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WhatIfSports.com utilizes its NFL football simulation engine to present the most comprehensive, deterministic and unbiased ranking of all 32 teams. We simulated every possible match-up in the NFL 100 times, and used the winning percentages from those nearly 50,000 games to evaluate every team. All 32 teams are ranked below with their average points for and against from the simulated games. Simulations are based on strength-of-schedule-adjusted stats and updated depth charts, so significant week-to-week changes could occur. The same football engine is used in our NFL SimMatchup feature.
Teams Ranked by Winning Percentage
(everyone plays everyone 100 times)
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | New Orleans Saints | +1 | 75.7 | 26.3 | 24.7 |
| 2. | Indianapolis Colts | -1 | 73.7 | 18.4 | 22.5 |
| 3. | San Diego Chargers | +1 | 71.5 | 24.9 | 22.7 |
| 4. | Philadelphia Eagles | +1 | 71.0 | 25.4 | 20.3 |
| 5. | Minnesota Vikings | -2 | 69.3 | 25.3 | 21.7 |
| 6. | Dallas Cowboys | - | 67.0 | 26.3 | 19.7 |
| 7. | Cincinnati Bengals | - | 63.2 | 22.0 | 19.8 |
| 8. | Green Bay Packers | +1 | 62.9 | 24.8 | 23.3 |
| 9. | New England Patriots | -1 | 61.3 | 22.5 | 21.7 |
| 10. | New York Jets | +6 | 60.1 | 24.3 | 16.0 |
| 11. | Pittsburgh Steelers | +2 | 58.7 | 27.4 | 20.7 |
| 12. | Baltimore Ravens | - | 56.9 | 25.0 | 19.5 |
| 13. | Denver Broncos | -2 | 56.3 | 22.6 | 18.4 |
| 14. | New York Giants | -4 | 56.2 | 24.3 | 21.0 |
| 15. | Arizona Cardinals | -1 | 53.9 | 19.7 | 26.8 |
| 16. | Tennessee Titans | -1 | 52.8 | 25.2 | 20.7 |
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
| 17. | Carolina Panthers | +1 | 51.3 | 22.4 | 19.3 |
| 18. | Houston Texans | +4 | 51.2 | 23.0 | 23.5 |
| 19. | Atlanta Falcons | +2 | 49.7 | 19.0 | 21.1 |
| 20. | San Francisco 49ers | - | 49.3 | 22.6 | 21.2 |
| 21. | Miami Dolphins | -4 | 48.3 | 21.4 | 21.0 |
| 22. | Jacksonville Jaguars | -3 | 45.6 | 20.8 | 22.6 |
| 23. | Buffalo Bills | - | 38.6 | 20.6 | 21.1 |
| 24. | Chicago Bears | +2 | 38.6 | 19.3 | 24.6 |
| 25. | Oakland Raiders | -1 | 38.2 | 20.9 | 22.8 |
| 26. | Seattle Seahawks | -1 | 33.5 | 19.0 | 25.3 |
| 27. | Washington Redskins | - | 31.1 | 18.2 | 21.2 |
| 28. | Cleveland Browns | - | 29.6 | 19.9 | 24.5 |
| 29. | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | +1 | 25.9 | 20.1 | 23.5 |
| 30. | Kansas City Chiefs | -1 | 24.8 | 19.0 | 25.1 |
| 31. | Detroit Lions | - | 18.2 | 18.1 | 25.7 |
| 32. | St. Louis Rams | - | 14.7 | 18.9 | 25.6 |
WhatIfSports.com can be reached with any comments, questions or topic suggestions at BtB@whatifsports.com. Thanks!
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