College Football Week 3 Picks and Predictions From WhatIfSports.com image

College Football Week 3 Picks and Predictions

Week 3 predictions for every D-I/FBS college football game

By Ryan Fowler and Jake Westrich - WhatIfSports.com
September 10, 2012

Each Monday, WhatIfSports.com's NCAA college football simulation engine will provide you with game predictions for every D-1 FBS game that upcoming week. The college football simulation engine generates detailed information for each game including each team's chances of winning (Win%) and the average points scored for both teams. Make sure to share the college football information you gained here with your friends by either checking out our NCAA football widgets on the WhatIf To Go page or clicking on the social networking share bar at the top and bottom of this article.

Check out our 2012 College Football Season-to-Date page to follow our accuracy and for Upsets of the Week available on Wednesdays.

The statistical inputs to the thousands of college football simulations are based on rigorous analysis of each team's roster, depth charts and statistically based player rankings. Roster modifications are made in cases of injury or suspension and those players are removed from their team's game simulation for that week.

Game of the Week: Notre Dame at Michigan State

Brian Kelly insists there is no quarterback controversy in South Bend. This despite the Notre Dame head coach pulling redshirt quarterback Everett Golson in favor of Tommy Rees for the game-winning drive last Saturday against Purdue.

Golson was 21-31 for 289 yards and a touchdown prior to being yanked. However, the Irish struggled to get the offense clicking against the Boilermakers (they only rushed for 52 yards as a team with a fumble). Itís not like Rees, 3-8 for 35 yards, transformed into John Elway that final drive. At the end of the day, the Irish are 2-0 with their first win of the season coming in a contest across the pond in Dublin, Ireland over Navy.

Granted, itís only two games and one came against an in-state foe from the Mid-American Conference, but the Spartans do boast a Top 10 defense (225.5 yards allowed per game). Theyíve gone two weeks without allowing an offensive touchdown. Wins over Boise State and Central Michigan have been paced by running back LeíVeon Bell on offense. Those who bleed green and white were calling for Bell to be named a Heisman Trophy finalist after Week 1. Heís rushed 62 times for 480 yards (4.5 ypr) with four touchdowns this season. Quarterback Andrew Maxwell, trying to shake off comparisons to Kirk Cousins, has started the season 42-69 for 523 with two touchdowns and three interceptions.

We simulated the Spartans and Irish 101 times and itís Sparty coming out ahead 59.4 percent of the time by an average score of 24-22.

College Football Week 3
MatchupWin%Avg Score 
North Carolina Central Eagles 5.07Boxscore
@ Duke Blue Devils95.045 
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats 5.08Boxscore
@ Miami (FL) Hurricanes95.048 
Furman Paladins 5.08Boxscore
@ Clemson Tigers95.052 
South Alabama Jaguars 6.914Boxscore
@ North Carolina State Wolfpack93.135 
Wake Forest Demon Deacons25.720Boxscore
@ Florida State Seminoles74.327 
Virginia Cavaliers38.623Boxscore
@ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets61.426 
Connecticut Huskies55.020Boxscore
@ Maryland Terrapins45.019 
Stony Brook Seawolves 5.08Boxscore
@ Syracuse Orange95.045 
Delaware State Hornets 5.08Boxscore
@ Cincinnati Bearcats95.046 
Rutgers Scarlet Knights38.618Boxscore
@ South Florida Bulls61.422 
North Carolina Tar Heels38.622Boxscore
@ Louisville Cardinals61.425 
Virginia Tech Hokies76.227Boxscore
@ Pittsburgh Panthers23.817 
Northern Iowa Panthers 5.08Boxscore
@ Iowa Hawkeyes95.047 
Massachusetts Minutemen 5.08Boxscore
@ Michigan Wolverines95.035 
Charleston Southern Buccaneers 5.08Boxscore
@ Illinois Fighting Illini95.042 
Arkansas State Red Wolves12.921Boxscore
@ Nebraska Cornhuskers87.132 
Eastern Michigan Eagles13.915Boxscore
@ Purdue Boilermakers86.129 
Utah State Aggies26.220Boxscore
@ Wisconsin Badgers73.829 
California Golden Bears34.222Boxscore
@ Ohio State Buckeyes65.828 
Ball State Cardinals37.623Boxscore
@ Indiana Hoosiers62.428 
Boston College Eagles38.121Boxscore
@ Northwestern Wildcats61.926 
Notre Dame Fighting Irish40.622Boxscore
@ Michigan State Spartans59.424 
Navy Midshipmen43.621Boxscore
@ Penn State Nittany Lions56.422 
Western Michigan Broncos44.625Boxscore
@ Minnesota Golden Gophers55.428 
Morgan State Bears 5.08Boxscore
@ Akron Zips95.031 
Bowling Green Falcons39.624Boxscore
@ Toledo Rockets60.428 
South Carolina State Bulldogs 5.09Boxscore
@ Arizona Wildcats95.053 
Portland State Vikings 5.09Boxscore
@ Washington Huskies95.050 
Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles 5.07Boxscore
@ Oregon Ducks95.057 
Houston Cougars36.125Boxscore
@ UCLA Bruins63.930 
Brigham Young Cougars60.423Boxscore
@ Utah Utes39.620 
USC Trojans76.232Boxscore
@ Stanford Cardinal23.824 
Florida Atlantic Owls 5.010Boxscore
@ Georgia Bulldogs95.038 
Idaho Vandals 5.08Boxscore
@ LSU Tigers95.038 
Presbyterian Blue Hose 5.08Boxscore
@ Vanderbilt Commodores95.043 
UAB Blazers12.914Boxscore
@ South Carolina Gamecocks87.130 
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks20.821Boxscore
@ Auburn Tigers79.230 
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers28.217Boxscore
@ Kentucky Wildcats71.824 
Arizona State Sun Devils51.527Boxscore
@ Missouri Tigers48.526 
Florida Gators55.920Boxscore
@ Tennessee Volunteers44.118 
Alabama Crimson Tide65.827Boxscore
@ Arkansas Razorbacks34.221 
Texas Longhorns75.726Boxscore
@ Mississippi Rebels24.316 
Rice Owls34.725Boxscore
@ Louisiana Tech Bulldogs65.329 
Colorado State Rams44.622Boxscore
@ San Jose State Spartans55.424 
Northern Illinois Huskies56.922Boxscore
@ Army Black Knights43.120 
Western Illinois Leathernecks 5.09Boxscore
@ Iowa State Cyclones95.048 
James Madison Dukes 5.08Boxscore
vs. West Virginia Mountaineers95.059 
New Mexico Lobos 5.018Boxscore
@ Texas Tech Red Raiders95.036 
Sam Houston State Bearkats 5.08Boxscore
@ Baylor Bears95.048 
North Texas Mean Green12.917Boxscore
@ Kansas State Wildcats87.132 
Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns23.823Boxscore
@ Oklahoma State Cowboys76.234 
TCU Horned Frogs87.132Boxscore
@ Kansas Jayhawks12.920 
Nicholls Colonels 5.09Boxscore
@ Tulsa Golden Hurricane95.046 
FIU Golden Panthers30.724Boxscore
@ UCF Knights69.329 
East Carolina Pirates32.722Boxscore
@ Southern Miss Golden Eagles67.327 
New Mexico State Aggies42.625Boxscore
@ UTEP Miners57.429 
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders54.525Boxscore
@ Memphis Tigers45.523 
Ohio Bobcats60.927Boxscore
@ Marshall Thundering Herd39.124 
Texas A&M Aggies79.228Boxscore
@ Southern Methodist Mustangs20.819 
Northwestern State Demons 5.06Boxscore
@ Nevada Wolf Pack95.047 
North Dakota Fighting Sioux 5.06Boxscore
@ San Diego State Aztecs95.045 
Lamar Cardinals 5.07Boxscore
@ Hawaii Warriors95.042 
Cal Poly Mustangs 5.07Boxscore
@ Wyoming Cowboys95.043 
Miami (OH) RedHawks17.820Boxscore
@ Boise State Broncos82.230 
Colorado Buffaloes28.721Boxscore
@ Fresno State Bulldogs71.325 
Washington State Cougars87.130Boxscore
@ UNLV Rebels12.915 
Mississippi State Bulldogs90.132Boxscore
@ Troy Trojans 9.917 
Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners95.033Boxscore
@ Georgia State Panthers 5.09 
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Ryan Fowler is the Content Manager for WhatIfSports.com. He can be reached at rfowler@whatifsports.com.

Jake Westrich is the Digital Content Coordinator for WhatIfSports.com. He can be reached at jwestrich@whatifsports.com.

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