Actual winners have been moved forward in the bracket and the tournament has been run another 10,000 times starting with the Sweet 16. Actual scores are listed next to games that have already been played. The score next to each Sweet 16 game is the average score from 10,000 runs of the game.

The bracket represents the most likely outcome, where the team with the highest likelihood of advancing is moved on to the next round. Numbers in the table reflect the chance of a team making it to that round.

To view the original predictions, please click on "Round 1" above. To simulate games for free, please go to WhatIfSports.com’s SimMatchup.

East/Sweet 16

Round One

1 Pitt 72
16 ETSU 62
8 Ok. St. 77
9 Tenn. 75
5 FSU 59
12 Wisconsin 61
4 Xavier 77
13 Port. St. 59
6 UCLA 65
11 VCU 64
3 Villanova 80
14 American 67
7 Texas 76
10 Minn. 62
2 Duke 86
15 Bing. 62

Field of 32

Pitt 84
Ok. St. 76
Wisconsin 49
Xavier 60
UCLA 69
Villanova 89
Texas 69
Duke 74

Sweet 16

Pitt 79
Xavier 71
Villanova 76
Duke 77
Pitt
Duke

Final 4

Pitt
Seed/Team Elite 8 Final 4 Champ. Game Championship
1 Pittsburgh
79.6% 59.3% 31.6% 18.4%
3 Villanova
49.8% 15.5% 4.0% 1.6%
2 Duke
50.2% 16.4% 3.7% 1.2%
4 Xavier
20.4% 8.8% 2.0% 0.8%
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