College Football Week 6 Picks and Predictions From WhatIfSports.com image

College Football Week 6 Picks and Predictions

Week 6 predictions for every D-I/FBS college football game

WhatIfSports.com
September 30, 2013

Each Monday, WhatIfSports.com's NCAA college football simulation engine will provide you with game predictions for every D-1 FBS game that upcoming week. The college football simulation engine generates detailed information for each game including each team's chances of winning (Win%) and the average points scored for both teams. Make sure to share the college football information you gained here with your friends by either checking out our NCAA football widgets on the WhatIf To Go page or clicking on the social networking share bar at the top and bottom of this article.

Check out our 2013 College Football Season-to-Date page to follow our accuracy and for Upsets of the Week.

The statistical inputs to the thousands of college football simulations are based on rigorous analysis of each team's roster, depth charts and statistically based player rankings. Roster modifications are made in cases of injury or suspension and those players are removed from their team's game simulation for that week.

Game of the Week: Maryland at Florida State

After a Week 1 blowout win over Pittsburgh, 41-13, Florida State quarterback Jameis Winston had all but wrapped up the Heisman Trophy. He finished 25-27 for 356 yards with four touchdowns and no interceptions. To say he had entered the Bill Brasky realm would be an understatement.

Unfortunately for Winston, the college football season and Heisman applications consist of more than just the first week. In the two games that followed, against Nevada and Bethune-Cookman, Winston finished 25-37 for 362 yards with four touchdowns and a pick. However, Winston traveled to Boston College last week and lit up the Eagles for 330 yards with four more TDs and another pick.

Florida State's rush depth is prevalent as four different players have over 100 yards on the ground this season with six different rushers finding the end zone.

The same can be said of the Winston's passing attack as Kenny Shaw, Rashad Greene and Kelvin Benjamin are all in the mix with eight touchdowns between the three of them.

On defense, the Seminoles rank 60th against the rush, allowing over 150 yards on the ground per game, but are fourth in the nation against the pass at 136 yards allowed per game with six interceptions. The 15 points per game allowed ranks 17th in the country.

As for the 4-0 Terrapins, they may be ranked inside the Top 25, but the four teams they beat have a combined record of 5-12 and three of Old Dominion's wins came against Howard, Citadel and Albany.

The good news for Maryland is the team had two weeks to prepare for FSU. Quarterback C.J. Brown is completing over 66 percent of his passes with seven touchdowns and an interception thus far. But the mobile quarterback has also rushed for 283 yards (6.3 YPR) with six touchdowns on the ground. The Terps are 24th in the country in rushing as a team with nearly 227 yards on the ground per game. With FSU's defense struggling against the rush, this is where Maryland can make a case for an upset.

The passing game is pretty simple with Stefon Diggs and Deon Long accounting for over half of the receiving yards with four scores combined.

We could mention how Maryland is 13th against the rush, 14th against the pass and third in points against, but that would circle us back to their first four opponents and strength of schedule.

We simulated the Seminoles and Terps 101 times and it's Florida State winning 71.8 percent of the time by an average score of 26-18.

College Football Week 6
MatchupWin%Avg Score 
Army Black Knights27.718Boxscore
@ Boston College Eagles72.325 
Maryland Terrapins28.218Boxscore
@ Florida State Seminoles71.826 
North Carolina Tar Heels34.720Boxscore
@ Virginia Tech Hokies65.324 
Ball State Cardinals36.622Boxscore
@ Virginia Cavaliers63.426 
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets41.623Boxscore
@ Miami (FL) Hurricanes58.427 
North Carolina State Wolfpack63.922Boxscore
@ Wake Forest Demon Deacons36.119 
Clemson Tigers82.230Boxscore
@ Syracuse Orange17.819 
Minnesota Golden Gophers25.718Boxscore
@ Michigan Wolverines74.327 
Illinois Fighting Illini28.721Boxscore
@ Nebraska Cornhuskers71.329 
Michigan State Spartans52.521Boxscore
@ Iowa Hawkeyes47.519 
Penn State Nittany Lions59.427Boxscore
@ Indiana Hoosiers40.623 
Ohio State Buckeyes60.425Boxscore
@ Northwestern Wildcats39.621 
Massachusetts Minutemen 5.013Boxscore
@ Bowling Green Falcons95.031 
Eastern Michigan Eagles35.120Boxscore
@ Buffalo Bulls64.925 
Western Michigan Broncos40.625Boxscore
@ Toledo Rockets59.428 
Central Michigan Chippewas55.926Boxscore
@ Miami (OH) RedHawks44.124 
Northern Illinois Huskies63.428Boxscore
@ Kent State Golden Flashes36.622 
Ohio Bobcats66.326Boxscore
@ Akron Zips33.720 
Notre Dame Fighting Irish38.620Boxscore
@ Arizona State Sun Devils61.423 
Washington State Cougars46.022Boxscore
@ California Golden Bears54.023 
Washington Huskies49.522Boxscore
@ Stanford Cardinal50.523 
UCLA Bruins70.326Boxscore
@ Utah Utes29.721 
Oregon Ducks84.231Boxscore
@ Colorado Buffaloes15.818 
Georgia State Panthers 5.08Boxscore
@ Alabama Crimson Tide95.043 
Kentucky Wildcats19.816Boxscore
@ South Carolina Gamecocks80.225 
Arkansas Razorbacks33.217Boxscore
@ Florida Gators66.824 
Missouri Tigers47.523Boxscore
@ Vanderbilt Commodores52.524 
Ole Miss Rebels59.924Boxscore
@ Auburn Tigers40.122 
Georgia Bulldogs66.829Boxscore
@ Tennessee Volunteers33.223 
LSU Tigers68.326Boxscore
@ Mississippi State Bulldogs31.720 
Air Force Falcons38.621Boxscore
@ Navy Midshipmen61.424 
Fresno State Bulldogs91.134Boxscore
@ Idaho Vandals 8.918 
Kansas State Wildcats29.220Boxscore
@ Oklahoma State Cowboys70.828 
TCU Horned Frogs35.620Boxscore
@ Oklahoma Sooners64.426 
West Virginia Mountaineers38.625Boxscore
@ Baylor Bears61.429 
Texas Longhorns63.428Boxscore
@ Iowa State Cyclones36.624 
Texas Tech Red Raiders72.329Boxscore
@ Kansas Jayhawks27.720 
Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners30.726Boxscore
@ Marshall Thundering Herd69.331 
FIU Golden Panthers35.621Boxscore
@ Southern Miss Golden Eagles64.425 
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs37.623Boxscore
@ UTEP Miners62.426 
Rice Owls38.121Boxscore
@ Tulsa Golden Hurricane61.925 
Florida Atlantic Owls49.524Boxscore
@ UAB Blazers50.526 
East Carolina Pirates56.427Boxscore
@ Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders43.624 
North Texas Mean Green57.426Boxscore
@ Tulane Green Wave42.623 
New Mexico State Aggies39.622Boxscore
@ New Mexico Lobos60.426 
BYU Cougars44.622Boxscore
@ Utah State Aggies55.423 
Nevada Wolf Pack47.524Boxscore
@ San Diego State Aztecs52.526 
San Jose State Spartans54.523Boxscore
@ Hawaii Rainbow Warriors45.522 
Texas State Bobcats40.125Boxscore
@ Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns59.929 
South Alabama Jaguars49.025Boxscore
@ Troy Trojans51.026 
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers55.427Boxscore
@ Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks44.624 
UCF Knights62.429Boxscore
@ Memphis Tigers37.622 
Rutgers Scarlet Knights66.826Boxscore
@ SMU Mustangs33.220 
Cincinnati Bearcats82.227Boxscore
@ South Florida Bulls17.816 
Louisville Cardinals91.133Boxscore
@ Temple Owls 8.917 
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Ryan Fowler is the Content Manager for WhatIfSports.com. He can be reached at rfowler@whatifsports.com.

Jake Westrich is the Digital Content Coordinator for WhatIfSports.com. He can be reached at jwestrich@whatifsports.com.

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