NCAA football Week 12 power rankings
2012 NCAA Football Features
College Football Week 12 Picks2012 College Football Season-To-Date
2012 NCAA Football Archives
NCAA Football SimMatchup
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WhatIfSports.com utilizes its NCAA football simulation to present the most comprehensive and unbiased ranking of all 124 FBS teams. We simulated thousands of games and used those winning percentages to evaluate every team. All 124 teams are ranked below with their average points for and against from the simulated games. Simulations are based on updated rosters and depth charts so significant week-to-week changes may occur once the regular season kicks off.
Teams Ranked by Winning Percentage
(everyone plays everyone 100 times)
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Oregon Ducks | +1 | 83.2 | 31.8 | 18.0 |
| 2. | Alabama Crimson Tide | -1 | 81.8 | 30.3 | 16.6 |
| 3. | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | - | 80.2 | 30.3 | 17.7 |
| 4. | Kansas State Wildcats | - | 79.2 | 29.4 | 18.2 |
| 5. | Georgia Bulldogs | +2 | 76.3 | 29.0 | 18.4 |
| 6. | LSU Tigers | - | 76.1 | 26.9 | 16.5 |
| 7. | Ohio State Buckeyes | -2 | 76.0 | 28.8 | 18.5 |
| 8. | USC Trojans | +1 | 74.9 | 31.2 | 21.5 |
| 9. | Florida State Seminoles | -1 | 74.2 | 28.6 | 19.2 |
| 10. | Florida Gators | +1 | 74.1 | 26.0 | 16.8 |
| 11. | Oklahoma Sooners | +1 | 73.8 | 30.8 | 21.7 |
| 12. | Texas A&M Aggies | +2 | 72.8 | 29.4 | 20.3 |
| 13. | Clemson Tigers | -3 | 72.6 | 30.1 | 21.2 |
| 14. | Texas Longhorns | -1 | 69.6 | 26.5 | 18.7 |
| 15. | Oregon State Beavers | +5 | 68.5 | 27.7 | 20.4 |
| 16. | Nebraska Cornhuskers | - | 68.3 | 28.3 | 20.8 |
| 17. | South Carolina Gamecocks | -2 | 68.2 | 24.7 | 17.6 |
| 18. | TCU Horned Frogs | +1 | 68.1 | 27.9 | 20.8 |
| 19. | Texas Tech Red Raiders | -1 | 68.0 | 30.5 | 23.3 |
| 20. | Stanford Cardinal | +3 | 67.1 | 26.2 | 19.9 |
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
| 21. | Penn State Nittany Lions | +3 | 66.7 | 26.3 | 20.1 |
| 22. | UCLA Bruins | -5 | 66.4 | 26.9 | 20.7 |
| 23. | Oklahoma State Cowboys | +7 | 65.7 | 27.6 | 21.5 |
| 24. | Louisville Cardinals | -3 | 65.2 | 27.3 | 21.3 |
| 25. | Mississippi State Bulldogs | +1 | 64.9 | 26.1 | 20.3 |
| 26. | Rutgers Scarlet Knights | -4 | 64.7 | 25.8 | 19.9 |
| 27. | Michigan Wolverines | +1 | 63.9 | 25.7 | 20.3 |
| 28. | West Virginia Mountaineers | -1 | 63.2 | 29.5 | 24.2 |
| 29. | Northwestern Wildcats | +8 | 63.0 | 27.4 | 22.2 |
| 30. | Boise State Broncos | -1 | 62.3 | 27.3 | 22.5 |
| 31. | Arizona Wildcats | +9 | 61.9 | 28.8 | 24.2 |
| 32. | Iowa State Cyclones | - | 61.0 | 26.6 | 22.3 |
| 33. | Cincinnati Bearcats | +15 | 60.8 | 25.9 | 21.9 |
| 34. | Brigham Young Cougars | +2 | 60.6 | 25.5 | 21.3 |
| 35. | North Carolina Tar Heels | -10 | 60.3 | 27.4 | 23.3 |
| 36. | Michigan State Spartans | -2 | 60.3 | 24.7 | 20.2 |
| 37. | Vanderbilt Commodores | +9 | 60.2 | 23.6 | 19.2 |
| 38. | Duke Blue Devils | +3 | 59.6 | 28.5 | 25.1 |
| 39. | Wisconsin Badgers | +17 | 59.3 | 24.4 | 20.6 |
| 40. | Arizona State Sun Devils | -5 | 59.1 | 26.3 | 22.9 |
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
| 41. | Washington Huskies | +3 | 58.9 | 26.4 | 23.4 |
| 42. | Miami (FL) Hurricanes | -11 | 58.8 | 27.0 | 23.0 |
| 43. | Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | - | 58.8 | 28.8 | 25.6 |
| 44. | Arkansas Razorbacks | -6 | 58.6 | 26.1 | 23.1 |
| 45. | Mississippi Rebels | -12 | 58.5 | 24.7 | 21.7 |
| 46. | Virginia Tech Hokies | -7 | 58.4 | 25.7 | 22.3 |
| 47. | Tennessee Volunteers | - | 58.2 | 25.6 | 22.6 |
| 48. | Syracuse Orange | +4 | 57.5 | 26.2 | 23.5 |
| 49. | Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets | +4 | 57.4 | 26.5 | 23.6 |
| 50. | Baylor Bears | -1 | 57.3 | 26.5 | 23.7 |
| 51. | Purdue Boilermakers | +9 | 57.3 | 24.9 | 22.3 |
| 52. | North Carolina State Wolfpack | -1 | 56.4 | 23.8 | 21.7 |
| 53. | Missouri Tigers | -3 | 56.0 | 23.2 | 20.3 |
| 54. | Virginia Cavaliers | +17 | 55.5 | 24.0 | 22.1 |
| 55. | Indiana Hoosiers | -1 | 55.2 | 26.5 | 24.4 |
| 56. | Iowa Hawkeyes | -11 | 55.2 | 24.4 | 22.3 |
| 57. | South Florida Bulls | +9 | 54.4 | 25.1 | 23.6 |
| 58. | UCF Knights | -1 | 53.9 | 25.6 | 24.1 |
| 59. | California Golden Bears | +2 | 53.9 | 23.7 | 22.4 |
| 60. | Tulsa Golden Hurricane | -2 | 53.5 | 26.4 | 25.3 |
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
| 61. | Pittsburgh Panthers | -19 | 53.4 | 24.9 | 24.3 |
| 62. | Utah Utes | -7 | 52.7 | 23.1 | 21.5 |
| 63. | Minnesota Golden Gophers | +4 | 52.5 | 23.8 | 23.1 |
| 64. | San Diego State Aztecs | -2 | 52.5 | 24.8 | 24.2 |
| 65. | Wake Forest Demon Deacons | -6 | 52.1 | 23.2 | 22.3 |
| 66. | Maryland Terrapins | -3 | 50.8 | 24.2 | 23.9 |
| 67. | Arkansas State Red Wolves | +16 | 50.8 | 25.2 | 25.2 |
| 68. | Washington State Cougars | +5 | 50.6 | 25.4 | 25.0 |
| 69. | Northern Illinois Huskies | -1 | 50.5 | 23.8 | 23.7 |
| 70. | Toledo Rockets | - | 50.1 | 25.9 | 25.3 |
| 71. | Connecticut Huskies | +3 | 49.2 | 20.9 | 20.9 |
| 72. | Temple Owls | -7 | 49.2 | 22.5 | 22.6 |
| 73. | Ohio Bobcats | -9 | 47.7 | 24.6 | 25.2 |
| 74. | Fresno State Bulldogs | -5 | 47.5 | 25.5 | 26.0 |
| 75. | Utah State Aggies | -3 | 46.9 | 24.9 | 25.5 |
| 76. | Ball State Cardinals | - | 46.3 | 25.1 | 26.4 |
| 77. | Kent State Golden Flashes | -2 | 45.3 | 21.0 | 22.4 |
| 78. | Nevada Wolf Pack | -1 | 45.1 | 23.4 | 25.3 |
| 79. | Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | +3 | 44.1 | 25.0 | 27.6 |
| 80. | East Carolina Pirates | -2 | 44.0 | 24.4 | 26.5 |
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
| 81. | Kansas Jayhawks | -2 | 43.9 | 23.7 | 26.2 |
| 82. | Boston College Eagles | +7 | 43.5 | 22.3 | 24.8 |
| 83. | Auburn Tigers | +1 | 43.1 | 20.3 | 22.7 |
| 84. | Troy Trojans | +7 | 42.0 | 26.6 | 29.2 |
| 85. | Southern Methodist Mustangs | +9 | 41.9 | 24.4 | 27.8 |
| 86. | Bowling Green Falcons | +4 | 41.9 | 23.2 | 26.4 |
| 87. | Western Michigan Broncos | -1 | 40.9 | 24.8 | 27.9 |
| 88. | Houston Cougars | +5 | 40.7 | 24.7 | 28.4 |
| 89. | Marshall Thundering Herd | -8 | 40.5 | 22.5 | 26.4 |
| 90. | Kentucky Wildcats | +5 | 39.6 | 18.3 | 22.1 |
| 91. | Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | -3 | 39.0 | 23.1 | 26.9 |
| 92. | Navy Midshipmen | -7 | 38.5 | 22.0 | 25.7 |
| 93. | Colorado Buffaloes | -1 | 38.5 | 21.7 | 25.4 |
| 94. | San Jose State Spartans | -7 | 38.3 | 24.5 | 28.8 |
| 95. | Illinois Fighting Illini | -15 | 38.1 | 19.5 | 23.0 |
| 96. | Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | - | 36.2 | 21.2 | 26.1 |
| 97. | Miami (OH) RedHawks | +2 | 35.0 | 21.0 | 26.8 |
| 98. | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | - | 34.9 | 23.6 | 29.3 |
| 99. | Central Michigan Chippewas | +2 | 34.1 | 22.4 | 28.1 |
| 100. | Wyoming Cowboys | - | 34.1 | 20.7 | 26.4 |
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
| 101. | Buffalo Bulls | +1 | 34.1 | 20.1 | 26.5 |
| 102. | Air Force Falcons | -5 | 34.0 | 20.4 | 26.3 |
| 103. | North Texas Mean Green | +4 | 30.4 | 20.3 | 28.7 |
| 104. | Rice Owls | - | 30.0 | 20.4 | 28.4 |
| 105. | FIU Golden Panthers | +1 | 29.5 | 20.2 | 28.2 |
| 106. | UTEP Miners | -3 | 29.1 | 19.5 | 27.6 |
| 107. | Colorado State Rams | +1 | 27.9 | 17.6 | 26.0 |
| 108. | UNLV Rebels | +2 | 26.0 | 19.1 | 28.1 |
| 109. | Army Black Knights | - | 25.5 | 19.2 | 29.1 |
| 110. | Tulane Green Wave | -5 | 25.1 | 18.2 | 27.5 |
| 111. | Eastern Michigan Eagles | +2 | 24.3 | 16.1 | 27.0 |
| 112. | UAB Blazers | +2 | 24.2 | 19.7 | 30.1 |
| 113. | Southern Miss Golden Eagles | -2 | 23.9 | 18.3 | 28.5 |
| 114. | New Mexico Lobos | +1 | 22.5 | 18.6 | 29.2 |
| 115. | New Mexico State Aggies | +2 | 21.7 | 18.9 | 30.8 |
| 116. | Florida Atlantic Owls | +3 | 21.5 | 17.3 | 29.1 |
| 117. | Memphis Tigers | -5 | 21.2 | 18.1 | 29.6 |
| 118. | Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners | - | 20.6 | 18.9 | 31.4 |
| 119. | Idaho Vandals | -3 | 20.1 | 17.7 | 29.9 |
| 120. | Hawaii Warriors | - | 19.4 | 15.6 | 29.0 |
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
| 121. | Texas State Bobcats | - | 19.2 | 17.2 | 30.2 |
| 122. | Akron Zips | - | 17.8 | 16.2 | 29.8 |
| 123. | South Alabama Jaguars | - | 16.0 | 15.7 | 30.1 |
| 124. | Massachusetts Minutemen | - | 14.2 | 15.0 | 30.3 |
Jake Westrich is the digital content coordinator for WhatIfSports.com. He can be reached at jwestrich@whatifsports.com.



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