Actual winners have been moved forward in the bracket and the tournament has been run another 10,000 times starting with the Sweet 16. Actual scores are listed next to games that have already been played. The score next to each Sweet 16 game is the average score from 10,000 runs of the game.

The bracket represents the most likely outcome, where the team with the highest likelihood of advancing is moved on to the next round. Numbers in the table reflect the chance of a team making it to that round.

To view the original predictions, please click on "Round 1" above. To simulate games for free, please go to WhatIfSports.com’s SimMatchup.

South/Sweet 16

Round One

1 UNC 101
16 Radford 58
8 LSU 75
9 Butler 71
5 Illinois 72
12 WKU 76
4 Gonzaga 77
13 Akron 64
6 Az. St. 66
11 Temple 57
3 Syracuse 59
14 SFA 44
7 Clemson 59
10 Michigan 62
2 Oklahoma 82
15 Morgan St. 54

Field of 32

UNC 84
LSU 70
WKU 81
Gonzaga 83
Az. St. 67
Syracuse 78
Michigan 63
Oklahoma 73

Sweet 16

UNC 83
Gonzaga 77
Syracuse 76
Oklahoma 80
UNC
Oklahoma

Final 4

UNC
Seed/Team Elite 8 Final 4 Champ. Game Championship
1 North Carolina
69.6% 45.1% 28.5% 19.2%
2 Oklahoma
63.3% 30.4% 17.9% 9.8%
4 Gonzaga
30.4% 12.4% 6.3% 3.0%
3 Syracuse
36.7% 12.1% 6.0% 2.1%
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