The listed score is the average score from the 2,000 runs of each first round game. The bracket represents the most likely outcome, where the team with the highest likelihood of advancing is moved on to the next round. Numbers in the table reflect the chance of a team making it to that round.

South/Round 1

Round One

1 Duke 73
16 Winthrop 55
8 California 75
9 Louisville 78
5 Texas A&M 69
12 Utah State 70
4 Purdue 67
13 Siena 70
6 Notre Dame 73
11 Old Dominion 68
3 Baylor 80
14 Sam Houston 70
7 Richmond 66
10 Saint Mary's 69
2 Villanova 81
15 Rob. Morris 62

Field of 32

Duke
Louisville
Utah State
Siena
Notre Dame
Baylor
Saint Mary's
Villanova

Sweet 16

Duke
Utah State
Baylor
Villanova
Duke
Baylor

Final 4

Baylor
Seed/Team Field of 32 Sweet 16 Elite 8 Final 4 Champ. Game Championship
3 Baylor
82.6% 60.7% 39.4% 25.3% 16.8% 8.7%
1 Duke
97.2% 62.9% 45.4% 24.8% 15.5% 6.2%
2 Villanova
96.6% 63.0% 31.1% 16.8% 10.3% 4.4%
9 Louisville
62.9% 25.0% 16.2% 7.8% 5.0% 2.0%
12 Utah State
54.4% 39.3% 16.9% 6.4% 2.7% 0.9%
6 Notre Dame
69.3% 26.2% 12.4% 5.6% 2.3% 0.7%
5 Texas A&M
45.6% 30.8% 10.7% 3.4% 1.4% 0.4%
8 California
37.1% 11.9% 6.1% 2.6% 1.2% 0.4%
10 Saint Mary's
60.3% 24.4% 9.1% 3.6% 1.8% 0.4%
7 Richmond
39.7% 12.2% 4.0% 1.3% 0.4% 0.1%
13 Siena
61.6% 20.6% 3.8% 0.9% 0.3% 0.1%
4 Purdue
38.4% 9.4% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
11 Old Dominion
30.6% 6.5% 1.7% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
14 Sam Houston
17.5% 6.5% 2.3% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
15 Robert Morris
3.4% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
16 Winthrop
2.8% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hoops Dynasty

Hoops Dynasty

Coach, recruit, and run your own college basketball program.

Every DI, DII & DIII College Awaits

Hardball Dynasty

Run your own baseball franchise in this in-depth, multi-player baseball game.

Try It at a Discount

What is WhatIfSports?

WhatIfSports.com is a sports simulation and online gaming site providing free content and unique games for the MLB, NBA, NFL, NHL, NCAA sports and more.

Join WhatIfSports.com today to get these members only benefits:

  • Create your own Dream Team
  • Save your favorite SimMatchup results
  • Play a FREE SimLeague trial season
  • Start playing a Dynasty game
  • Manage baseball games LIVE
  • Access to SiteMail
  • Post in our Forums
  • Build a Buddy list to easily invite friends
  • Use our online Customer Service
  • Earn game credits by using our Referral & Affiliate program
Click Here to Signup

Terms of Use Customer Support Privacy Statement

Popular on WhatIfSports site: Baseball Simulation | College Basketball Game | College Football Game | Online Baseball Game | Hockey Simulation | NFL Picks | College Football Picks | Sports Games

© 1999-2012 WhatIfSports.com, Inc. All rights reserved. WhatIfSports is a trademark of WhatIfSports.com, Inc. SimLeague, SimMatchup and iSimNow are trademarks or registered trademarks of Electronic Arts, Inc. Used under license. The names of actual companies and products mentioned herein may be the trademarks of their respective owners.