NFL Power Rankings

10/14/2008 Rankings
By Paul Bessire, WhatIfSports.com
October 14th, 2008

WhatIfSports.com utilizes its NFL football simulation engine to present the most comprehensive, deterministic and unbiased ranking of all 32 teams. We simulated every possible match-up in the NFL 100 times, and used the winning percentages from those nearly 50,000 games to evaluate all every team. All 32 teams are ranked below with their average points for and against from the simulated games. Simulations are based on strength-of-schedule-adjusted stats and updated depth charts so significant week-to-week changes could occur.

Teams Ranked by Winning Percentage
(everyone plays everyone 100 times)

 TeamChangeWin PctPF/GPA/G
1.Tennessee Titans+494.7%29.77.5
2.Pittsburgh Steelers+883.8%28.110.0
3.Buffalo Bills+881.5%25.514.7
4.New York Giants-374.1%28.115.9
5.Arizona Cardinals+771.5%29.718.8
6.Tampa Bay Buccaneers+871.2%29.216.5
7.Dallas Cowboys-470.7%28.821.1
8.Washington Redskins-667.2%28.817.4
9.Atlanta Falcons+665.6%26.923.2
10.Carolina Panthers-664.8%25.415.4
11.Chicago Bears-564.6%24.220.9
12.Philadelphia Eagles-463.2%27.520.2
13.New York Jets-457.7%25.821.0
14.New Orleans Saints-156.8%27.423.4
15.Indianapolis Colts+856.0%24.823.2
16.Denver Broncos+155.5%26.626.5
 TeamChangeWin PctPF/GPA/G
17.Miami Dolphins-1055.0%26.124.5
18.Cleveland Browns+953.5%23.724.8
19.Minnesota Vikings+147.0%22.523.5
20.San Diego Chargers-445.6%26.625.3
21.New England Patriots-339.7%22.225.9
22.Green Bay Packers-139.1%22.828.8
23.Baltimore Ravens-136.9%21.122.6
24.Oakland Raiders-536.3%22.228.9
25.Jacksonville Jaguars+134.8%21.423.4
26.Kansas City Chiefs-123.5%19.633.2
27.Houston Texans+223.2%21.528.8
28.San Francisco 49ers-420.7%21.131.8
29.St. Louis Rams+317.6%17.533.8
30.Seattle Seahawks011.8%16.634.9
31.Cincinnati Bengals-38.8%13.239.9
32.Detroit Lions-17.6%16.244.6

Paul Bessire is the Senior Quantitative Analyst and Content Manager for WhatIfSports.com and a member of the Pro Football Writers of America. With any comments, questions or topic suggestions, Paul can be reached at BtB@whatifsports.com. Thanks!

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