College Football Week 3 Picks and Predictions From WhatIfSports.com image

College Football Week 3 Picks and Predictions

Week 3 predictions for every D-I/FBS college football game

WhatIfSports.com
September 9, 2013

Each Monday, WhatIfSports.com's NCAA college football simulation engine will provide you with game predictions for every D-1 FBS game that upcoming week. The college football simulation engine generates detailed information for each game including each team's chances of winning (Win%) and the average points scored for both teams. Make sure to share the college football information you gained here with your friends by either checking out our NCAA football widgets on the WhatIf To Go page or clicking on the social networking share bar at the top and bottom of this article.

Check out our 2013 College Football Season-to-Date page to follow our accuracy and for Upsets of the Week.

The statistical inputs to the thousands of college football simulations are based on rigorous analysis of each team's roster, depth charts and statistically based player rankings. Roster modifications are made in cases of injury or suspension and those players are removed from their team's game simulation for that week.

Game of the Week: Alabama at Texas A&M

And just like *snap* that college football has reached Week 3 and the most anticipated game of the season, Alabama at Texas A&M, is only five days away. Our college football simulation engine will have an Alabama vs. Texas A&M prediction here in a second, but first a quick preview of the matchup.

We'll begin with Johnny Manziel and the offseason from hell that followed every step he took, every soiree he attended and ever signature he inked. The 2012 Heisman Trophy winner embraced the attention and the Johnny Football moniker attached to it. However, an all-expenses-paid trip to the pedestal of collegiate sports comes with an {alleged} price as critics nipped at Manziel's heels from below. Warranted or not can be debated over a 12-pack for years to come, but our simulation engine is all about the stats, not the sensational.

Few should worry about the Aggies' offense against the Crimson Tide as they have averaged over 380 passing yards and over 215 yards on the ground the first two games of this season. Granted, their opponents, Rice and Sam Houston State, are the statistical opposites to the defense Alabama boasts. However, a Manziel-led offense jumped out to a 20-0 lead and 418 total yards, before eeking out a 29-24 win over the Tide last season in Tuscaloosa.

It's the Aggies' defense that should raise some red flags. They allowed Rice and Sam Houston to rack up 59 points and 899 total yards in two games. No question, Nick Saban, with two weeks to prepare, will exploit this Swiss-cheese flaw all four quarters.

That may be a huge assumption, however, as Saban's revamped offense / offensive line sputtered in its Week 1 opener against Virginia Tech. Quarterback A.J. McCarron finished 10-23 for 110 yards with a touchdown and an interception and the offense (206 total yards) only managed scores in the first and third quarters.

It was, once again, their defense, which allowed 212 total yards and housed an interception, and special teams, which scored twice, that led the team to victory.

We simulated the Tide and Aggies 101 times and it's the computer liking Alabama 67.3 percent of the time by an average score of 27-22.

College Football Week 3
MatchupWin%Avg Score 
Wagner Seahawks 5.08Boxscore
@ Syracuse Orange95.044 
Nevada Wolf Pack23.821Boxscore
@ Florida State Seminoles76.231 
New Mexico Lobos28.718Boxscore
@ Pittsburgh Panthers71.324 
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks43.622Boxscore
@ Wake Forest Demon Deacons56.423 
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets58.425Boxscore
@ Duke Blue Devils41.621 
Western Illinois Leathernecks 5.08Boxscore
@ Minnesota Golden Gophers95.043 
Youngstown State Penguins 5.06Boxscore
@ Michigan State Spartans95.046 
Akron Zips 6.915Boxscore
@ Michigan Wolverines93.136 
Western Michigan Broncos16.316Boxscore
@ Northwestern Wildcats83.730 
Bowling Green Falcons41.622Boxscore
@ Indiana Hoosiers58.425 
UCLA Bruins48.526Boxscore
@ Nebraska Cornhuskers51.527 
UCF Knights48.025Boxscore
@ Penn State Nittany Lions52.026 
Washington Huskies73.828Boxscore
@ Illinois Fighting Illini26.219 
Notre Dame Fighting Irish87.128Boxscore
@ Purdue Boilermakers12.915 
Eastern Washington Eagles 5.06Boxscore
@ Toledo Rockets95.046 
Stony Brook Seawolves 5.06Boxscore
@ Buffalo Bulls95.039 
Marshall Thundering Herd51.029Boxscore
@ Ohio Bobcats49.028 
Southern Utah Thunderbirds 5.08Boxscore
@ Washington State Cougars95.043 
Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners22.822Boxscore
@ Arizona Wildcats77.229 
Tennessee Volunteers29.722Boxscore
@ Oregon Ducks70.329 
Boston College Eagles33.721Boxscore
@ USC Trojans66.325 
Wisconsin Badgers55.424Boxscore
@ Arizona State Sun Devils44.622 
Oregon State Beavers56.426Boxscore
@ Utah Utes43.622 
Ohio State Buckeyes68.327Boxscore
@ California Golden Bears31.720 
Fresno State Bulldogs70.829Boxscore
@ Colorado Buffaloes29.220 
Southern Miss Golden Eagles12.916Boxscore
@ Arkansas Razorbacks87.129 
Kent State Golden Flashes15.314Boxscore
@ LSU Tigers84.728 
Vanderbilt Commodores42.119Boxscore
@ South Carolina Gamecocks57.923 
Mississippi State Bulldogs43.622Boxscore
@ Auburn Tigers56.424 
Alabama Crimson Tide67.327Boxscore
@ Texas A&M Aggies32.722 
Louisville Cardinals84.229Boxscore
@ Kentucky Wildcats15.819 
Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens 5.07Boxscore
@ Navy Midshipmen95.044 
UTEP Miners64.425Boxscore
@ New Mexico State Aggies35.622 
Stanford Cardinal90.132Boxscore
@ Army Black Knights 9.914 
Northern Illinois Huskies92.133Boxscore
@ Idaho Vandals 7.915 
Lamar Cardinals 5.08Boxscore
@ Oklahoma State Cowboys95.052 
Massachusetts Minutemen 5.913Boxscore
@ Kansas State Wildcats94.134 
Georgia State Panthers 9.915Boxscore
@ West Virginia Mountaineers90.135 
Tulsa Golden Hurricane24.820Boxscore
@ Oklahoma Sooners75.229 
Ole Miss Rebels40.123Boxscore
@ Texas Longhorns59.925 
Iowa Hawkeyes51.524Boxscore
@ Iowa State Cyclones48.523 
TCU Horned Frogs58.925Boxscore
@ Texas Tech Red Raiders41.124 
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats 5.07Boxscore
@ FIU Golden Panthers95.037 
Tulane Green Wave33.725Boxscore
@ Louisiana Tech Bulldogs66.330 
Memphis Tigers45.524Boxscore
@ Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders54.525 
Kansas Jayhawks47.524Boxscore
@ Rice Owls52.525 
Ball State Cardinals67.330Boxscore
@ North Texas Mean Green32.725 
Virginia Tech Hokies75.228Boxscore
@ East Carolina Pirates24.819 
Cal Poly Mustangs 5.06Boxscore
@ Colorado State Rams95.040 
Northern Colorado Bears 5.07Boxscore
@ Wyoming Cowboys95.042 
Weber State Wildcats 5.06Boxscore
@ Utah State Aggies95.045 
Air Force Falcons27.720Boxscore
@ Boise State Broncos72.328 
Central Michigan Chippewas43.625Boxscore
@ UNLV Rebels56.426 
Nicholls Colonels 5.07Boxscore
@ Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns95.047 
Troy Trojans41.624Boxscore
@ Arkansas State Red Wolves58.426 
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers67.825Boxscore
@ South Alabama Jaguars32.220 
Fordham Rams 5.09Boxscore
@ Temple Owls95.040 
Northwestern State Demons 5.08Boxscore
@ Cincinnati Bearcats95.047 
Eastern Michigan Eagles14.916Boxscore
@ Rutgers Scarlet Knights85.130 
Florida Atlantic Owls34.719Boxscore
@ South Florida Bulls65.324 
Maryland Terrapins56.423Boxscore
@ Connecticut Huskies43.620 
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Ryan Fowler is the Content Manager for WhatIfSports.com. He can be reached at rfowler@whatifsports.com.

Jake Westrich is the Digital Content Coordinator for WhatIfSports.com. He can be reached at jwestrich@whatifsports.com.

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