CFB Power Rankings

10/13/2008 Rankings

By Paul Bessire, WhatIfSports.com

October 13th, 2008

WhatIfSports.com utilizes its NCAA football simulation to present the most comprehensive, deterministic and unbiased ranking of all teams. We simulated every possible DI FBS match-up one hundred times, and used the winning percentages from 700,000+ games to evaluate every team. All 120 teams are ranked below with their average points for and against from the simulated games. Simulations are based on updated, strength-of-schedule-adjusted stats, so significant week-to-week changes could occur.

Teams Ranked by Winning Percentage
(everyone plays everyone 100 times)

	Team	Change	Win Pct	PF/G	PA/G
1.	Texas Longhorns	+4	96.8%	51.4	12.6
2.	Penn State Nittany Lions	+1	96.5%	47.1	9.6
3.	Oklahoma Sooners	-2	95.8%	45.4	14.1
4.	Oklahoma State Cowboys	+4	95.5%	49.0	16.2
5.	Missouri Tigers	-3	92.9%	45.9	19.2
6.	Alabama Crimson Tide	+1	92.9%	39.5	8.0
7.	USC Trojans	-1	92.5%	40.7	9.5
8.	Texas Tech Red Raiders	+3	87.5%	43.9	17.2
9.	Ball State Cardinals	0	87.3%	43.8	19.7
10.	GA Tech Yellow Jackets	-6	86.9%	33.0	12.9
11.	Georgia Bulldogs	-1	86.8%	38.5	14.5
12.	Florida Gators	+9	86.4%	37.2	13.9
13.	Boise State Broncos	-1	85.0%	39.0	14.7
14.	Tulsa Golden Hurricane	-1	83.2%	47.3	25.1
15.	California Golden Bears	+3	82.4%	34.4	14.7
16.	Utah Utes	+1	82.1%	35.0	14.4
17.	North Carolina Tar Heels	-3	81.5%	33.8	19.3
18.	Florida State Seminoles	-2	80.5%	30.0	15.9
19.	TCU Horned Frogs	+6	79.2%	28.4	11.0
20.	Kansas Jayhawks	+9	77.9%	29.5	17.2
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PF/G	PA/G
21.	Michigan State Spartans	+9	77.4%	30.0	17.4
22.	Ohio State Buckeyes	-3	77.1%	27.5	13.7
23.	Brigham Young Cougars	+1	76.9%	33.8	16.7
24.	Virginia Tech Hokies	+9	73.9%	27.7	17.4
25.	South Florida Bulls	+10	72.5%	32.9	17.0
26.	Oregon State Beavers	+28	70.7%	30.5	19.5
27.	Boston College Eagles	-1	70.6%	26.1	17.8
28.	Iowa Hawkeyes	+3	70.5%	27.3	19.1
29.	WF Demon Deacons	+5	70.3%	20.9	15.0
30.	Minn. Golden Gophers	+9	69.8%	28.7	20.0
31.	Nebraska Cornhuskers	-4	69.3%	32.3	25.3
32.	LSU Tigers	-17	68.4%	29.1	18.4
33.	Oregon Ducks	+9	67.9%	29.1	19.5
34.	Cincinnati Bearcats	-2	67.8%	30.7	19.0
35.	Northwestern Wildcats	-15	67.6%	24.2	16.9
36.	Pittsburgh Panthers	+4	67.2%	24.1	18.7
37.	Maryland Terrapins	0	66.5%	27.0	22.8
38.	Navy Midshipmen	-10	65.6%	33.5	22.5
39.	Air Force Falcons	+11	64.6%	27.6	18.9
40.	W. Michigan Broncos	+5	64.5%	29.0	21.3
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PF/G	PA/G
41.	Illinois Fighting Illini	-18	64.1%	29.1	24.6
42.	Nevada Wolf Pack	+6	63.7%	30.4	24.7
43.	Arizona Wildcats	-5	61.8%	25.1	19.4
44.	S. Carolina Gamecocks	+2	61.7%	23.2	16.9
45.	Clemson Tigers	-9	61.0%	23.5	22.1
46.	Baylor Bears	+3	59.0%	27.1	21.2
47.	Kansas State Wildcats	+13	58.6%	27.0	25.8
48.	Mississippi Rebels	-4	58.5%	27.9	22.4
49.	Arkansas St. Indians	+10	57.9%	27.2	24.9
50.	Wisconsin Badgers	-9	57.9%	24.1	22.1
51.	W. Virginia Mountaineers	-4	57.9%	22.0	20.7
52.	Connecticut Huskies	-1	57.6%	25.9	19.8
53.	Houston Cougars	+2	54.7%	27.9	24.4
54.	Virginia Cavaliers	+34	54.4%	20.5	22.1
55.	New Mexico State Aggies	+6	53.5%	26.2	26.3
56.	Louisville Cardinals	+1	51.7%	25.8	22.6
57.	Indiana Hoosiers	-5	51.5%	23.5	25.5
58.	Arizona St. Sun Devils	-5	51.2%	23.0	23.1
59.	Northern Illinois Huskies	+3	50.4%	22.0	23.5
60.	Troy Trojans	-2	49.9%	24.5	21.6
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PF/G	PA/G
61.	San Jose State Spartans	+3	49.4%	17.6	19.8
62.	Stanford Cardinal	+9	49.0%	23.7	24.3
63.	Duke Blue Devils	-7	48.8%	18.4	23.5
64.	Vanderbilt Commodores	-42	47.8%	18.0	19.3
65.	Bowling Green Falcons	+12	45.8%	20.0	23.7
66.	Kentucky Wildcats	-23	45.7%	16.9	19.0
67.	Fresno State Bulldogs	+2	44.9%	27.3	28.1
68.	Arkansas Razorbacks	+21	44.1%	23.4	25.9
69.	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	+1	44.1%	20.6	21.4
70.	C. Michigan Chippewas	+4	42.6%	20.5	25.0
71.	Purdue Boilermakers	-4	42.5%	18.6	25.1
72.	UNLV Rebels	-4	41.5%	23.3	29.5
73.	Hawaii Warriors	+6	41.1%	21.6	24.7
74.	LA-Laf Ragin' Cajuns	+9	39.8%	24.8	31.8
75.	Miami (FL) Hurricanes	-2	37.7%	14.1	23.5
76.	Akron Zips	0	37.4%	19.0	27.2
77.	Colorado St. Rams	-5	36.0%	18.7	24.9
78.	Colorado Buffaloes	-12	35.6%	14.2	24.6
79.	Tennessee Volunteers	+3	35.2%	16.8	24.3
80.	Auburn Tigers	-15	33.3%	13.0	21.3
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PF/G	PA/G
81.	Rice Owls	0	33.2%	21.9	29.5
82.	East Carolina Pirates	-19	33.2%	18.2	24.0
83.	Buffalo Bulls	+2	31.8%	19.3	24.9
84.	Ohio Bobcats	+17	31.4%	17.3	27.8
85.	UTEP Miners	+15	31.1%	20.5	28.7
86.	Iowa State Cyclones	-8	30.4%	16.3	29.8
87.	S. Miss Golden Eagles	-1	30.2%	19.3	28.1
88.	Mid Tenn Blue Raiders	-8	29.7%	17.3	25.2
89.	Temple Owls	-5	28.9%	12.1	26.6
90.	Louisiana Tech Bulldogs	+1	28.9%	15.2	28.5
91.	Texas A&M Aggies	+5	28.5%	19.5	30.1
92.	NC St. Wolfpack	0	28.5%	14.1	28.7
93.	Memphis Tigers	-6	28.3%	21.3	30.5
94.	Michigan Wolverines	-19	27.2%	12.2	26.4
95.	Tulane Green Wave	+3	27.1%	18.7	29.0
96.	Fla. Int. Golden Panthers	+8	27.0%	15.2	23.9
97.	Toledo Rockets	+5	26.8%	14.9	27.8
98.	Mississippi State Bulldogs	+12	25.4%	12.7	25.0
99.	Marshall Thundering Herd	-9	25.4%	16.9	26.9
100.	New Mexico Lobos	-3	24.5%	14.3	26.8
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PF/G	PA/G
101.	Rutgers Scarlet Knights	-2	24.5%	13.9	31.4
102.	Utah State Aggies	-9	24.1%	14.0	30.5
103.	E. Michigan Eagles	-8	21.8%	16.2	33.4
104.	Syracuse Orange	-10	21.6%	13.8	33.8
105.	Wyoming Cowboys	+6	20.2%	12.6	27.6
106.	UCLA Bruins	+2	20.2%	12.0	28.5
107.	Kent St. Golden Flashes	0	19.4%	14.8	33.4
108.	Western Kentucky Hilltoppers	+1	19.1%	13.7	27.6
109.	Florida Atlantic Owls	-3	16.2%	14.8	29.6
110.	Army Black Knights	+3	15.7%	12.4	31.2
111.	San Diego State Aztecs	-8	15.6%	12.5	31.9
112.	SMU Mustangs	+3	14.5%	14.7	35.5
113.	UCF Knights	-1	13.1%	10.0	28.1
114.	Miami (OH) RedHawks	-9	13.0%	9.6	33.9
115.	Washington Huskies	+1	10.0%	11.4	37.0
116.	UAB Blazers	-2	9.8%	14.0	36.9
117.	North Texas Mean Green	0	5.5%	10.6	38.8
118.	Washington St. Cougars	0	4.2%	8.7	43.3
119.	LA-Monroe Warhawks	+1	3.0%	9.7	45.3
120.	Idaho Vandals	-1	2.8%	8.6	43.9

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