College Football Week 6 Picks and Predictions from WhatIfSports.com From WhatIfSports.com image

College Football Week 6 Picks and Predictions

Week 6 predictions for every D-I/FBS college football game

By Ryan Fowler and Jake Westrich - WhatIfSports.com
October 3, 2011

Each Monday, WhatIfSports.com's NCAA college football simulation engine will provide you with game predictions for every D-1 FBS game that upcoming week. The college football simulation engine generates detailed information for each game including each team's chances of winning (Win%) and the average points scored for both teams. Make sure to share the college football information you gained here with your friends by either checking out our NCAA football widgets on the WhatIf To Go page or clicking on the social networking share bar at the top and bottom of this article.

Check out our 2011 College Football Season-to-Date page to follow our accuracy and for Upsets of the Week available on Wednesdays.

The statistical inputs to the thousands of college football simulations are based on rigorous analysis of each team's roster, depth charts and statistically based player rankings. Roster modifications are made in cases of injury or suspension and those players are removed from their team's game simulation for that week.

<a href="http://msn.foxsports.com/video?vid=929af687-1dea-4893-8a52-59f74bfc967d" target="_new" title="">WhatIfSports: Week 6 CFB picks</a>

Game of the Week: Oklahoma vs. Texas

It has to rank as one of a sports broadcaster's top alliteration nightmares, but, also, one of the most hotly contested matchups of the college football season. So, say it slow and with conviction.

The Red River Rivalry may not be a branded phrase you want to recite a thousand times on-air, but Oklahoma and Texas meeting with unblemished records sets the stage for WhatIfSports.com's Game of the Week. It also means one of college football's oldest rivalries carries a little more weight in 2011.

The 11th-ranked Longhorns began the season on the outside looking in on the Top 25. It was an unfamiliar place for a Mack Brown-coached program. The stank rank hadn't occurred since 1998.

Sophomore quarterback Case McCoy, brother of Colt, and David Ash have been sharing duties behind center following the demotion of Garrett Gilbert (now out for the season). But through four games, it's not so much Texas' passing attack (214.8 yards per game) you have to fear.

They are rushing for 206.0 yards per game. Malcolm Brown leads the way with 327 yards (4.9 yards per rush) with a touchdown, but Foswhitt Whittaker (great name!) and Cody Johnson lead the team in rushing scores with four each.

Texas currently possesses the 12th-best scoring defense in the nation at 14.8 points per game after wins over Rice, BYU, UCLA and, previously unbeaten, Iowa State last week.

Meanwhile, Oklahoma leapt over a major scheduling hurdle three weeks ago by beating Florida State (that win may have been devalued following the Seminoles loss the following week). The Sooners have snuck by Missouri and crushed Ball State since that win on September 17th.

Quarterback Landry Jones continues to chuck the ball all over the field. He's posted 1447 yards and 10 touchdowns with five picks (71.6 completion percentage) through five games. Dominique Whaley is sitting at 70 carries for 379 yards and seven touchdowns. Top wide receiver Ryan Broyles has found the zone six times already.

We simulated the Sooners and Longhorns 101 times and it's the Oklahoma coming away with the win 82.2 percent of the time by an average score of 33-22.

Florida at LSU

This game lost a lot of its luster Saturday night when Gators' quarterback, John Brantley, had to be carried off the field with an apparent ankle injury. Head coach Will Muschamp said Monday that Brantley will not play against the Tigers this weekend. Coach also said freshman quarterback, Jeff Driskel, is the starter at this point, but stressed his depth chart could change throughout the course of the week.

We have accounted for this roster change within our college football simulation engine.

Speaking of quarterbacks, LSU's Jordan Jefferson returned from suspension last week. He finished with four carries for 29 yards and a touchdown against Kentucky. Les Miles claims Jarrett Lee will remain his starting quarterback, but he will work Jefferson into the offense in a variety of ways. Define that however you would like.

We simulated the Tigers and Gators 101 times and its LSU winning 85.1 percent of the time by an average score of 29-17.

College Football Week 6
MatchupWin%Avg Score 
Boston College Eagles20.818Boxscore
@ Clemson Tigers79.229 
Louisville Cardinals29.718Boxscore
@ North Carolina Tar Heels70.326 
Central Michigan Chippewas30.224Boxscore
@ North Carolina State Wolfpack69.830 
Miami (FL) Hurricanes34.723Boxscore
@ Virginia Tech Hokies65.328 
Maryland Terrapins46.022Boxscore
@ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets54.024 
Florida State Seminoles84.235Boxscore
@ Wake Forest Demon Deacons15.818 
Connecticut Huskies13.917Boxscore
@ West Virginia Mountaineers86.132 
Pittsburgh Panthers81.231Boxscore
@ Rutgers Scarlet Knights18.819 
Minnesota Golden Gophers18.317Boxscore
@ Purdue Boilermakers81.727 
Ohio State Buckeyes38.619Boxscore
@ Nebraska Cornhuskers61.422 
Iowa Hawkeyes55.926Boxscore
@ Penn State Nittany Lions44.124 
Michigan Wolverines72.333Boxscore
@ Northwestern Wildcats27.726 
Illinois Fighting Illini78.231Boxscore
@ Indiana Hoosiers21.821 
Eastern Michigan Eagles 5.015Boxscore
@ Toledo Rockets95.038 
Kent State Golden Flashes16.819Boxscore
@ Northern Illinois Huskies83.231 
Bowling Green Falcons33.726Boxscore
@ Western Michigan Broncos66.331 
Army Black Knights65.324Boxscore
@ Miami (OH) RedHawks34.719 
Ohio Bobcats77.727Boxscore
@ Buffalo Bulls22.318 
Temple Owls86.133Boxscore
@ Ball State Cardinals13.915 
FIU Golden Panthers90.130Boxscore
@ Akron Zips 9.915 
Colorado Buffaloes 5.019Boxscore
@ Stanford Cardinal95.041 
California Golden Bears 5.018Boxscore
@ Oregon Ducks95.035 
Washington State Cougars34.225Boxscore
@ UCLA Bruins65.830 
Arizona State Sun Devils61.428Boxscore
@ Utah Utes38.625 
Arizona Wildcats64.927Boxscore
@ Oregon State Beavers35.123 
Vanderbilt Commodores 5.09Boxscore
@ Alabama Crimson Tide95.038 
Florida Gators14.917Boxscore
@ LSU Tigers85.129 
Kentucky Wildcats16.817Boxscore
@ South Carolina Gamecocks83.231 
Auburn Tigers31.724Boxscore
@ Arkansas Razorbacks68.332 
Georgia Bulldogs70.830Boxscore
@ Tennessee Volunteers29.222 
UNLV Rebels13.916Boxscore
@ Nevada Wolf Pack86.134 
Wyoming Cowboys39.120Boxscore
@ Utah State Aggies60.924 
Louisiana Tech Bulldogs76.730Boxscore
@ Idaho Vandals23.322 
Boise State Broncos95.044Boxscore
@ Fresno State Bulldogs 5.021 
San Jose State Spartans14.916Boxscore
@ Brigham Young Cougars85.132 
Air Force Falcons33.721Boxscore
@ Notre Dame Fighting Irish66.328 
Southern Miss Golden Eagles58.431Boxscore
@ Navy Midshipmen41.629 
Kansas Jayhawks 5.019Boxscore
@ Oklahoma State Cowboys95.045 
Iowa State Cyclones22.823Boxscore
@ Baylor Bears77.234 
Texas A&M Aggies69.333Boxscore
@ Texas Tech Red Raiders30.726 
Missouri Tigers79.729Boxscore
@ Kansas State Wildcats20.320 
Oklahoma Sooners82.233Boxscore
@ Texas Longhorns17.822 
Memphis Tigers 5.015Boxscore
@ Rice Owls95.034 
Marshall Thundering Herd17.820Boxscore
@ UCF Knights82.231 
East Carolina Pirates46.534Boxscore
@ Houston Cougars53.535 
Syracuse Orange80.232Boxscore
@ Tulane Green Wave19.819 
Mississippi State Bulldogs95.037Boxscore
@ UAB Blazers 5.015 
TCU Horned Frogs64.433Boxscore
@ San Diego State Aztecs35.627 
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers25.221Boxscore
@ Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders74.830 
Florida Atlantic Owls33.723Boxscore
@ North Texas Mean Green66.330 
Arkansas State Red Wolves34.725Boxscore
@ Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks65.331 
Troy Trojans75.232Boxscore
@ Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns24.824 
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Ryan Fowler is the Content Manager for WhatIfSports.com. He can be reached at rfowler@whatifsports.com.

Jake Westrich is the Digital Content Coordinator for WhatIfSports.com. He can be reached at jwestrich@whatifsports.com.

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