College Football Power Rankings From WhatIfSports.com image

College Football Power Rankings

Week 12 Rankings
By Eric Schmoldt and Paul Bessire, WhatIfSports.com
November 16th, 2009

Related Features

WhatIfSports College Football Articles
FOXSports.com - CFB
College Football SimMatchup
Gridiron Dynasty

Tools

WhatIfSports.com utilizes its college football simulation technology to present the most comprehensive, deterministic and unbiased ranking of all teams. We simulated every possible DI FBS match-up one hundred times, and used the winning percentages from 700,000+ games to evaluate every team. All 120 teams are ranked below with their average points for and against from the simulated games. Simulations are based on updated, strength-of-schedule-adjusted stats, so significant week-to-week changes could occur.

Most Notable Storyline:
With back-to-back victories over Oregon and USC, Stanford has exploded onto the national scene. After dominating USC, the Cardinal continued blasting its way up the rankings as well, leaping all the way into the top ten for the first time this season.

Nearly a month ago, heading into Week 8 of the college football season, Stanford simply helped fill in the middle of the pack, winning 65.1% of their 100 games against all other FBS opponents.

Two weeks later, as the Cardinal prepared for their big game with Oregon, they had moved up 14 spots and were winning 71.2% of those games.

Two monumental games later and Toby Gerhart and Stanford are all the way up to eighth in the latest rankings. The Cardinal jumped 14 spots after beating the Ducks and five more this week after whaling on the Trojans. Now eighth in the country, they beat FBS teams nearly 89% of the time

Stanford is averaging 53 points per game over its last two outings. It piled up 469 total yards against USC, including 325 on the ground. The Cardinal racked up more than 500 yards against the Ducks, including 254 on the ground.

The offensive onslaught has help Stanford propel up the rankings and it now actually ranks sixth in scoring against FBS teams, outscoring opponents 46-17.

Biggest Gains:
Just because the Big East race will be settled at the top by Cincinnati and Pittsburgh doesn't mean Rutgers is about to roll over from here on out. The Scarlet Knights won their third game in a row last week, crushing South Florida 31-0. The shutout moves Rutgers up 17 spots in this week's rankings to 17th as they now beat nearly 80% of all other FBS teams.

Florida Atlantic actually officially enjoys the biggest leap. The Owls avoided a three-game losing streak by beating Arkansas State and moving up 19 places this week to #80.

In other notable jumps, Wisconsin not only put Michigan's bowl hopes at risk, the Badgers moved up 10 more spots and while going unnoticed around the country, are now up to 14th in the latest rankings, ahead of Penn State and Iowa. Ole Miss moves up 14 spots after stomping Tennessee, Oregon State leaps 13 spots back into the top 25 and Hawaii gains 15 spots to move back into the upper half of the FBS at #58.

Biggest Losses:
South Florida's freefall continues. The Bulls were ranked as high as 11th earlier this season, but after an undefeated run to start the year, they’ve plummeted 36 spots in the last month. Their latest loss, a shutout by Rutgers, drops them 22 spots, more than any other team this week. South Florida, now 47th in the country, beats FBC opponents just 58.9% of the time.

Winning doesn't always mean improvement in these rankings. Just ask BYU. The Cougars won their second straight game since losing to TCU at home, but drop 13 spots in the rankings this week after topping winless New Mexico by less than a touchdown.

In other notable losses, 19 seems to be the magic number as Kansas State, Wake Forest and Colorado all fall 19 spots. And Arizona and USC, each losers in Pac-10 play, each drop 12 spots to 21st and 22nd, respectively.

Teams Ranked by Winning Percentage (everyone plays everyone 100 times)

 TeamChangeWin PctPS/GPA/G
1.Florida Gators-98.750.77.8
2.TCU Horned Frogs-97.251.59.2
3.Texas Longhorns-96.543.97.0
4.Alabama Crimson Tide+195.444.28.2
5.Cincinnati Bearcats-194.249.014.3
6.Boise State Broncos-93.045.913.2
7.Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets-92.451.519.2
8.Stanford Cardinal+588.745.717.4
9.Pittsburgh Panthers-188.041.715.3
10.Ohio State Buckeyes+187.534.712.3
11.Oregon Ducks+485.236.614.5
12.Virginia Tech Hokies+1182.534.816.0
13.Oregon State Beavers+1382.134.916.0
14.Wisconsin Badgers+1081.536.516.0
15.Oklahoma State Cowboys+181.235.816.0
16.Utah Utes-479.735.116.7
17.Rutgers Scarlet Knights+1779.632.415.3
18.LSU Tigers-177.828.013.7
19.Clemson Tigers-77.431.214.4
20.Iowa Hawkeyes-77.228.013.6
 TeamChangeWin PctPS/GPA/G
21.Arizona Wildcats-1276.733.317.1
22.USC Trojans-1276.734.219.0
23.Penn State Nittany Lions-276.230.816.1
24.Mississippi Rebels+1475.733.418.1
25.West Virginia Mountaineers+575.233.718.1
26.Nebraska Cornhuskers+374.927.714.5
27.Brigham Young Cougars-1374.633.919.7
28.Houston Cougars-1074.236.923.6
29.Texas Tech Red Raiders-272.528.517.4
30.Air Force Falcons+1072.429.716.3
31.California Golden Bears+1072.131.019.0
32.Georgia Bulldogs+1070.029.819.9
33.Nevada Wolf Pack+669.634.522.4
34.Oklahoma Sooners+169.426.716.0
35.Arkansas Razorbacks-368.935.624.4
36.Auburn Tigers-366.831.121.5
37.Miami (FL) Hurricanes-1566.028.619.2
38.Missouri Tigers+965.826.518.8
39.Connecticut Huskies+563.828.020.5
40.South Carolina Gamecocks+1363.024.717.9
 TeamChangeWin PctPS/GPA/G
41.Michigan State Spartans+463.027.520.6
42.Temple Owls+1262.925.917.8
43.Notre Dame Fighting Irish-762.831.123.7
44.Southern Miss Golden Eagles+461.927.321.4
45.Fresno State Bulldogs-1760.935.428.2
46.Tennessee Volunteers-1559.924.719.2
47.South Florida Bulls-2258.926.922.8
48.North Carolina Tar Heels+1258.218.915.6
49.Northern Illinois Huskies+758.226.121.6
50.Florida State Seminoles+257.932.328.0
51.Boston College Eagles-156.521.618.5
52.Idaho Vandals-355.730.227.1
53.Troy Trojans-754.827.525.1
54.Utah State Aggies+1354.727.225.0
55.Central Michigan Chippewas-53.724.822.5
56.Kansas State Wildcats-1953.123.722.0
57.Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks+451.923.022.7
58.Hawaii Warriors+1551.327.427.0
59.Purdue Boilermakers-51.122.622.1
60.UAB Blazers+951.128.126.6
 TeamChangeWin PctPS/GPA/G
61.Navy Midshipmen-350.623.423.1
62.Wake Forest Demon Deacons-1949.323.023.8
63.North Carolina State Wolfpack-147.821.823.8
64.Texas A&M Aggies-1345.623.125.0
65.Southern Methodist Mustangs+1144.520.724.9
66.Illinois Fighting Illini+243.922.326.1
67.Baylor Bears-343.118.823.9
68.Northwestern Wildcats+442.918.623.1
69.Michigan Wolverines+242.921.826.2
70.East Carolina Pirates-42.818.822.6
71.Tulsa Golden Hurricane-842.524.228.9
72.Kentucky Wildcats+542.219.424.1
73.Arizona State Sun Devils-1641.816.820.7
74.Mississippi State Bulldogs-941.220.125.2
75.Indiana Hoosiers-40.618.424.8
76.Ohio Bobcats+240.516.423.1
77.Buffalo Bulls+939.919.926.4
78.Kansas Jayhawks-1239.419.426.2
79.UCF Knights+839.416.121.8
80.Florida Atlantic Owls+1935.121.530.9
 TeamChangeWin PctPS/GPA/G
81.Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders-135.017.026.2
82.UCLA Bruins-34.415.625.8
83.Minnesota Golden Gophers-934.316.024.9
84.Syracuse Orange+1134.114.824.5
85.Toledo Rockets-632.819.328.8
86.Kent State Golden Flashes+232.313.823.4
87.Wyoming Cowboys+1132.214.424.5
88.Washington Huskies-531.818.028.5
89.UTEP Miners+231.020.032.3
90.Louisiana Tech Bulldogs+330.216.527.3
91.Iowa State Cyclones-629.717.429.2
92.Arkansas State Red Wolves-1129.215.527.4
93.Louisville Cardinals-328.814.927.3
94.Marshall Thundering Herd-228.614.927.1
95.Duke Blue Devils-625.513.527.3
96.Western Michigan Broncos+124.714.330.4
97.Vanderbilt Commodores+723.211.929.9
98.Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns-422.612.929.8
99.Army Black Knights+422.011.929.2
100.Colorado State Rams+522.011.327.7
 TeamChangeWin PctPS/GPA/G
101.North Texas Mean Green+621.315.533.0
102.Ball State Cardinals-220.713.031.1
103.Colorado Buffaloes-1919.09.227.2
104.UNLV Rebels-318.915.235.5
105.Memphis Tigers+118.512.931.9
106.Bowling Green Falcons+318.310.931.3
107.San Diego State Aztecs+117.410.430.1
108.Virginia Cavaliers-1217.17.525.7
109.Maryland Terrapins-716.710.029.5
110.Tulane Green Wave+115.512.333.3
111.Miami (OH) RedHawks+111.58.034.1
112.Western Kentucky Hilltoppers+110.810.640.4
113.Akron Zips-39.38.236.2
114.Florida International Golden Panthers+57.87.437.5
115.Rice Owls+37.58.136.8
116.New Mexico Lobos-27.36.134.8
117.New Mexico State Aggies-16.36.838.3
118.San Jose State Spartans-15.98.340.1
119.Washington State Cougars-44.97.339.5
120.Eastern Michigan Eagles-4.96.641.4

Ever wanted to be in be in charge of your own college football program? With Gridiron Dynasty from WhatIfSports.com, you have a chance to do just that. From recruiting and running practice to gameplanning and scheduling - it is all under your control. Start at DIII and try to work your way up to winning the DI championship at your favorite school.

Eric Schmoldt is a writer and Paul Bessire is the Product Manager of Content and Quantitative Analysis for WhatIfSports.com, a division of FOX Sports Interactive specializing in NCAA Matchup analysis and college football sim games. With any comments, questions or topic suggestions, Paul and Eric can be reached at BtB@whatifsports.com. Thanks!

Gridiron Dynasty

Coach, recruit and run your own college football program.

Every DIA, DIAA, DII & DIII College Awaits


Hardball Dynasty

Run your own baseball franchise in this in-depth, multi-player baseball game.

Try It at a Discount


SimLeague Baseball

Compete in a full season with your dream team from MLB past and present. Lineups, player settings, trades, prizes and more.

Try It For Free

What is WhatIfSports?

WhatIfSports.com is a sports simulation and online gaming site providing free content and unique games for the MLB, NBA, NFL, NHL, NCAA sports and more.

Join WhatIfSports.com today to get these members only benefits:

  • Create your own Dream Team
  • Save your favorite SimMatchup results
  • Play a FREE SimLeague trial season
  • Start playing a Dynasty game
  • Manage baseball games LIVE
  • Access to SiteMail
  • Post in our Forums
  • Build a Buddy list to easily invite friends
  • Use our online Customer Service
  • Earn game credits by using our Referral & Affiliate program

Terms of Use Customer Support Privacy Statement Advertising Choices

Popular on WhatIfSports site: Baseball Simulation | College Basketball Game | College Football Game | Online Baseball Game | Hockey Simulation | NFL Picks | College Football Picks | Sports Games

© 1999-2014 WhatIfSports.com, Inc. All rights reserved. WhatIfSports is a trademark of WhatIfSports.com, Inc. SimLeague, SimMatchup and iSimNow are trademarks or registered trademarks of Electronic Arts, Inc. Used under license. The names of actual companies and products mentioned herein may be the trademarks of their respective owners.