NFL Power Rankings

11/10/2008 Rankings
By Paul Bessire, WhatIfSports.com
November 10th, 2008

WhatIfSports.com utilizes its NFL football simulation engine to present the most comprehensive, deterministic and unbiased ranking of all 32 teams. We simulated every possible match-up in the NFL 100 times, and used the winning percentages from those nearly 50,000 games to evaluate all every team. All 32 teams are ranked below with their average points for and against from the simulated games. Simulations are based on strength-of-schedule-adjusted stats and updated depth charts so significant week-to-week changes could occur.

Teams Ranked by Winning Percentage
(everyone plays everyone 100 times)

 TeamChangeWin PctPF/GPA/G
1.New York Giants+193.2%34.48.2
2.Tennessee Titans-189.7%28.67.5
3.Carolina Panthers+483.5%25.810.6
4.Baltimore Ravens+278.8%24.611.2
5.Tampa Bay Buccaneers+674.5%26.915.2
6.New York Jets+474.1%27.316.7
7.Washington Redskins-373.9%25.514.8
8.Pittsburgh Steelers-568.6%22.513.2
9.Arizona Cardinals-166.7%26.819.6
10.Dallas Cowboys+265.9%26.318.8
11.Philadelphia Eagles-662.8%24.819.1
12.Indianapolis Colts+660.1%21.817.2
13.Atlanta Falcons-458.3%25.020.8
14.Chicago Bears+157.5%22.718.5
15.Minnesota Vikings+257.0%22.619.5
16.Miami Dolphins-255.6%22.820.1
 TeamChangeWin PctPF/GPA/G
17.New England Patriots+449.9%21.720.9
18.San Diego Chargers+249.6%25.325.0
19.Buffalo Bills-644.7%21.323.0
20.New Orleans Saints-144.6%24.726.4
21.Green Bay Packers-539.3%21.926.5
22.Jacksonville Jaguars+634.6%18.524.9
23.Denver Broncos-134.5%20.727.6
24.Cleveland Browns-132.7%22.730.3
25.Houston Texans-131.0%21.129.4
26.San Francisco 49ers030.3%20.929.5
27.Oakland Raiders+320.8%17.731.8
28.Kansas City Chiefs+118.5%16.533.2
29.Seattle Seahawks+215.9%15.431.9
30.Cincinnati Bengals-315.1%14.331.8
31.St. Louis Rams-613.1%15.636.5
32.Detroit Lions05.6%14.340.8

Paul Bessire is the Senior Quantitative Analyst and Content Manager for WhatIfSports.com and a member of the Pro Football Writers of America. With any comments, questions or topic suggestions, Paul can be reached at BtB@whatifsports.com. Thanks!

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