Week 4 NFL Projections

BtB Previews Week 4 in Fantasy Football

By Paul Bessire, WhatIfSports.com

September 25th, 2007

NFL Football is here. With all of the work already done on our end, we figured we would share our comprehensive, week-by-week fantasy football projections with our users, as the focus of our weekly BtB feature. This thorough analysis and statistical evaluation of every player and team in the NFL is part of a broader endeavor with FOXSports.com's Fantasy Football. Each regular season game is simulated 61 times, with the averages of those games being our final predicted outcome. This allows us to account for ever player and stat. As Rosters and depth charts are up-to-date and as accurate as possible as of the Monday before each week's games. We will update these projections each week on Tuesday morning. The same is true for the widget that appears on this page and includes game scores.

To view a pop-up with positional rankings, please click on one of the links below. Good luck this season!

Quarterback	Running Back	Wide Receiver	Tight End
Kicker	Team Defense	Individual Defense

Overall rankings

	Name	Pos	Team	Opp	Points
1.	Tony Romo	QB	Cowboys	Rams	33.8
2.	Brian Westbrook	RB	Eagles	Giants	28.3
3.	Ben Roethlisberger	QB	Steelers	Cardinals	27.7
4.	Chad Pennington	QB	Jets	Bills	27.2
5.	Tom Brady	QB	Patriots	Bengals	25.1
6.	Ronnie Brown	RB	Dolphins	Raiders	24.8
7.	Matt Hasselbeck	QB	Seahawks	49ers	24.5
8.	Willie Parker	RB	Steelers	Cardinals	24.3
9.	Joseph Addai	RB	Colts	Broncos	23.5
10.	Thomas Jones	RB	Jets	Bills	23.1
11.	Peyton Manning	QB	Colts	Broncos	22.9
12.	Jon Kitna	QB	Lions	Bears	22.5
13.	Willis McGahee	RB	Ravens	Browns	22.3
14.	Randy Moss	WR	Patriots	Bengals	22.2
	Name	Pos	Team	Opp	Points
15.	Donovan McNabb	QB	Eagles	Giants	21.8
16.	Jeff Garcia	QB	Buccaneers	Panthers	21.5
17.	Derrick Ward	RB	Giants	Eagles	21.4
18.	LaMont Jordan	RB	Raiders	Dolphins	21.2
19.	David Carr	QB	Panthers	Buccaneers	21.1
20.	Rex Grossman	QB	Bears	Lions	21.1
21.	Trent Green	QB	Dolphins	Raiders	20.3
22.	Daunte Culpepper	QB	Raiders	Dolphins	19.7
23.	Jerricho Cotchery	WR	Jets	Bills	19.6
24.	Terrell Owens	WR	Cowboys	Rams	19.6
25.	Brett Favre	QB	Packers	Vikings	19.4
26.	Joey Galloway	WR	Buccaneers	Panthers	19.0
27.	Eli Manning	QB	Giants	Eagles	18.7
28.	Derek Anderson	QB	Browns	Ravens	18.6
29.	Joey Harrington	QB	Falcons	Texans	18.3
	Name	Pos	Team	Opp	Points
30.	Philip Rivers	QB	Chargers	Chiefs	18.2
31.	Matt Schaub	QB	Texans	Falcons	17.9
32.	Laurence Maroney	RB	Patriots	Bengals	17.8
33.	Marion Barber III	RB	Cowboys	Rams	17.8
34.	Shaun Alexander	RB	Seahawks	49ers	17.3
35.	Damon Huard	QB	Chiefs	Chargers	16.7
36.	LaDainian Tomlinson	RB	Chargers	Chiefs	16.7
37.	Alex Smith	QB	49ers	Seahawks	16.6
38.	Marshawn Lynch	RB	Bills	Jets	16.2
39.	Jason Witten	TE	Cowboys	Rams	15.7
40.	Steve Smith	WR	Panthers	Buccaneers	15.5
41.	Chris Chambers	WR	Dolphins	Raiders	15.2
42.	Trent Edwards	QB	Bills	Jets	15.2
43.	Adrian Peterson	RB	Vikings	Packers	15.0
44.	Cedric Benson	RB	Bears	Lions	14.9
	Name	Pos	Team	Opp	Points
45.	Bernard Berrian	WR	Bears	Lions	14.8
46.	Jamal Lewis	RB	Browns	Ravens	14.7
47.	DeShaun Foster	RB	Panthers	Buccaneers	14.6
48.	Chad Johnson	WR	Bengals	Patriots	14.2
49.	Larry Johnson	RB	Chiefs	Chargers	14.1
50.	Frank Gore	RB	49ers	Seahawks	14.1
51.	Kellen Winslow	TE	Browns	Ravens	14.0
52.	Ahman Green	RB	Texans	Falcons	13.9
53.	Julius Jones	RB	Cowboys	Rams	13.8
54.	Antonio Gates	TE	Chargers	Chiefs	13.7
55.	Travis Henry	RB	Broncos	Colts	13.7
56.	Ronald Curry	WR	Raiders	Dolphins	13.3
57.	Edgerrin James	RB	Cardinals	Steelers	13.2
58.	Jay Cutler	QB	Broncos	Colts	13.2
59.	Kevin Curtis	WR	Eagles	Giants	12.9
	Name	Pos	Team	Opp	Points
60.	Steve McNair	QB	Ravens	Browns	12.9
61.	Roy Williams	WR	Lions	Bears	12.7
62.	Carson Palmer	QB	Bengals	Patriots	12.7
63.	Laveranues Coles	WR	Jets	Bills	12.6
64.	Anquan Boldin	WR	Cardinals	Steelers	12.4
65.	Santonio Holmes	WR	Steelers	Cardinals	12.2
66.	Reggie Wayne	WR	Colts	Broncos	12.1
67.	Roddy White	WR	Falcons	Texans	11.9
68.	Bobby Engram	WR	Seahawks	49ers	11.8
69.	Marvin Harrison	WR	Colts	Broncos	11.8
70.	Cowboys	DEF		Rams	11.7
71.	Plaxico Burress	WR	Giants	Eagles	11.6
72.	Wes Welker	WR	Patriots	Bengals	11.6
73.	Nick Folk	K	Cowboys	Rams	11.3
74.	Braylon Edwards	WR	Browns	Ravens	11.2
	Name	Pos	Team	Opp	Points
75.	Deion Branch	WR	Seahawks	49ers	11.0
76.	Heath Miller	TE	Steelers	Cardinals	10.9
77.	Adam Vinatieri	K	Colts	Broncos	10.8
78.	Warrick Dunn	RB	Falcons	Texans	10.7
79.	Darrell Jackson	WR	49ers	Seahawks	10.7
80.	John Kasay	K	Panthers	Buccaneers	10.5
81.	Ike Hilliard	WR	Buccaneers	Panthers	10.5
82.	Javon Walker	WR	Broncos	Colts	10.4
83.	Brandon Jackson	RB	Packers	Vikings	10.2
84.	Jeff Reed	K	Steelers	Cardinals	10.1
85.	Kelly Holcomb	QB	Vikings	Packers	10.0
86.	Derrick Mason	WR	Ravens	Browns	10.0
87.	Matt Leinart	QB	Cardinals	Steelers	9.9
88.	Mason Crosby	K	Packers	Vikings	9.9
89.	Marc Bulger	QB	Rams	Cowboys	9.9
	Name	Pos	Team	Opp	Points
90.	Hines Ward	WR	Steelers	Cardinals	9.7
91.	Donald Driver	WR	Packers	Vikings	9.5
92.	Sammy Morris	RB	Patriots	Bengals	9.4
93.	Tatum Bell	RB	Lions	Bears	9.4
94.	T.J. Houshmandzadeh	WR	Bengals	Patriots	9.3
95.	Patriots	DEF		Bengals	9.1
96.	Brian Leonard	RB	Rams	Cowboys	9.0
97.	Torry Holt	WR	Rams	Cowboys	9.0
98.	Roscoe Parrish	WR	Bills	Jets	8.9
99.	Nate Kaeding	K	Chargers	Chiefs	8.8
100.	Brandon Marshall	WR	Broncos	Colts	8.8
101.	Jason Hanson	K	Lions	Bears	8.7
102.	Desmond Clark	TE	Bears	Lions	8.6
103.	Vincent Jackson	WR	Chargers	Chiefs	8.5
104.	Nate Burleson	WR	Seahawks	49ers	8.4
	Name	Pos	Team	Opp	Points
105.	Calvin Johnson	WR	Lions	Bears	8.4
106.	Shaun McDonald	WR	Lions	Bears	8.4
107.	Robbie Gould	K	Bears	Lions	8.3
108.	Tony Gonzalez	TE	Chiefs	Chargers	8.3
109.	Jay Feely	K	Dolphins	Raiders	8.3
110.	Amani Toomer	WR	Giants	Eagles	8.3
111.	Jeremy Shockey	TE	Giants	Eagles	8.3
112.	David Akers	K	Eagles	Giants	8.2
113.	Sebastian Janikowski	K	Raiders	Dolphins	8.1
114.	Marty Booker	WR	Dolphins	Raiders	8.1
115.	Greg Jennings	WR	Packers	Vikings	8.1
116.	Ron Dayne	RB	Texans	Falcons	8.0
117.	Todd Heap	TE	Ravens	Browns	8.0
118.	Larry Fitzgerald	WR	Cardinals	Steelers	8.0
119.	Jason Elam	K	Broncos	Colts	8.0
	Name	Pos	Team	Opp	Points
120.	Dave Rayner	K	Chiefs	Chargers	7.9
121.	Steelers	DEF		Cardinals	7.9
122.	Bears	DEF		Lions	7.9
123.	Stephen Gostkowski	K	Patriots	Bengals	7.9
124.	Matt Bryant	K	Buccaneers	Panthers	7.8
125.	Matt Stover	K	Ravens	Browns	7.8
126.	Alge Crumpler	TE	Falcons	Texans	7.7
127.	DeAngelo Williams	RB	Panthers	Buccaneers	7.7
128.	Chargers	DEF		Chiefs	7.7
129.	Mike Nugent	K	Jets	Bills	7.7
130.	Kris Brown	K	Texans	Falcons	7.6
131.	Owen Daniels	TE	Texans	Falcons	7.5
132.	Isaac Bruce	WR	Rams	Cowboys	7.5
133.	Kyle Boller	QB	Ravens	Browns	7.4
134.	Lions	DEF		Bears	7.4
	Name	Pos	Team	Opp	Points
135.	Rudi Johnson	RB	Bengals	Patriots	7.4
136.	Jeff King	TE	Panthers	Buccaneers	7.3
137.	Carnell Williams	RB	Buccaneers	Panthers	7.2
138.	Eagles	DEF		Giants	7.1
139.	Josh Brown	K	Seahawks	49ers	7.1
140.	Alex Smith	TE	Buccaneers	Panthers	7.0
141.	Colts	DEF		Broncos	6.9
142.	Arnaz Battle	WR	49ers	Seahawks	6.9
143.	Morten Andersen	K	Falcons	Texans	6.8
144.	James Jones	WR	Packers	Vikings	6.8
145.	Chiefs	DEF		Chargers	6.8
146.	Dallas Clark	TE	Colts	Broncos	6.7
147.	Jerry Porter	WR	Raiders	Dolphins	6.7
148.	Panthers	DEF		Buccaneers	6.5
149.	Bobby Wade	WR	Vikings	Packers	6.5
	Name	Pos	Team	Opp	Points
150.	Neil Rackers	K	Cardinals	Steelers	6.4
151.	Anthony Gonzalez	WR	Colts	Broncos	6.4
152.	Lawrence Tynes	K	Giants	Eagles	6.4
153.	Jerious Norwood	RB	Falcons	Texans	6.4
154.	Ryan Longwell	K	Vikings	Packers	6.3
155.	Ravens	DEF		Browns	6.2
156.	Seahawks	DEF		49ers	6.1
157.	Phil Dawson	K	Browns	Ravens	6.1
158.	Dwayne Bowe	WR	Chiefs	Chargers	6.1
159.	Jesse Chatman	RB	Dolphins	Raiders	6.0
160.	Joe Jurevicius	WR	Browns	Ravens	6.0
161.	Demetrius Williams	WR	Ravens	Browns	6.0
162.	Greg Olsen	TE	Bears	Lions	5.9
163.	Joe Nedney	K	49ers	Seahawks	5.8
164.	Sam Hurd	WR	Cowboys	Rams	5.8
	Name	Pos	Team	Opp	Points
165.	Patrick Crayton	WR	Cowboys	Rams	5.8
166.	49ers	DEF		Seahawks	5.6
167.	Rian Lindell	K	Bills	Jets	5.5
168.	Jameel Cook	RB	Texans	Falcons	5.5
169.	Mike Furrey	WR	Lions	Bears	5.5
170.	Packers	DEF		Vikings	5.3
171.	John Madsen	TE	Raiders	Dolphins	5.3
172.	Dolphins	DEF		Raiders	5.3
173.	Texans	DEF		Falcons	5.3
174.	Jets	DEF		Bills	5.3
175.	Lee Evans	WR	Bills	Jets	5.3
176.	Selvin Young	RB	Broncos	Colts	5.2
177.	Peerless Price	WR	Bills	Jets	5.2
178.	Jeff Wilkins	K	Rams	Cowboys	5.2
179.	Kevin Walter	WR	Texans	Falcons	5.2
	Name	Pos	Team	Opp	Points
180.	Drew Carter	WR	Panthers	Buccaneers	5.2
181.	Vikings	DEF		Packers	5.1
182.	Vonta Leach	RB	Texans	Falcons	5.1
183.	Reggie Brown	WR	Eagles	Giants	5.0
184.	Mack Strong	RB	Seahawks	49ers	4.9
185.	Samie Parker	WR	Chiefs	Chargers	4.9
186.	Nate Washington	WR	Steelers	Cardinals	4.9
187.	Mark Clayton	WR	Ravens	Browns	4.9
188.	Mewelde Moore	RB	Vikings	Packers	4.9
189.	Brandon Stokley	WR	Broncos	Colts	4.7
190.	Vernon Davis	TE	49ers	Seahawks	4.7
191.	Randy McMichael	TE	Rams	Cowboys	4.7
192.	Shayne Graham	K	Bengals	Patriots	4.6
193.	Michael Pittman	RB	Buccaneers	Panthers	4.5
194.	Joe Horn	WR	Falcons	Texans	4.5
	Name	Pos	Team	Opp	Points
195.	Donald Lee	TE	Packers	Vikings	4.5
196.	DeShawn Wynn	RB	Packers	Vikings	4.5
197.	Justin Fargas	RB	Raiders	Dolphins	4.5
198.	Brad Smith	WR	Jets	Bills	4.4
199.	Kevin Jones	RB	Lions	Bears	4.3
200.	Jeff Webb	WR	Chiefs	Chargers	4.3

* The individual players and defensive teams are ranked based entirely on projected weekly fantasy points using the FOX Fantasy Football Default Scoring where for QBs, RBs, WRs and TE, all TDs are 6 points, each 25 yards passing are 1 point, interceptions are -2 points, fumbles lost are -2 points, each ten yards receiving are 1 point and two-point conversions are 2 points. For kickers, all extra points are 1 point and all field goals are at least 3 points with an extra bonus point for field goals made over 40 yards and another bonus point for field goals made over 50 yards. Individual defensive players (linked to below, but not inlcuded in overall rankings) earn 1 point for each solo tackle, 1 point for each sack, 2 points for each interception and six points for each touchdown. Team defenses include special teams and are treated similarly for sacks, interceptions and touchdown returns, while a more complex system, based on the outcome of each individual game, is utilized for points allowed per game.

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