NCAA football final power rankings
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WhatIfSports.com utilizes its NCAA football simulation to present the most comprehensive and unbiased ranking of all 124 FBS teams. We simulated thousands of games and used those winning percentages to evaluate every team. All 124 teams are ranked below with their average points for and against from the simulated games. Simulations are based on updated rosters and depth charts so significant week-to-week changes may occur once the regular season kicks off.
Teams Ranked by Winning Percentage
(everyone plays everyone 100 times)
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Alabama Crimson Tide | - | 82.9 | 30.5 | 16.4 |
| 2. | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | - | 80.4 | 30.2 | 17.6 |
| 3. | Georgia Bulldogs | - | 77.7 | 29.4 | 18.2 |
| 4. | LSU Tigers | - | 77.3 | 27.5 | 16.4 |
| 5. | Ohio State Buckeyes | +3 | 76.4 | 28.8 | 18.6 |
| 6. | Florida Gators | - | 76.0 | 26.5 | 16.9 |
| 7. | Kansas State Wildcats | +9 | 75.4 | 28.1 | 18.2 |
| 8. | Texas A&M Aggies | -1 | 75.0 | 29.8 | 20.0 |
| 9. | Oregon Ducks | -4 | 74.0 | 29.2 | 19.3 |
| 10. | Oklahoma Sooners | - | 73.8 | 31.1 | 21.1 |
| 11. | South Carolina Gamecocks | -2 | 72.6 | 25.6 | 17.1 |
| 12. | Stanford Cardinal | - | 71.4 | 27.1 | 18.4 |
| 13. | Florida State Seminoles | -2 | 70.1 | 27.2 | 19.1 |
| 14. | Clemson Tigers | - | 69.4 | 29.3 | 21.6 |
| 15. | Oregon State Beavers | +3 | 68.9 | 28.1 | 20.5 |
| 16. | Penn State Nittany Lions | +8 | 68.1 | 26.4 | 19.8 |
| 17. | UCLA Bruins | +2 | 67.8 | 26.7 | 19.8 |
| 18. | Nebraska Cornhuskers | -5 | 66.6 | 28.0 | 21.8 |
| 19. | USC Trojans | +7 | 66.5 | 28.2 | 21.9 |
| 20. | Michigan Wolverines | - | 66.4 | 26.4 | 19.8 |
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
| 21. | Wisconsin Badgers | +15 | 66.4 | 26.2 | 20.3 |
| 22. | Texas Longhorns | -7 | 65.6 | 25.2 | 19.1 |
| 23. | Boise State Broncos | - | 65.2 | 27.5 | 21.8 |
| 24. | Oklahoma State Cowboys | -2 | 65.2 | 27.9 | 22.3 |
| 25. | Northwestern Wildcats | - | 64.8 | 27.3 | 21.7 |
| 26. | Iowa State Cyclones | +1 | 64.6 | 27.3 | 21.5 |
| 27. | Texas Tech Red Raiders | -6 | 64.1 | 29.8 | 23.9 |
| 28. | Cincinnati Bearcats | +10 | 63.5 | 26.1 | 20.8 |
| 29. | West Virginia Mountaineers | -1 | 63.4 | 29.2 | 24.4 |
| 30. | TCU Horned Frogs | -13 | 63.4 | 26.6 | 21.6 |
| 31. | Mississippi State Bulldogs | -1 | 62.9 | 26.2 | 21.2 |
| 32. | Baylor Bears | +10 | 62.7 | 28.7 | 24.0 |
| 33. | Vanderbilt Commodores | -4 | 62.4 | 23.7 | 19.0 |
| 34. | North Carolina Tar Heels | +3 | 62.2 | 27.9 | 23.3 |
| 35. | Arizona Wildcats | -2 | 62.0 | 28.8 | 24.2 |
| 36. | Louisville Cardinals | -5 | 61.7 | 26.0 | 21.3 |
| 37. | Rutgers Scarlet Knights | -2 | 61.6 | 25.0 | 20.7 |
| 38. | Mississippi Rebels | -6 | 61.2 | 24.9 | 20.3 |
| 39. | Virginia Tech Hokies | - | 60.8 | 26.0 | 22.2 |
| 40. | Michigan State Spartans | - | 60.2 | 24.3 | 20.6 |
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
| 41. | Miami (FL) Hurricanes | -7 | 59.3 | 27.3 | 23.1 |
| 42. | Arizona State Sun Devils | -1 | 58.9 | 26.2 | 22.6 |
| 43. | Washington Huskies | +1 | 58.2 | 25.9 | 22.8 |
| 44. | North Carolina State Wolfpack | +5 | 57.7 | 24.0 | 21.0 |
| 45. | Arkansas Razorbacks | +6 | 57.5 | 25.8 | 22.8 |
| 46. | Purdue Boilermakers | -1 | 57.4 | 24.9 | 22.6 |
| 47. | Brigham Young Cougars | +7 | 57.2 | 24.8 | 22.3 |
| 48. | Virginia Cavaliers | +7 | 57.0 | 24.4 | 22.3 |
| 49. | Syracuse Orange | -6 | 56.9 | 26.3 | 23.6 |
| 50. | Missouri Tigers | -4 | 56.0 | 23.2 | 21.2 |
| 51. | Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets | -1 | 55.8 | 25.9 | 23.4 |
| 52. | Utah State Aggies | -5 | 54.9 | 26.4 | 24.8 |
| 53. | Indiana Hoosiers | +3 | 54.9 | 26.6 | 25.0 |
| 54. | UCF Knights | +4 | 54.4 | 25.7 | 23.9 |
| 55. | Utah Utes | -7 | 54.3 | 23.0 | 21.5 |
| 56. | Connecticut Huskies | +7 | 53.9 | 22.4 | 21.0 |
| 57. | Tulsa Golden Hurricane | +8 | 53.6 | 26.5 | 25.2 |
| 58. | Duke Blue Devils | +2 | 53.5 | 27.1 | 25.6 |
| 59. | Tennessee Volunteers | -2 | 53.3 | 23.8 | 22.7 |
| 60. | Iowa Hawkeyes | +1 | 53.3 | 24.2 | 23.2 |
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
| 61. | San Jose State Spartans | -2 | 53.2 | 27.4 | 26.4 |
| 62. | Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | -9 | 53.1 | 28.3 | 27.1 |
| 63. | Fresno State Bulldogs | +9 | 52.0 | 26.1 | 25.7 |
| 64. | Northern Illinois Huskies | +4 | 52.0 | 24.3 | 23.7 |
| 65. | Pittsburgh Panthers | -13 | 51.6 | 24.8 | 23.7 |
| 66. | San Diego State Aztecs | -4 | 51.3 | 24.9 | 24.3 |
| 67. | Maryland Terrapins | - | 51.0 | 24.1 | 23.6 |
| 68. | Minnesota Golden Gophers | +1 | 50.8 | 23.6 | 22.8 |
| 69. | Wake Forest Demon Deacons | +4 | 49.8 | 23.5 | 23.3 |
| 70. | Temple Owls | -6 | 49.5 | 22.4 | 22.4 |
| 71. | Kent State Golden Flashes | - | 49.4 | 22.3 | 22.1 |
| 72. | Toledo Rockets | -6 | 49.2 | 25.6 | 26.0 |
| 73. | Arkansas State Red Wolves | +2 | 48.9 | 25.4 | 25.6 |
| 74. | Ball State Cardinals | -4 | 46.7 | 25.7 | 26.2 |
| 75. | Kansas Jayhawks | +7 | 46.7 | 23.9 | 25.7 |
| 76. | Nevada Wolf Pack | - | 46.5 | 23.8 | 25.0 |
| 77. | California Golden Bears | -3 | 45.3 | 22.0 | 23.4 |
| 78. | Ohio Bobcats | -1 | 44.8 | 23.5 | 25.8 |
| 79. | Auburn Tigers | +1 | 44.7 | 20.9 | 22.7 |
| 80. | Washington State Cougars | +3 | 44.4 | 23.3 | 25.6 |
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
| 81. | Illinois Fighting Illini | +7 | 43.9 | 20.2 | 22.2 |
| 82. | Boston College Eagles | +3 | 43.7 | 22.3 | 24.6 |
| 83. | Bowling Green Falcons | +3 | 43.3 | 23.1 | 25.5 |
| 84. | Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | -3 | 42.8 | 25.1 | 27.5 |
| 85. | South Florida Bulls | -1 | 42.7 | 22.8 | 25.1 |
| 86. | East Carolina Pirates | -7 | 42.5 | 24.1 | 26.5 |
| 87. | Colorado Buffaloes | - | 41.7 | 21.8 | 25.4 |
| 88. | Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | -10 | 41.5 | 23.6 | 26.1 |
| 89. | Navy Midshipmen | +3 | 39.2 | 21.7 | 25.8 |
| 90. | Houston Cougars | +1 | 38.7 | 24.5 | 27.9 |
| 91. | Marshall Thundering Herd | +3 | 38.5 | 22.6 | 26.3 |
| 92. | Kentucky Wildcats | -2 | 38.3 | 18.1 | 22.4 |
| 93. | Southern Methodist Mustangs | -4 | 38.3 | 23.7 | 27.9 |
| 94. | Central Michigan Chippewas | +2 | 38.3 | 23.3 | 27.4 |
| 95. | Air Force Falcons | +6 | 38.1 | 20.9 | 25.3 |
| 96. | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | -3 | 37.4 | 23.9 | 28.4 |
| 97. | Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | +5 | 36.7 | 21.5 | 26.2 |
| 98. | Miami (OH) RedHawks | -3 | 36.4 | 21.2 | 26.3 |
| 99. | Troy Trojans | -1 | 36.2 | 24.7 | 29.9 |
| 100. | Buffalo Bulls | +3 | 36.1 | 20.8 | 26.3 |
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
| 101. | Wyoming Cowboys | -2 | 36.0 | 21.1 | 26.3 |
| 102. | Western Michigan Broncos | -5 | 35.9 | 23.2 | 28.5 |
| 103. | Rice Owls | -3 | 34.2 | 22.1 | 27.5 |
| 104. | FIU Golden Panthers | - | 31.3 | 20.3 | 27.7 |
| 105. | UTEP Miners | - | 29.2 | 19.5 | 27.6 |
| 106. | North Texas Mean Green | +2 | 29.0 | 20.6 | 28.7 |
| 107. | Colorado State Rams | -1 | 27.9 | 18.1 | 26.0 |
| 108. | Army Black Knights | +2 | 27.1 | 19.0 | 28.3 |
| 109. | Memphis Tigers | -2 | 25.8 | 19.6 | 28.4 |
| 110. | Tulane Green Wave | -1 | 25.5 | 17.9 | 27.8 |
| 111. | Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners | +1 | 23.8 | 20.6 | 31.1 |
| 112. | New Mexico Lobos | +1 | 23.8 | 18.9 | 28.9 |
| 113. | UNLV Rebels | +2 | 23.5 | 18.3 | 28.6 |
| 114. | Florida Atlantic Owls | -3 | 22.0 | 17.4 | 28.8 |
| 115. | Eastern Michigan Eagles | -1 | 21.7 | 16.0 | 27.1 |
| 116. | Idaho Vandals | - | 21.1 | 17.6 | 29.8 |
| 117. | Hawaii Warriors | +1 | 20.4 | 16.3 | 28.6 |
| 118. | Texas State Bobcats | +3 | 20.3 | 17.2 | 29.5 |
| 119. | UAB Blazers | - | 19.6 | 17.6 | 29.8 |
| 120. | Southern Miss Golden Eagles | +2 | 19.4 | 16.8 | 29.4 |
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
| 121. | Akron Zips | -1 | 17.9 | 16.1 | 29.9 |
| 122. | South Alabama Jaguars | +1 | 17.3 | 15.7 | 29.9 |
| 123. | New Mexico State Aggies | -6 | 17.1 | 18.2 | 32.4 |
| 124. | Massachusetts Minutemen | - | 16.6 | 15.5 | 29.9 |
Jake Westrich is the digital content coordinator for WhatIfSports.com. He can be reached at jwestrich@whatifsports.com.



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