WhatIfSports.com utilizes its NFL football simulation engine to present the most comprehensive, deterministic and unbiased ranking of all 32 teams. We simulated every possible match-up in the NFL 100 times, and used the winning percentages from those nearly 50,000 games to evaluate every team. All 32 teams are ranked below with their average points for and against from the simulated games. Simulations are based on strength-of-schedule-adjusted stats and updated depth charts, so significant week-to-week changes could occur. The same football engine is used in our NFL SimMatchup feature.
Teams Ranked by Winning Percentage
(everyone plays everyone 100 times)
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | New Orleans Saints | - | 87.1 | 29.0 | 24.0 |
| 2. | Indianapolis Colts | - | 86.3 | 23.3 | 20.1 |
| 3. | Minnesota Vikings | - | 76.5 | 25.6 | 22.0 |
| 4. | San Diego Chargers | - | 69.3 | 23.8 | 22.8 |
| 5. | Philadelphia Eagles | +5 | 65.2 | 24.3 | 21.8 |
| 6. | Cincinnati Bengals | -1 | 64.0 | 21.1 | 19.8 |
| 7. | Green Bay Packers | +1 | 63.8 | 23.7 | 22.5 |
| 8. | Dallas Cowboys | -1 | 63.3 | 26.5 | 21.3 |
| 9. | Denver Broncos | -3 | 62.7 | 23.3 | 18.0 |
| 10. | New England Patriots | +1 | 60.2 | 24.6 | 21.8 |
| 11. | New York Jets | +5 | 58.7 | 24.6 | 18.2 |
| 12. | Baltimore Ravens | +2 | 56.9 | 24.5 | 19.6 |
| 13. | New York Giants | -1 | 55.6 | 24.3 | 20.9 |
| 14. | Pittsburgh Steelers | -1 | 55.0 | 28.0 | 20.1 |
| 15. | Arizona Cardinals | -6 | 54.7 | 22.2 | 24.5 |
| 16. | Jacksonville Jaguars | -1 | 53.5 | 23.3 | 21.6 |
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
| 17. | Tennessee Titans | +2 | 52.9 | 25.3 | 20.1 |
| 18. | Miami Dolphins | -1 | 52.4 | 21.5 | 21.2 |
| 19. | San Francisco 49ers | -1 | 51.2 | 23.9 | 20.4 |
| 20. | Carolina Panthers | +2 | 44.8 | 23.7 | 21.5 |
| 21. | Atlanta Falcons | - | 44.0 | 19.5 | 22.9 |
| 22. | Houston Texans | -2 | 42.6 | 19.8 | 23.9 |
| 23. | Seattle Seahawks | - | 40.4 | 21.3 | 23.5 |
| 24. | Buffalo Bills | +2 | 40.3 | 20.3 | 22.7 |
| 25. | Washington Redskins | +2 | 36.1 | 20.4 | 21.9 |
| 26. | Chicago Bears | -2 | 35.7 | 18.3 | 25.4 |
| 27. | Oakland Raiders | -2 | 28.4 | 16.0 | 24.5 |
| 28. | Kansas City Chiefs | - | 23.8 | 17.6 | 26.0 |
| 29. | Cleveland Browns | +3 | 21.8 | 18.7 | 24.6 |
| 30. | Detroit Lions | -1 | 19.5 | 17.3 | 25.7 |
| 31. | St. Louis Rams | -1 | 18.0 | 19.9 | 24.4 |
| 32. | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | -1 | 14.6 | 16.7 | 24.7 |
WhatIfSports.com can be reached with any comments, questions or topic suggestions at BtB@whatifsports.com. Thanks!
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