College Football Power Rankings

Week 3 Rankings

By Paul Bessire, WhatIfSports.com

September 14th, 2009

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WhatIfSports.com utilizes its college football simulation to present the most comprehensive, deterministic and unbiased ranking of all teams. We simulated every possible DI FBS match-up one hundred times, and used the winning percentages from 700,000+ games to evaluate every team. All 120 teams are ranked below with their average points for and against from the simulated games. Simulations are based on updated, strength-of-schedule-adjusted stats, so significant week-to-week changes could occur.

Teams Ranked by Winning Percentage
(everyone plays everyone 100 times)

	Team	Change	Win Pct	PS/G	PA/G
1.	Florida Gators	-	98.8	48.1	7.3
2.	Texas Longhorns	-	97.4	44.3	10.0
3.	USC Trojans	-	95.2	40.5	10.0
4.	Alabama Crimson Tide	-	93.1	34.7	9.4
5.	California Golden Bears	+1	90.9	36.6	11.3
6.	Brigham Young Cougars	+10	90.4	41.4	17.5
7.	Oklahoma Sooners	+1	89.3	35.8	12.7
8.	Mississippi Rebels	-1	87.8	37.1	15.4
9.	Oklahoma State Cowboys	-4	85.9	36.0	15.9
10.	Ohio State Buckeyes	+1	83.4	28.5	11.5
11.	Nebraska Cornhuskers	+9	82.6	33.8	16.5
12.	LSU Tigers	-3	81.7	32.2	16.1
13.	Penn State Nittany Lions	-3	81.2	29.8	14.0
14.	Houston Cougars	+8	80.6	38.0	21.7
15.	Virginia Tech Hokies	-	79.9	29.5	14.0
16.	Boise State Broncos	+7	77.2	29.1	16.2
17.	Kansas Jayhawks	+7	76.5	33.1	19.5
18.	West Virginia Mountaineers	-4	76.2	30.5	16.1
19.	Iowa Hawkeyes	+21	75.8	25.0	13.3
20.	Pittsburgh Panthers	+19	75.7	28.9	15.9
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PS/G	PA/G
21.	Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets	-8	75.0	30.0	16.4
22.	Clemson Tigers	+13	74.7	26.0	14.8
23.	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	-6	74.6	29.7	17.0
24.	TCU Horned Frogs	-3	73.0	26.0	14.9
25.	Texas Tech Red Raiders	+12	73.0	30.9	20.0
26.	Georgia Bulldogs	-7	72.2	28.6	17.7
27.	Michigan Wolverines	+15	71.7	27.5	16.8
28.	Missouri Tigers	-16	71.6	30.6	20.0
29.	Cincinnati Bearcats	+19	70.8	30.0	19.8
30.	Rutgers Scarlet Knights	+1	67.9	26.3	18.4
31.	Utah Utes	-5	67.8	25.7	17.3
32.	Baylor Bears	+1	67.6	28.2	19.9
33.	North Carolina Tar Heels	-1	65.0	21.2	14.7
34.	Arizona Wildcats	-	64.3	23.6	17.4
35.	Oregon Ducks	-17	64.2	27.5	20.4
36.	Southern Miss Golden Eagles	-6	63.3	25.3	19.4
37.	Tulsa Golden Hurricane	+7	62.9	29.0	22.6
38.	Miami (FL) Hurricanes	+3	61.9	21.5	16.0
39.	Florida State Seminoles	-12	61.4	22.2	17.3
40.	Navy Midshipmen	+11	60.6	26.0	20.9
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PS/G	PA/G
41.	Vanderbilt Commodores	+11	60.2	19.5	15.5
42.	Air Force Falcons	-14	60.1	24.9	20.5
43.	Illinois Fighting Illini	-	60.0	24.8	20.9
44.	South Florida Bulls	-6	59.9	22.6	18.6
45.	Oregon State Beavers	-16	59.1	24.1	19.7
46.	Tennessee Volunteers	-21	59.0	21.2	16.9
47.	Michigan State Spartans	-11	58.2	21.0	17.7
48.	UCLA Bruins	+21	58.1	22.5	18.1
49.	Fresno State Bulldogs	+7	57.3	24.2	20.6
50.	Wake Forest Demon Deacons	+8	57.3	20.8	17.6
51.	Minnesota Golden Gophers	+9	57.3	21.7	18.5
52.	South Carolina Gamecocks	+25	57.0	20.1	17.8
53.	Arkansas Razorbacks	-7	56.9	25.5	22.2
54.	Arizona State Sun Devils	-7	56.8	20.8	18.0
55.	Stanford Cardinal	-5	55.8	24.9	22.1
56.	Central Michigan Chippewas	+16	54.8	22.9	21.3
57.	Boston College Eagles	+2	54.2	20.2	18.8
58.	Wisconsin Badgers	-9	51.7	24.0	23.2
59.	Bowling Green Falcons	+11	51.4	22.5	22.2
60.	Purdue Boilermakers	+15	51.2	21.9	21.4
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PS/G	PA/G
61.	Maryland Terrapins	-8	51.0	22.0	22.7
62.	Auburn Tigers	+1	49.8	22.6	22.4
63.	Nevada Wolf Pack	-8	49.5	23.3	23.1
64.	East Carolina Pirates	-10	47.9	19.3	20.6
65.	Connecticut Huskies	-4	44.4	16.5	19.6
66.	North Carolina State Wolfpack	-4	44.1	17.6	20.2
67.	Kentucky Wildcats	-3	43.6	15.8	19.0
68.	Northwestern Wildcats	-11	43.5	17.2	21.4
69.	UNLV Rebels	+13	43.3	20.2	23.3
70.	Texas A&M Aggies	-2	42.9	22.9	26.2
71.	Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders	+13	42.9	19.7	23.0
72.	Louisville Cardinals	+1	42.6	19.8	23.6
73.	Florida International Golden Panthers	+1	42.0	18.1	22.4
74.	Arkansas State Red Wolves	-29	41.7	19.1	22.7
75.	Washington Huskies	-4	41.4	19.2	23.6
76.	Mississippi State Bulldogs	-11	40.4	18.7	24.0
77.	Troy Trojans	-1	39.8	18.7	23.7
78.	Northern Illinois Huskies	+7	38.2	19.3	25.4
79.	Louisiana Tech Bulldogs	-13	37.9	17.9	23.4
80.	UAB Blazers	-13	37.3	23.3	29.6
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PS/G	PA/G
81.	Syracuse Orange	+6	37.2	17.4	23.6
82.	Colorado State Rams	-2	37.1	19.1	25.9
83.	Buffalo Bulls	-	36.2	16.8	23.9
84.	Duke Blue Devils	+20	35.8	18.3	25.3
85.	Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns	-7	34.9	17.4	25.5
86.	Toledo Rockets	+11	34.0	20.2	28.0
87.	San Jose State Spartans	+8	32.8	14.0	21.9
88.	Southern Methodist Mustangs	+26	31.7	19.7	29.4
89.	Western Michigan Broncos	-8	31.0	17.5	26.8
90.	Ohio Bobcats	-2	30.7	15.5	24.7
91.	Utah State Aggies	-2	30.5	17.5	26.9
92.	Akron Zips	+2	29.0	18.6	29.5
93.	Kansas State Wildcats	+13	28.3	14.0	24.3
94.	UCF Knights	+8	27.5	13.0	24.4
95.	Wyoming Cowboys	+1	27.4	12.8	23.9
96.	Indiana Hoosiers	+5	27.2	14.7	25.5
97.	Rice Owls	-11	26.7	17.6	30.2
98.	North Texas Mean Green	+10	26.6	16.9	28.8
99.	UTEP Miners	-6	24.9	16.6	29.6
100.	Marshall Thundering Herd	-10	24.8	15.4	27.6
	Team	Change	Win Pct	PS/G	PA/G
101.	Memphis Tigers	-9	24.1	15.8	29.6
102.	Hawaii Warriors	+10	22.2	16.8	31.1
103.	Virginia Cavaliers	+4	22.1	12.2	26.3
104.	Kent State Golden Flashes	-4	22.1	14.4	29.6
105.	Florida Atlantic Owls	-2	20.9	15.0	30.5
106.	Eastern Michigan Eagles	+10	20.4	13.9	29.5
107.	San Diego State Aztecs	+4	20.1	14.4	29.8
108.	Army Black Knights	-10	19.5	11.8	28.1
109.	Temple Owls	-4	18.5	11.1	26.7
110.	Colorado Buffaloes	-31	18.2	13.7	30.5
111.	Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks	+2	16.1	12.1	30.5
112.	Tulane Green Wave	-2	14.8	11.5	31.4
113.	Iowa State Cyclones	-22	14.7	14.1	33.6
114.	Idaho Vandals	+1	14.3	11.3	31.9
115.	New Mexico Lobos	-6	13.7	10.6	29.6
116.	New Mexico State Aggies	+1	11.2	10.0	32.4
117.	Ball State Cardinals	-18	9.8	9.0	32.4
118.	Washington State Cougars	-	7.9	7.4	33.6
119.	Western Kentucky Hilltoppers	-	7.5	7.1	33.4
120.	Miami (OH) RedHawks	-	2.4	5.6	37.0

Paul Bessire is the Product Manager of Content and Quantitative Analysis for WhatIfSports.com, a division of FOX Sports Interactive specializing in NCAA Matchup analysis and college football sim games. With any comments, questions or topic suggestions, Paul can be reached at BtB@whatifsports.com. Thanks!

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