College Football Power Rankings

Week 2 Rankings

By Paul Bessire, WhatIfSports.com

September 7th, 2009

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WhatIfSports.com utilizes its college football simulation to present the most comprehensive, deterministic and unbiased ranking of all teams. We simulated every possible DI FBS match-up one hundred times, and used the winning percentages from 700,000+ games to evaluate every team. All 120 teams are ranked below with their average points for and against from the simulated games. Simulations are based on updated, strength-of-schedule-adjusted stats, so significant week-to-week changes could occur.

Teams Ranked by Winning Percentage
(everyone plays everyone 100 times)

	Team	Change	Win Pct	PS/G	PA/G
1.	Florida Gators	-	98.4	48.2	6.4
2.	Texas Longhorns	-	98.2	45.5	8.8
3.	USC Trojans	+1	96.5	43.6	9.0
4.	Alabama Crimson Tide	+1	93.1	33.5	8.0
5.	Oklahoma State Cowboys	+1	91.9	43.1	15.3
6.	California Golden Bears	+4	89.9	33.8	10.3
7.	Mississippi Rebels	+1	88.6	37.0	14.5
8.	Oklahoma Sooners	-5	87.3	32.9	12.0
9.	LSU Tigers	-2	87.3	34.4	13.8
10.	Penn State Nittany Lions	+1	84.6	31.1	13.2
11.	Ohio State Buckeyes	-2	81.9	27.7	11.7
12.	Missouri Tigers	+24	80.4	33.4	17.5
13.	Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets	+2	79.8	31.4	14.4
14.	West Virginia Mountaineers	-2	78.7	28.8	14.0
15.	Virginia Tech Hokies	+3	77.2	26.0	12.9
16.	Brigham Young Cougars	+8	76.7	29.9	16.9
17.	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	+9	76.5	27.6	14.6
18.	Boise State Broncos	+5	76.3	27.5	15.3
19.	Georgia Bulldogs	-6	76.2	27.7	15.0
20.	Nebraska Cornhuskers	+9	75.8	29.8	17.1
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PS/G	PA/G
21.	TCU Horned Frogs	-4	75.7	26.0	13.7
22.	Houston Cougars	-	74.6	33.2	21.1
23.	Oregon Ducks	-2	74.5	28.0	16.1
24.	Kansas Jayhawks	+1	74.2	32.1	19.6
25.	Tennessee Volunteers	+7	73.2	23.5	13.2
26.	Utah Utes	-6	73.0	26.2	15.6
27.	Florida State Seminoles	-11	72.9	26.7	15.4
28.	Air Force Falcons	+16	71.2	28.2	18.3
29.	Oregon State Beavers	+9	70.6	25.8	16.8
30.	Southern Miss Golden Eagles	+9	70.2	27.3	17.2
31.	Rutgers Scarlet Knights	-1	70.1	26.6	17.3
32.	North Carolina Tar Heels	+1	69.0	21.8	13.6
33.	Baylor Bears	-6	68.8	27.9	19.2
34.	Arizona Wildcats	+3	67.8	23.4	15.8
35.	Clemson Tigers	-4	67.7	22.6	14.3
36.	Michigan State Spartans	+5	65.7	21.0	14.6
37.	Texas Tech Red Raiders	-9	64.9	27.9	20.7
38.	South Florida Bulls	+2	64.5	23.2	16.9
39.	Pittsburgh Panthers	-5	64.4	22.0	15.8
40.	Iowa Hawkeyes	-26	63.5	19.6	14.4
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PS/G	PA/G
41.	Miami (FL) Hurricanes	+2	63.5	21.3	15.2
42.	Michigan Wolverines	+22	61.9	22.4	17.0
43.	Illinois Fighting Illini	-24	60.4	24.3	20.4
44.	Tulsa Golden Hurricane	+2	59.8	26.3	22.5
45.	Arkansas State Red Wolves	+11	59.4	22.1	18.1
46.	Arkansas Razorbacks	+4	58.7	25.2	21.1
47.	Arizona State Sun Devils	+12	58.5	20.2	17.1
48.	Cincinnati Bearcats	-1	57.6	24.9	21.3
49.	Wisconsin Badgers	-7	57.5	23.6	20.3
50.	Stanford Cardinal	-1	57.2	24.4	21.0
51.	Navy Midshipmen	+1	56.5	23.2	20.9
52.	Vanderbilt Commodores	+3	55.2	17.1	15.6
53.	Maryland Terrapins	-	51.8	20.5	20.3
54.	East Carolina Pirates	-9	51.0	18.2	18.0
55.	Nevada Wolf Pack	-20	50.8	22.9	23.2
56.	Fresno State Bulldogs	+10	50.7	20.8	20.7
57.	Northwestern Wildcats	+6	49.4	17.3	17.9
58.	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	-1	49.1	17.9	18.3
59.	Boston College Eagles	+14	49.1	17.0	18.0
60.	Minnesota Golden Gophers	-12	47.5	17.5	19.6
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PS/G	PA/G
61.	Connecticut Huskies	-1	47.5	16.5	18.2
62.	North Carolina State Wolfpack	-11	46.3	17.5	19.8
63.	Auburn Tigers	+19	45.9	18.7	21.1
64.	Kentucky Wildcats	+29	45.2	15.5	18.2
65.	Mississippi State Bulldogs	+16	45.1	17.9	20.8
66.	Louisiana Tech Bulldogs	-8	44.4	18.6	21.4
67.	UAB Blazers	+10	43.6	23.3	26.6
68.	Texas A&M Aggies	+41	43.6	21.9	25.5
69.	UCLA Bruins	+2	43.4	17.5	20.8
70.	Bowling Green Falcons	+5	42.9	19.4	22.6
71.	Washington Huskies	+24	42.6	19.0	22.9
72.	Central Michigan Chippewas	-10	42.5	17.3	20.8
73.	Louisville Cardinals	-8	42.2	19.5	23.5
74.	Florida International Golden Panthers	-2	41.7	16.3	21.4
75.	Purdue Boilermakers	+17	41.4	17.3	21.7
76.	Troy Trojans	-15	40.9	17.9	23.0
77.	South Carolina Gamecocks	-10	40.3	13.5	18.1
78.	Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns	+7	39.8	19.5	24.5
79.	Colorado Buffaloes	+4	39.2	17.4	23.0
80.	Colorado State Rams	-12	38.2	18.9	24.8
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PS/G	PA/G
81.	Western Michigan Broncos	-27	37.2	18.8	25.1
82.	UNLV Rebels	-8	37.0	18.1	24.2
83.	Buffalo Bulls	+18	35.8	14.5	21.4
84.	Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders	+2	35.1	15.7	23.3
85.	Northern Illinois Huskies	+17	34.9	17.0	25.2
86.	Rice Owls	-17	34.7	19.9	28.0
87.	Syracuse Orange	+13	33.3	15.2	23.9
88.	Ohio Bobcats	-8	33.1	15.2	23.6
89.	Utah State Aggies	+7	33.0	17.3	25.6
90.	Marshall Thundering Herd	-11	31.2	15.5	24.3
91.	Iowa State Cyclones	+12	29.7	19.4	30.4
92.	Memphis Tigers	-2	29.3	15.2	26.1
93.	UTEP Miners	-23	29.0	17.4	28.6
94.	Akron Zips	-5	28.4	17.6	28.7
95.	San Jose State Spartans	-8	27.8	11.9	22.2
96.	Wyoming Cowboys	+8	27.0	12.2	23.7
97.	Toledo Rockets	+2	26.4	15.5	27.3
98.	Army Black Knights	+12	26.2	12.2	24.3
99.	Ball State Cardinals	-21	25.0	13.9	27.6
100.	Kent State Golden Flashes	-2	24.6	14.6	27.9
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PS/G	PA/G
101.	Indiana Hoosiers	+4	22.6	12.4	27.0
102.	UCF Knights	+6	22.1	10.7	25.4
103.	Florida Atlantic Owls	-15	21.5	14.5	29.2
104.	Duke Blue Devils	-28	20.9	11.9	26.5
105.	Temple Owls	-8	20.2	10.9	25.8
106.	Kansas State Wildcats	-12	19.8	11.4	26.5
107.	Virginia Cavaliers	-23	19.6	10.6	26.2
108.	North Texas Mean Green	+8	19.6	13.0	29.1
109.	New Mexico Lobos	-18	18.9	12.0	27.9
110.	Tulane Green Wave	+3	18.0	12.6	28.8
111.	San Diego State Aztecs	-4	17.8	12.6	29.4
112.	Hawaii Warriors	-6	17.2	14.3	31.7
113.	Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks	+1	16.5	11.7	29.8
114.	Southern Methodist Mustangs	-3	15.9	13.1	30.9
115.	Idaho Vandals	+3	14.1	10.9	31.0
116.	Eastern Michigan Eagles	-1	13.5	9.7	30.1
117.	New Mexico State Aggies	-5	11.2	9.4	31.3
118.	Washington State Cougars	-1	8.1	7.1	32.2
119.	Western Kentucky Hilltoppers	+1	5.3	6.1	33.7
120.	Miami (OH) RedHawks	-1	3.7	6.0	35.2

Paul Bessire is the Product Manager of Content and Quantitative Analysis for WhatIfSports.com, a division of FOX Sports Interactive specializing in NCAA Matchup analysis and college football sim games. With any comments, questions or topic suggestions, Paul can be reached at BtB@whatifsports.com. Thanks!

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