average nearly 10 yards per pass attempt. Only eight teams are at 10 or more in the entire FBS.
The easy schedule certainly hasn't hurt the defensive side of the ball, either. We're talking numbers like 3.32 yards per play and a paltry 2.44 yards per rush for Arkansas' opponents, ranking the Razorbacks amongst the nation's best.
So this one will be a classic case of a defense with inflated numbers trying to legitimize those numbers against a big-name team whose offense has looked anything but potent to this point. Can the Razorbacks get it done?
The answer is yes, but barely. And two teams that look stout in a bevy of defensive categories look like they'll take a hit.
The computer certainly isn't buying into Arkansas' numbers at this point as Georgia runs for 5 yards per carry and racks up more than 300 yards passing in what turns into a shootout.
And the solid defense of the Bulldogs crumbles as well as the Razorbacks' aerial assault proves to be too much. Quarterback, and Heisman hopeful, Ryan Mallett throws for nearly 400 yards. A performance like that would solidify a spot in the Heisman race.
The passing attack is the one most noticeable advantage in what appears to be a rousing early-season SEC game. In 101 simulations, it carries the Razorbacks to a victory nearly two-thirds of the times, but by less than a field goal on the road.Please note the Syracuse vs Maine game was re-simulated on 9/16/10.
College Football Week 3
|East Carolina Pirates||5.0||16|
|@ Virginia Tech Hokies||95.0||42|
|Brigham Young Cougars||18.8||24|
|@ Florida State Seminoles||81.2||39|
|Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets||75.2||32|
|@ North Carolina Tar Heels||24.8||24|
|@ North Carolina State Wolfpack||14.9||28|
|Alabama Crimson Tide||95.0||40|
|@ Duke Blue Devils||5.0||11|
|Maine Black Bears||5.0||7|
|@ Syracuse Orange||95.0||48|
|@ West Virginia Mountaineers||93.1||38|
|@ Michigan Wolverines||95.0||56|
|@ Ohio State Buckeyes||95.0||38|
|Kent State Golden Flashes||5.0||7|
|@ Penn State Nittany Lions||95.0||40|
|Ball State Cardinals||5.0||9|
|@ Purdue Boilermakers||95.0||37|
|Arizona State Sun Devils||7.9||14|
|@ Wisconsin Badgers||92.1||37|
|Notre Dame Fighting Irish||42.6||34|
|@ Michigan State Spartans||57.4||39|
|Northern Illinois Huskies||48.5||25|
|@ Illinois Fighting Illini||51.5||27|
|@ Minnesota Golden Gophers||9.9||18|
|@ Western Michigan Broncos||34.7||22|
|@ Temple Owls||28.7||25|
|@ Buffalo Bulls||27.7||21|
|Colorado State Rams||86.1||24|
|@ Miami (OH) RedHawks||13.9||13|
|Marshall Thundering Herd||87.1||30|
|@ Bowling Green Falcons||12.9||18|
|Central Michigan Chippewas||95.0||36|
|@ Eastern Michigan Eagles||5.0||11|
|Portland State Vikings||5.0||5|
|@ Oregon Ducks||95.0||68|
|Wake Forest Demon Deacons||6.9||20|
|@ Stanford Cardinal||93.1||42|
|@ Oregon State Beavers||87.1||35|
|@ Arizona Wildcats||46.5||22|
|@ UCLA Bruins||43.6||35|
|@ Washington Huskies||10.9||16|
|@ Mississippi Rebels||95.0||35|
|@ South Carolina Gamecocks||95.0||57|
|@ Kentucky Wildcats||91.1||34|
|Mississippi State Bulldogs||13.9||16|
|@ LSU Tigers||86.1||33|
|@ Auburn Tigers||50.5||27|
|@ Georgia Bulldogs||33.7||37|
|@ Tennessee Volunteers||12.9||17|
|Southern Utah Thunderbirds||5.0||6|
|@ San Jose State Spartans||95.0||33|
|@ Idaho Vandals||93.1||45|
|@ Louisiana Tech Bulldogs||52.5||27|
|California Golden Bears||70.3||38|
|@ Nevada Wolf Pack||29.7||34|
|Fresno State Bulldogs||78.2||36|
|@ Utah State Aggies||21.8||27|
|North Texas Mean Green||41.6||17|
|@ Army Black Knights||58.4||24|
|@ Western Kentucky Hilltoppers||5.0||14|
|Florida International Golden Panthers||5.0||8|
|@ Texas A&M Aggies||95.0||51|
|Tulsa Golden Hurricane||9.9||17|
|@ Oklahoma State Cowboys||90.1||41|
|San Diego State Aztecs||10.9||18|
|@ Missouri Tigers||89.1||36|
|Iowa State Cyclones||24.8||20|
|@ Kansas State Wildcats||75.2||31|
|Air Force Falcons||25.7||22|
|@ Oklahoma Sooners||74.3||35|
|@ Colorado Buffaloes||54.5||31|
|@ Texas Tech Red Raiders||22.8||20|
|Washington State Cougars||5.9||16|
|@ Southern Methodist Mustangs||94.1||39|
|New Mexico State Aggies||9.9||14|
|@ UTEP Miners||90.1||34|
|@ Southern Miss Golden Eagles||83.2||39|
|@ UAB Blazers||26.7||28|
|Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders||92.1||34|
|@ Memphis Tigers||7.9||16|
|@ Rice Owls||5.0||17|
|@ TCU Horned Frogs||95.0||42|
|Boise State Broncos||94.1||42|
|@ Wyoming Cowboys||5.9||21|
|@ New Mexico Lobos||5.0||11|
|@ Arkansas State Red Wolves||15.8||21|
Ryan Fowler is the Content Manager for Whatifsports.com. He can be reached at firstname.lastname@example.org.