Actual winners have been moved forward in the bracket and the tournament has been run another 10,000 times starting with the Sweet 16. Actual scores are listed next to games that have already been played. The score next to each Sweet 16 game is the average score from 10,000 runs of the game.

The bracket represents the most likely outcome, where the team with the highest likelihood of advancing is moved on to the next round. Numbers in the table reflect the chance of a team making it to that round.

To view the original predictions, please click on "Round 1" above. To simulate games for free, please go to WhatIfSports.com’s SimMatchup.

West/Sweet 16

Round One

1 UConn 103
16 Chatt. 47
8 BYU 66
9 Tex. A&M 79
5 Purdue 61
12 NIU 56
4 Wash 71
13 Miss. St. 58
6 Marquette 58
11 Utah St. 57
3 Missouri 78
14 Cornell 59
7 Cal 71
10 Maryland 84
2 Memphis 81
15 CS-North 70

Field of 32

UConn 92
Tex. A&M 66
Purdue 76
Wash 74
Marquette 79
Missouri 83
Maryland 70
Memphis 89

Sweet 16

UConn 71
Purdue 63
Missouri 70
Memphis 76
UConn
Memphis

Final 4

UConn
Seed/Team Elite 8 Final 4 Champ. Game Championship
1 Connecticut
80.4% 52.6% 34.6% 18.9%
2 Memphis
73.2% 32.9% 19.3% 8.5%
5 Purdue
19.6% 7.7% 2.4% 0.6%
3 Missouri
26.8% 6.8% 1.5% 0.2%
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