The listed score is the average score from the 2,000 runs of each first round game. The bracket represents the most likely outcome, where the team with the highest likelihood of advancing is moved on to the next round. Numbers in the table reflect the chance of a team making it to that round.

Midwest/Round 1

Round One

1 Kansas 83
16 Lehigh 60
8 UNLV 67
9 North. Iowa 63
5 Michigan St. 79
12 NMSU 77
4 Maryland 76
13 Houston 65
6 Tennessee 69
11 SDSU 70
3 Georgetown 74
14 Ohio 67
7 Oklahoma St. 69
10 Georgia Tech 72
2 Ohio State 73
15 UCSB 61

Field of 32

Kansas
UNLV
Michigan St.
Maryland
SDSU
Georgetown
Georgia Tech
Ohio State

Sweet 16

Kansas
Maryland
Georgetown
Ohio State
Kansas
Ohio State

Final 4

Kansas
Seed/Team Field of 32 Sweet 16 Elite 8 Final 4 Champ. Game Championship
1 Kansas
98.9% 86.2% 67.1% 53.3% 35.6% 26.4%
4 Maryland
87.2% 60.4% 20.8% 13.6% 6.7% 3.2%
2 Ohio State
88.2% 50.3% 30.8% 10.6% 5.3% 2.3%
3 Georgetown
76.7% 44.0% 21.2% 6.0% 2.2% 1.2%
10 Georgia Tech
59.8% 31.8% 18.8% 6.1% 2.5% 1.1%
5 Michigan St.
54.5% 21.3% 4.6% 1.9% 0.7% 0.2%
6 Tennessee
48.4% 24.3% 9.8% 2.1% 0.9% 0.2%
8 UNLV
65.6% 10.8% 3.9% 2.1% 0.4% 0.2%
11 SDSU
51.7% 26.7% 11.1% 2.2% 0.7% 0.2%
12 NMSU
45.5% 14.5% 2.6% 1.0% 0.2% 0.2%
7 Oklahoma St.
40.2% 16.0% 7.0% 0.9% 0.1% 0.1%
14 Ohio
23.3% 5.0% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
9 Northern Iowa
34.3% 2.9% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
13 Houston
12.9% 3.8% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
15 UCSB
11.8% 2.0% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
16 Lehigh
1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
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