WhatIfSports.com utilizes its NFL football simulation engine to present the most comprehensive, deterministic and unbiased ranking of all 32 teams. We simulated every possible match-up in the NFL 100 times, and used the winning percentages from those nearly 50,000 games to evaluate every team. All 32 teams are ranked below with their average points for and against from the simulated games. Simulations are based on strength-of-schedule-adjusted stats and updated depth charts, so significant week-to-week changes could occur. The same football engine is used in our NFL SimMatchup feature.
Teams Ranked by Winning Percentage
(everyone plays everyone 100 times)
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Indianapolis Colts | +1 | 75.5 | 23.0 | 21.7 |
| 2. | New Orleans Saints | -1 | 75.2 | 28.0 | 23.2 |
| 3. | San Diego Chargers | - | 72.2 | 24.5 | 22.8 |
| 4. | Dallas Cowboys | +2 | 71.2 | 26.4 | 17.9 |
| 5. | Minnesota Vikings | - | 70.7 | 25.0 | 20.7 |
| 6. | Philadelphia Eagles | -2 | 66.6 | 24.9 | 20.9 |
| 7. | Green Bay Packers | +1 | 63.2 | 23.5 | 22.2 |
| 8. | New York Jets | +2 | 62.8 | 24.3 | 15.3 |
| 9. | Cincinnati Bengals | -2 | 60.5 | 21.6 | 19.0 |
| 10. | Pittsburgh Steelers | +1 | 60.4 | 26.4 | 20.7 |
| 11. | New England Patriots | -2 | 60.2 | 23.3 | 21.4 |
| 12. | Baltimore Ravens | - | 58.6 | 24.2 | 18.9 |
| 13. | Atlanta Falcons | +6 | 54.6 | 20.9 | 21.0 |
| 14. | Arizona Cardinals | +1 | 54.4 | 21.6 | 25.9 |
| 15. | Tennessee Titans | +1 | 53.7 | 24.9 | 21.3 |
| 16. | Carolina Panthers | +1 | 53.6 | 21.9 | 18.6 |
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
| 17. | Houston Texans | +1 | 52.8 | 22.2 | 22.9 |
| 18. | New York Giants | -4 | 52.2 | 23.5 | 21.0 |
| 19. | Denver Broncos | -6 | 49.3 | 20.3 | 21.0 |
| 20. | San Francisco 49ers | - | 48.8 | 21.2 | 21.6 |
| 21. | Miami Dolphins | - | 47.2 | 21.3 | 20.8 |
| 22. | Buffalo Bills | +1 | 44.2 | 22.1 | 19.6 |
| 23. | Jacksonville Jaguars | -1 | 44.0 | 21.2 | 22.5 |
| 24. | Chicago Bears | - | 41.2 | 19.4 | 23.9 |
| 25. | Oakland Raiders | - | 34.5 | 20.5 | 23.4 |
| 26. | Seattle Seahawks | - | 31.0 | 18.1 | 24.8 |
| 27. | Washington Redskins | - | 30.0 | 17.7 | 20.7 |
| 28. | Cleveland Browns | - | 29.3 | 17.3 | 25.9 |
| 29. | Kansas City Chiefs | +1 | 25.1 | 17.3 | 25.7 |
| 30. | Tampa Bay Buccaneers | -1 | 24.5 | 18.2 | 23.5 |
| 31. | Detroit Lions | - | 17.4 | 17.4 | 25.5 |
| 32. | St. Louis Rams | - | 14.4 | 17.8 | 25.5 |
WhatIfSports.com can be reached with any comments, questions or topic suggestions at BtB@whatifsports.com. Thanks!
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