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WhatIfSports.com utilizes its NFL football simulation engine to present the most comprehensive, deterministic and unbiased ranking of all 32 teams. We simulated every possible match-up in the NFL 100 times, and used the winning percentages from those nearly 50,000 games to evaluate every team. All 32 teams are ranked below with their average points for and against from the simulated games. Simulations are based on strength-of-schedule-adjusted stats and updated depth charts, so significant week-to-week changes could occur. The same football engine is used in our NFL SimMatchup feature.
Check out our Week 16 Picks and see who has the inside track to the playoffs. With only two games left every game is significant.
Also speaking of playoffs, you must be in the playoffs of your fantasy football league. Check out our fantasy projections for help on setting your rosters for week 16.
Teams Ranked by Winning Percentage
(everyone plays everyone 100 times)
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Indianapolis Colts | +1 | 86.5 | 24.4 | 20.9 |
| 2. | New Orleans Saints | -1 | 83.7 | 29.5 | 23.2 |
| 3. | Minnesota Vikings | - | 71.7 | 24.8 | 22.1 |
| 4. | San Diego Chargers | - | 70.2 | 24.9 | 23.1 |
| 5. | Philadelphia Eagles | - | 68.8 | 25.8 | 21.0 |
| 6. | Dallas Cowboys | +2 | 64.5 | 25.3 | 20.0 |
| 7. | Cincinnati Bengals | -1 | 61.3 | 21.8 | 20.1 |
| 8. | New England Patriots | +2 | 60.3 | 23.3 | 22.0 |
| 9. | Green Bay Packers | -2 | 59.7 | 24.6 | 24.1 |
| 10. | New York Giants | +3 | 59.2 | 25.4 | 20.5 |
| 11. | Denver Broncos | -2 | 58.8 | 23.0 | 18.5 |
| 12. | Baltimore Ravens | - | 57.4 | 22.8 | 20.7 |
| 13. | Pittsburgh Steelers | +1 | 57.2 | 28.0 | 20.9 |
| 14. | Arizona Cardinals | +1 | 55.7 | 22.3 | 26.0 |
| 15. | Tennessee Titans | +2 | 55.2 | 26.1 | 21.0 |
| 16. | New York Jets | -5 | 54.7 | 23.8 | 18.6 |
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
| 17. | Miami Dolphins | +1 | 51.9 | 22.2 | 20.8 |
| 18. | Carolina Panthers | +2 | 49.7 | 24.8 | 20.5 |
| 19. | Jacksonville Jaguars | -3 | 48.3 | 20.6 | 22.5 |
| 20. | San Francisco 49ers | -1 | 47.4 | 22.9 | 21.0 |
| 21. | Atlanta Falcons | - | 46.8 | 19.5 | 21.9 |
| 22. | Houston Texans | - | 45.9 | 20.4 | 24.1 |
| 23. | Buffalo Bills | +1 | 40.7 | 21.7 | 21.4 |
| 24. | Oakland Raiders | +3 | 35.5 | 18.9 | 23.9 |
| 25. | Seattle Seahawks | -2 | 34.5 | 19.1 | 25.2 |
| 26. | Chicago Bears | - | 33.7 | 18.4 | 25.0 |
| 27. | Washington Redskins | -2 | 33.2 | 18.9 | 21.1 |
| 28. | Cleveland Browns | +1 | 25.9 | 19.7 | 25.3 |
| 29. | Kansas City Chiefs | -1 | 23.4 | 19.2 | 27.0 |
| 30. | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | +2 | 20.9 | 17.9 | 24.3 |
| 31. | Detroit Lions | -1 | 19.3 | 19.0 | 26.7 |
| 32. | St. Louis Rams | -1 | 17.2 | 19.4 | 25.0 |
WhatIfSports.com can be reached with any comments, questions or topic suggestions at BtB@whatifsports.com. Thanks!
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