CFB Power Rankings

9/29/2008 Rankings

By Paul Bessire, WhatIfSports.com

September 29th, 2008

WhatIfSports.com utilizes its NCAA football simulation to present the most comprehensive, deterministic and unbiased ranking of all teams. We simulated every possible DI FBS match-up one hundred times, and used the winning percentages from 700,000+ games to evaluate every team. All 120 teams are ranked below with their average points for and against from the simulated games. Simulations are based on updated, strength-of-schedule-adjusted stats, so significant week-to-week changes could occur.

Teams Ranked by Winning Percentage
(everyone plays everyone 100 times)

	Team	Change	Win Pct	PF/G	PA/G
1.	Oklahoma Sooners	+1	98.5%	49.3	7.5
2.	Alabama Crimson Tide	+7	96.3%	45.4	7.8
3.	Penn State Nittany Lions	+5	96.2%	46.6	10.4
4.	Missouri Tigers	0	95.6%	50.8	18.4
5.	Texas Longhorns	+2	95.4%	48.4	12.7
6.	LSU Tigers	-1	92.8%	45.3	12.3
7.	Texas Tech Red Raiders	+5	88.1%	43.9	16.6
8.	Oklahoma State Cowboys	+8	87.9%	42.9	21.4
9.	Brigham Young Cougars	+2	86.7%	40.6	15.2
10.	Boise State Broncos	+4	85.5%	40.1	15.9
11.	South Florida Bulls	+7	85.3%	38.4	13.0
12.	USC Trojans	-11	83.6%	35.2	13.8
13.	Georgia Bulldogs	-7	82.7%	36.6	16.6
14.	Ohio State Buckeyes	+1	81.1%	32.1	14.7
15.	GA Tech Yellow Jackets	+4	80.8%	30.9	16.2
16.	Utah Utes	+6	79.6%	33.2	14.6
17.	Tulsa Golden Hurricane	+21	78.6%	44.5	25.4
18.	Ball State Cardinals	-1	78.1%	37.6	22.5
19.	Wisconsin Badgers	-9	76.9%	31.2	17.4
20.	Kentucky Wildcats	+29	75.0%	27.0	12.0
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PF/G	PA/G
21.	Florida Gators	-18	74.8%	28.8	15.3
22.	Florida State Seminoles	+22	74.8%	27.6	17.0
23.	Maryland Terrapins	+14	74.4%	31.2	21.0
24.	Kansas Jayhawks	-4	74.1%	28.2	18.7
25.	Kansas State Wildcats	+5	71.9%	32.2	22.8
26.	Oregon Ducks	+22	71.8%	33.0	20.1
27.	Nebraska Cornhuskers	-4	71.3%	31.1	22.6
28.	Arizona Wildcats	+3	71.0%	26.7	15.5
29.	Northwestern Wildcats	+22	70.7%	26.0	16.9
30.	Virginia Tech Hokies	+15	70.6%	26.7	18.6
31.	Connecticut Huskies	-6	70.1%	29.3	15.6
32.	W. Virginia Mountaineers	+25	70.0%	27.5	19.4
33.	North Carolina Tar Heels	+9	69.7%	27.9	22.1
34.	Baylor Bears	0	69.7%	32.2	19.7
35.	California Golden Bears	+8	69.5%	29.1	18.4
36.	Navy Midshipmen	+11	68.9%	36.9	23.9
37.	Auburn Tigers	-5	67.9%	21.9	12.1
38.	Iowa Hawkeyes	-2	67.3%	26.5	19.2
39.	TCU Horned Frogs	-18	67.0%	26.1	15.2
40.	Mississippi Rebels	+18	66.4%	30.2	20.8
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PF/G	PA/G
41.	Boston College Eagles	+9	65.5%	21.5	16.5
42.	WF Demon Deacons	-29	65.4%	24.2	19.8
43.	Vanderbilt Commodores	-4	64.5%	25.0	16.9
44.	Minn. Golden Gophers	-18	64.2%	28.0	22.7
45.	Fresno State Bulldogs	-10	63.6%	34.1	24.4
46.	Michigan State Spartans	-19	63.3%	25.4	21.3
47.	Northern Illinois Huskies	+7	62.8%	26.8	21.5
48.	Duke Blue Devils	+26	62.7%	21.3	19.6
49.	W. Michigan Broncos	+13	59.1%	26.7	23.0
50.	Arizona St. Sun Devils	-17	59.0%	26.8	22.4
51.	Michigan Wolverines	+10	58.9%	19.9	17.6
52.	Clemson Tigers	-28	57.6%	21.8	22.4
53.	Cincinnati Bearcats	-7	57.1%	28.5	22.5
54.	Tennessee Volunteers	+5	55.9%	23.2	19.3
55.	Miami (FL) Hurricanes	-15	55.5%	20.5	21.8
56.	Oregon State Beavers	+22	54.3%	22.8	20.5
57.	Houston Cougars	+32	53.8%	29.1	25.7
58.	Louisville Cardinals	-29	53.2%	24.8	21.3
59.	Arkansas St. Indians	-31	52.8%	24.7	25.2
60.	Illinois Fighting Illini	-4	50.8%	23.7	26.4
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PF/G	PA/G
61.	Nevada Wolf Pack	+15	50.6%	24.7	26.1
62.	Pittsburgh Panthers	-10	50.2%	19.0	22.3
63.	Indiana Hoosiers	0	49.3%	23.1	26.0
64.	Air Force Falcons	+4	49.0%	22.2	21.5
65.	Purdue Boilermakers	+5	48.6%	21.9	25.0
66.	Rice Owls	+37	47.1%	26.1	26.0
67.	S. Carolina Gamecocks	-2	44.8%	17.9	20.5
68.	Troy Trojans	-15	44.4%	22.3	22.4
69.	Colorado Buffaloes	-28	43.9%	16.1	23.1
70.	Iowa State Cyclones	-1	42.8%	20.2	27.7
71.	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	+10	42.4%	22.8	24.1
72.	UNLV Rebels	-17	41.4%	21.6	28.3
73.	S. Miss Golden Eagles	+4	39.5%	23.5	26.1
74.	LA-Laf Ragin' Cajuns	-3	38.9%	23.2	30.8
75.	Akron Zips	-2	38.7%	19.6	27.1
76.	Rutgers Scarlet Knights	+9	38.4%	18.2	28.0
77.	Tulane Green Wave	-5	37.6%	17.5	21.8
78.	Ohio Bobcats	-3	37.4%	17.9	25.1
79.	Stanford Cardinal	+25	37.1%	18.8	26.3
80.	C. Michigan Chippewas	+2	36.2%	18.9	27.3
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PF/G	PA/G
81.	East Carolina Pirates	-15	35.0%	19.1	25.0
82.	Memphis Tigers	+12	32.6%	20.4	27.1
83.	New Mexico State Aggies	+14	31.6%	18.2	29.7
84.	Bowling Green Falcons	+11	31.2%	12.2	24.3
85.	San Jose State Spartans	-6	30.7%	11.8	24.7
86.	Texas A&M Aggies	+1	28.8%	17.3	28.0
87.	Toledo Rockets	-23	27.6%	15.5	28.5
88.	Mid Tenn Blue Raiders	-4	27.5%	16.0	25.2
89.	Marshall Thundering Herd	-22	27.5%	17.2	27.1
90.	Mississippi State Bulldogs	+2	27.3%	12.1	24.2
91.	Hawaii Warriors	+20	25.6%	14.1	26.5
92.	Utah State Aggies	-4	24.8%	15.0	31.6
93.	NC St. Wolfpack	-33	24.7%	12.9	31.2
94.	Buffalo Bulls	-14	24.4%	16.8	27.0
95.	Colorado St. Rams	-9	24.3%	14.8	27.7
96.	Arkansas Razorbacks	-13	23.5%	15.4	29.8
97.	Syracuse Orange	+15	23.4%	14.5	33.0
98.	Florida Atlantic Owls	+11	23.2%	17.3	28.7
99.	UCLA Bruins	-8	23.1%	13.0	28.7
100.	Kent St. Golden Flashes	-1	23.1%	16.3	32.6
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PF/G	PA/G
101.	Miami (OH) RedHawks	-5	23.0%	12.8	28.6
102.	UAB Blazers	+12	21.8%	18.0	31.6
103.	UTEP Miners	+4	21.4%	15.0	29.8
104.	Louisiana Tech Bulldogs	-2	20.3%	10.4	29.3
105.	New Mexico Lobos	-12	19.8%	12.6	28.9
106.	San Diego State Aztecs	+11	19.4%	13.9	30.3
107.	E. Michigan Eagles	-17	16.5%	12.5	33.9
108.	Virginia Cavaliers	-10	16.4%	7.5	29.7
109.	Wyoming Cowboys	+4	15.4%	10.9	30.1
110.	Temple Owls	-5	15.2%	8.2	31.6
111.	LA-Monroe Warhawks	-1	13.7%	11.7	31.6
112.	Western Kentucky Hilltoppers	-6	13.5%	11.8	30.0
113.	SMU Mustangs	-5	13.1%	13.1	35.1
114.	Washington Huskies	-14	11.0%	10.0	35.0
115.	UCF Knights	0	10.7%	9.1	30.3
116.	Washington St. Cougars	-15	10.1%	9.6	35.4
117.	Fla. Int. Golden Panthers	-1	7.0%	6.8	30.6
118.	Army Black Knights	+1	6.8%	7.1	34.6
119.	Idaho Vandals	+1	6.0%	8.9	37.1
120.	North Texas Mean Green	-2	4.0%	8.8	41.7

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