CFB Power Rankings

10/13/2008 Rankings
By Paul Bessire, WhatIfSports.com
October 13th, 2008

WhatIfSports.com utilizes its NCAA football simulation to present the most comprehensive, deterministic and unbiased ranking of all teams. We simulated every possible DI FBS match-up one hundred times, and used the winning percentages from 700,000+ games to evaluate every team. All 120 teams are ranked below with their average points for and against from the simulated games. Simulations are based on updated, strength-of-schedule-adjusted stats, so significant week-to-week changes could occur.

Teams Ranked by Winning Percentage
(everyone plays everyone 100 times)

 TeamChangeWin PctPF/GPA/G
1.Texas Longhorns+496.8%51.412.6
2.Penn State Nittany Lions+196.5%47.19.6
3.Oklahoma Sooners-295.8%45.414.1
4.Oklahoma State Cowboys+495.5%49.016.2
5.Missouri Tigers-392.9%45.919.2
6.Alabama Crimson Tide+192.9%39.58.0
7.USC Trojans-192.5%40.79.5
8.Texas Tech Red Raiders+387.5%43.917.2
9.Ball State Cardinals087.3%43.819.7
10.GA Tech Yellow Jackets-686.9%33.012.9
11.Georgia Bulldogs-186.8%38.514.5
12.Florida Gators+986.4%37.213.9
13.Boise State Broncos-185.0%39.014.7
14.Tulsa Golden Hurricane-183.2%47.325.1
15.California Golden Bears+382.4%34.414.7
16.Utah Utes+182.1%35.014.4
17.North Carolina Tar Heels-381.5%33.819.3
18.Florida State Seminoles-280.5%30.015.9
19.TCU Horned Frogs+679.2%28.411.0
20.Kansas Jayhawks+977.9%29.517.2
 TeamChangeWin PctPF/GPA/G
21.Michigan State Spartans+977.4%30.017.4
22.Ohio State Buckeyes-377.1%27.513.7
23.Brigham Young Cougars+176.9%33.816.7
24.Virginia Tech Hokies+973.9%27.717.4
25.South Florida Bulls+1072.5%32.917.0
26.Oregon State Beavers+2870.7%30.519.5
27.Boston College Eagles-170.6%26.117.8
28.Iowa Hawkeyes+370.5%27.319.1
29.WF Demon Deacons+570.3%20.915.0
30.Minn. Golden Gophers+969.8%28.720.0
31.Nebraska Cornhuskers-469.3%32.325.3
32.LSU Tigers-1768.4%29.118.4
33.Oregon Ducks+967.9%29.119.5
34.Cincinnati Bearcats-267.8%30.719.0
35.Northwestern Wildcats-1567.6%24.216.9
36.Pittsburgh Panthers+467.2%24.118.7
37.Maryland Terrapins066.5%27.022.8
38.Navy Midshipmen-1065.6%33.522.5
39.Air Force Falcons+1164.6%27.618.9
40.W. Michigan Broncos+564.5%29.021.3
 TeamChangeWin PctPF/GPA/G
41.Illinois Fighting Illini-1864.1%29.124.6
42.Nevada Wolf Pack+663.7%30.424.7
43.Arizona Wildcats-561.8%25.119.4
44.S. Carolina Gamecocks+261.7%23.216.9
45.Clemson Tigers-961.0%23.522.1
46.Baylor Bears+359.0%27.121.2
47.Kansas State Wildcats+1358.6%27.025.8
48.Mississippi Rebels-458.5%27.922.4
49.Arkansas St. Indians+1057.9%27.224.9
50.Wisconsin Badgers-957.9%24.122.1
51.W. Virginia Mountaineers-457.9%22.020.7
52.Connecticut Huskies-157.6%25.919.8
53.Houston Cougars+254.7%27.924.4
54.Virginia Cavaliers+3454.4%20.522.1
55.New Mexico State Aggies+653.5%26.226.3
56.Louisville Cardinals+151.7%25.822.6
57.Indiana Hoosiers-551.5%23.525.5
58.Arizona St. Sun Devils-551.2%23.023.1
59.Northern Illinois Huskies+350.4%22.023.5
60.Troy Trojans-249.9%24.521.6
 TeamChangeWin PctPF/GPA/G
61.San Jose State Spartans+349.4%17.619.8
62.Stanford Cardinal+949.0%23.724.3
63.Duke Blue Devils-748.8%18.423.5
64.Vanderbilt Commodores-4247.8%18.019.3
65.Bowling Green Falcons+1245.8%20.023.7
66.Kentucky Wildcats-2345.7%16.919.0
67.Fresno State Bulldogs+244.9%27.328.1
68.Arkansas Razorbacks+2144.1%23.425.9
69.Notre Dame Fighting Irish+144.1%20.621.4
70.C. Michigan Chippewas+442.6%20.525.0
71.Purdue Boilermakers-442.5%18.625.1
72.UNLV Rebels-441.5%23.329.5
73.Hawaii Warriors+641.1%21.624.7
74.LA-Laf Ragin' Cajuns+939.8%24.831.8
75.Miami (FL) Hurricanes-237.7%14.123.5
76.Akron Zips037.4%19.027.2
77.Colorado St. Rams-536.0%18.724.9
78.Colorado Buffaloes-1235.6%14.224.6
79.Tennessee Volunteers+335.2%16.824.3
80.Auburn Tigers-1533.3%13.021.3
 TeamChangeWin PctPF/GPA/G
81.Rice Owls033.2%21.929.5
82.East Carolina Pirates-1933.2%18.224.0
83.Buffalo Bulls+231.8%19.324.9
84.Ohio Bobcats+1731.4%17.327.8
85.UTEP Miners+1531.1%20.528.7
86.Iowa State Cyclones-830.4%16.329.8
87.S. Miss Golden Eagles-130.2%19.328.1
88.Mid Tenn Blue Raiders-829.7%17.325.2
89.Temple Owls-528.9%12.126.6
90.Louisiana Tech Bulldogs+128.9%15.228.5
91.Texas A&M Aggies+528.5%19.530.1
92.NC St. Wolfpack028.5%14.128.7
93.Memphis Tigers-628.3%21.330.5
94.Michigan Wolverines-1927.2%12.226.4
95.Tulane Green Wave+327.1%18.729.0
96.Fla. Int. Golden Panthers+827.0%15.223.9
97.Toledo Rockets+526.8%14.927.8
98.Mississippi State Bulldogs+1225.4%12.725.0
99.Marshall Thundering Herd-925.4%16.926.9
100.New Mexico Lobos-324.5%14.326.8
 TeamChangeWin PctPF/GPA/G
101.Rutgers Scarlet Knights-224.5%13.931.4
102.Utah State Aggies-924.1%14.030.5
103.E. Michigan Eagles-821.8%16.233.4
104.Syracuse Orange-1021.6%13.833.8
105.Wyoming Cowboys+620.2%12.627.6
106.UCLA Bruins+220.2%12.028.5
107.Kent St. Golden Flashes019.4%14.833.4
108.Western Kentucky Hilltoppers+119.1%13.727.6
109.Florida Atlantic Owls-316.2%14.829.6
110.Army Black Knights+315.7%12.431.2
111.San Diego State Aztecs-815.6%12.531.9
112.SMU Mustangs+314.5%14.735.5
113.UCF Knights-113.1%10.028.1
114.Miami (OH) RedHawks-913.0%9.633.9
115.Washington Huskies+110.0%11.437.0
116.UAB Blazers-29.8%14.036.9
117.North Texas Mean Green05.5%10.638.8
118.Washington St. Cougars04.2%8.743.3
119.LA-Monroe Warhawks+13.0%9.745.3
120.Idaho Vandals-12.8%8.643.9

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