Numbers in the table reflect the chance of a team making it to that round. The bracket represents the most likely outcome, where the team with the highest likelihood of advancing is moved on to the next round. Only the 16 teams that are still left are included in the simulations and table.

To view the original predictions, please click on "Round 1" above. To simulate games for free, please go to WhatIfSports.com’s SimMatchup.

Final Four/Sweet 16

Final Four

Kansas
UConn
Pitt
UNC

Championship

UConn
UNC

Champion

UNC
Seed/Team Elite 8 Final 4 Champ. Game Championship
1 North Carolina
69.6% 45.1% 28.5% 19.2%
1 Connecticut
80.4% 52.6% 34.6% 18.9%
1 Pittsburgh
79.6% 59.3% 31.6% 18.4%
2 Oklahoma
63.3% 30.4% 17.9% 9.8%
2 Memphis
73.2% 32.9% 19.3% 8.5%
3 Kansas
68.7% 39.1% 18.0% 7.6%
1 Louisville
71.9% 38.4% 17.5% 6.4%
4 Gonzaga
30.4% 12.4% 6.3% 3.0%
3 Syracuse
36.7% 12.1% 6.0% 2.1%
3 Villanova
49.8% 15.5% 4.0% 1.6%
2 Duke
50.2% 16.4% 3.7% 1.2%
2 Michigan State
31.3% 12.0% 3.8% 1.0%
4 Xavier
20.4% 8.8% 2.0% 0.8%
12 Arizona
28.1% 10.5% 2.9% 0.7%
5 Purdue
19.6% 7.7% 2.4% 0.6%
3 Missouri
26.8% 6.8% 1.5% 0.2%
Hoops Dynasty

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