All 35 bowl games simulated by Whatifsports.com
Using the same college football simulation engine that accurately predicted over more than 75 percent of all regular-season games, we simulated each of the 35 bowl matchups 1,001 times.
Each team's winning percentage, average score and sample box score can be found below. If you would like to replay any bowl game, every 2010 bowl team roster is available using our free NCAA College Football SimMatchup feature.
Note: The score in the left panel (ex. BYU 31 UTEP 28) is the average score from 1,001 simulations. The box score recap is just an example of what could happen based on the average score. Click on the box score button for complete play-by-play.
19 carries, 110 yards, 2 TD
4 catches, 27 yards
UTEP: The Miners started 5-1 but, like BYU, finished 6-6. Injuries to QB Trevor Vittatoe and RB Donald Buckram have slowed UTEP's offense, ranked 60th in pass yards and 69th in rush yards. Their defense ranked 70th in points for and 58th in points allowed.
Box Score: UTEP rallied from a 16-point deficit to make things interesting late in the fourth quarter. Vittatoe hit Donavon Kemp in the end zone with 30 seconds left. However, the Miners failed on the 2-point conversion as BYU hung on to win by two, 33-31.
21 carries, 214 yards
2 catches, 11 yards
Fresno State:: Three of Fresno's four losses came to ranked teams. The defense had 37 sacks, after finishing last in 2009 in that category. RB Robbie Rouse ran for more than 1,000 yards, and QB Ryan Colburn improved throughout the year.
Box Score: Spann rushed for 214 yards and Chandler Harnish threw a pair of TDs (rushed for one, too) as the Huskies beat the Bulldogs 28-20. Rouse had a big game, rushing for 125 yards and a TD on only 19 carries in the loss.
Troy: Troy averaged 32.9 points per game (27th in the nation) but allowed 31 ppg (91st in the nation). It is the only Sun Belt team with a winning record after clinching a share of their fifth straight conference title. Troy is making its third New Orleans bowl appearance in the last five years.
Box Score: Donte Harden scored on Ohio's first possession, and the Bobcats never trailed from there. Troy did have chances, down by only four points with 13 minutes remaining in the game. Troy's Corey Robinson threw two interceptions, one in the fourth quarter, and completed only 44 percent of his passes in the 20-16 loss to the Bobcats.
18-24, 187 yards, 2 TD
Louisville: In what was supposed to be a rebuilding year, the Cards are bowling under first-year coach Charlie Strong. The offense was carried by RB Bilal Powell as the Cardinals started several QBs because of injury. The defense, Strong's specialty, allowed just 18.7 ppg.
Box Score: Southern Miss led 20-0 at halftime and 27-10 early in the fourth quarter and cruised to victory. Louisville started Justin Burke at QB, but Adam Froman got a chance, too. Both Louisville QBs threw TD passes in the fourth quarter to make the final score look respectable and closer than this game actually was.
27-40, 305 yards, 3 TD, INT
Boise State: After beating Virginia Tech on Labor Day, the Broncos looked poised to be the first non-BCS team to make a run at the national title. But the day after Thanksgiving, a couple of missed kicks against Nevada forced them to settle for Las Vegas.
Box Score: This game features two non-AQ teams that are 2-0 all-time in BCS bowl games. Heisman finalist Kellen Moore threw for 305 yards and three TDs in the victory. Boise trailed 27-20 with less than four minutes to go in the third quarter but then scored three TDs within six minutes to take a 40-27 lead and put the game out of reach.
San Diego State: Brady Hoke's Aztecs are loaded offensively. QB Ryan Lindley threw for 3,554 yards and 26 TDs. Running back Ronnie Hillman won the Mountain West Freshmen of the Year award and ran for 1,304 yards and 14 TDs. Two wide receivers, DeMarco Sampson and Vincent Brown, each had more than 1,000 yards receiving.
Box Score: San Diego State led 23-0 at halftime, which is not good for a team that is all about the run. Navy ran the ball 72 times (only seven passes) and was never in the game. Hillman ran for 134 yards and a TD. Sampson and Brown each had more than 70 yards, and Lindley threw for three TDs and 330 yards as the Aztecs beat Navy.
Tulsa: QB G.J. Kinne threw for 3,307 yards and 28 TDs. He was also Tulsa's leading rusher with 557 yards and seven TDs. The Hurricanes are 16th in passing yards, 15th in rushing yards and 10th in points per game.
Box Score: A couple of top-10 offenses in the country did not disappoint as Hawaii put up 13 points in the final eight minutes to come back and beat Tulsa. RB Alex Green caught the go-ahead TD for Hawaii. Kevin Fitzpatrick missed a 42-yard field-goal attempt with four minutes left for Tulsa, and Hawaii marched down the field and added another TD to extend the lead to eight.
23-34, 240, 4 TD, INT
Toledo: The Rockets dealt with injuries, as starting QB Austin Dantin missed the last three games because of injury. Terrance Owens filled in and went 2-1.
Box Score: Owens filled in for injured Dantin again and threw four TDs to lead Toledo to victory. The Rockets jumped out to an early 14-3 lead, but FIU came back and led 21-20 at the half. Toledo then outscored FIU 10-7 in the second half and came away with the win. Eric Page caught two TD passes.
College Football FeaturesFinal Regular Season Power Rankings
Final 2010 Conference Football Rankings
2010 College Football Season-to-Date
College Football SimMatchup
Play Gridiron Dynasty
Georgia Tech: The Yellow Jackets managed to lead the nation in rushing despite the loss of QB Josh Nesbitt for the season because of injury. Georgia Tech ranks low in many defensive categories, but coach Paul Johnson's familiarity with Air Force should benefit his team.
Box Score: This game featured the nation's top two rushing attacks, and both teams ran wild. Georgia Tech picked up 416 yards on the ground, averaging 6.9 yards per carry. Anthony Allen went over 200 yards and Roddy Jones went over 100 yards. The Jackets won by eight despite Tevin Washington throwing five passes (and completing two).
17-27, 263 yards, 2 TD
NC State: Coach Tom O'Brien helped guide the Wolfpack to one of their best seasons since the Philip Rivers days. A season-finale loss to Maryland cost NC State a shot at the Atlantic Coast Conference title, but second place is not that bad.
Box Score: An early Devine TD and a punt return TD gave West Virginia an early lead. NC State came back and even took a 20-17 lead with a third-quarter field goal. But West Virginia scored 14 points in the fourth quarter, and Geno Smith threw two TDs in the game as the Mountaineers won 31-23 after Brandon Hogan picked off Russell Wilson to seal the deal.
19 carries, 107 yards rushing, TD
1 catch, 20 yards
Iowa: After winning the Orange Bowl last year, the Hawkeyes entered 2010 with high expectations. However, Kirk Ferentz's team managed to lose five games in what turned out to be a disappointing season. To add insult to their late-season swoon, three impact players won't play in the Insight Bowl, including leading rusher Adam Robinson.
Box Score: Iowa running back Marcus Coker broke out for 109 yards on the ground and a first-quarter touchdown in place of Robinson. The Tigers scored late in the fourth to creep within two points, but Gary Pinkel's crew couldn't convert the two-point attempt and failed to complete the comeback, falling 24-22.
Maryland: Ralph Friedgen has gone from the hot seat in 2009 to ACC Coach of the Year in 2010. QB Danny O'Brien won the league's Newcomer of the Year award. Maryland won eight games this year, an impressive turnaround after winning just two in 2009.
Box Score: Davin Megget led the way on the ground for the Terps, who outran ECU by 139 yards (196-57). Both QBs threw three interceptions. ECU kicked two field goals in the final four minutes, including one with seven seconds left. Maryland would win in overtime, as O'Brien hit Torrey Smith with an eight-yard TD pass. ECU went four and out and lost five yards in OT.
Baylor: After starting 7-2, Baylor lost its final three games, but will happily settle for any bowl game, especially one in its own state. It's the Bears' first bowl since 1995. The offense, led by QB Robert Griffin and RB Jay Finley, helped get Baylor to this point.
Box Score: Illinois ran for 215 yards but it was not enough as the defense gave up 10 points in the final two minutes. Finley scored from two yards out and with the extra point gave Baylor a one-point lead. Illinois went four and out, and Baylor drove down the field and added a field goal to extend its lead.
12 catches, 195 yards, TD
Arizona: Mike Stoops' troops collapsed a bit at the end of the season after such a promising start. The Wildcats started 7-1 and were ranked as high as No. 9, but a brutal schedule in November and an inconsistent running game doomed Arizona.
Box Score: With Oklahoma State up 27-21, Arizona running back Keola Antolin scored on a 4-yard run with 3:18 to go to to apparently tie the game. However, Alex Zendejas missed that extra-point attempt (40 of 45 on extra-point attempts in 2010). Dan Bailey attempted a 58-yard field goal with 1:44 left for the lead, but it missed off the upright. The Cowboys got the ball back, though, and Bailey hit a 55-yarder as time expired to win.
SMU: The Mustangs appear in their second consecutive bowl game for the first time since 1983-84. Despite June Jones' run'n' shoot offense run by QB Kyle Padron, RB Zach Line led Conference USA in rushing with 1,391 yards.
Box Score: SMU scored 17 points in the fourth quarter to come back and win. Army ran 69 times for 291 yards. But the running of Line was the difference in this game. A 10-yard TD reception with two minutes left and a 56-yard run with 36 seconds left gave the Ponies the late, comeback victory.
27 carries, 120 yards, TD
3 catches, 33 yards
Syracuse: The Orange are bowling as second-year coach Doug Marrone has turned around a team that was recently the laughingstock of the Big East. The Orange stay in New York for their bowl game, which is interesting to note since they went 4-3 in the Big East, with all three losses coming at home.
Box Score: Although Kansas State outgained the Orange on the ground, Carson Coffman struggled to outplay Ryan Nassib and Syracuse got the best of the Wildcats in Yankee Stadium. Thomas ran for 120 yards and a TD and Carter ran for 77 and a TD, but Nassib was turnover free while Coffman threw an INT and Josh Cherry missed a FG.
Tennesse: The Vols got to a bowl game despite not beating a team over .500 this year, Inserting freshmen Tyler Bray at quarterback, replacing transfer Matt Simms, proved to be the team's turning point as Bray went 4-0 after the team started 2-6, which includes a four-game losing streak.
Box Score: Yates had just as many touchdown passes as he did incomplete passes (three) and helped the Tar Heels win. UNC ended the game on a 21-0 run after trailing 17-10 midway through the third quarter. Bray also had a good game, not as efficient as Yates, but no turnovers and two touchdown passes.
Washington: The Huskies alternated wins and losses through the first six games, then lost three straight games and ended the season on a three-game winning streak. This will be QB Jake Locker's final game at Washington.
Box Score: Helu and Rex Burkhead combined for 178 yards, three TDs on the ground, and the Huskers beat the Huskies for the second time in 2010. Martinez was efficient and turnover free, while Locker threw an INT and no TDs.
23 carries, 112 yards
3 catches, 33 yards
Clemson: Clemson clearly missed CJ Spiller and Jacoby Ford, who are both in the NFL, on offense this season. The Tigers never replaced Ford's production at wideout. At running back, Andre Ellington was hurt for half the year and Jamie Harper could not carry the load alone.
Box Score: Both QBs Daniels and Kyle Parker were inefficient for their schools, but a strong running game helped Clemson come out on top. The Tigers averaged 3.3 yards per rush to the Bulls' 2.8 yards.
Miami: A 7-5 record (28-22 in four years) cost coach Randy Shannon his job. QB Jacory Harris was wildly inconsistent all year with 14 TDs and 12 INTs, with many of those INTs coming in crucial situations. The Canes defense ranks second in pass defense, sixth in sacks and first in tackles for loss nationally.
Box Score: Kelly watched his QBs melt in the "Sun" as both Rees and Nate Montana combined for five interceptions and no touchdowns. The two combined to complete 34 percent of their passes. Harris was not much better for Miami, throwing two picks of his own. Matt Bosher kicked a 28- yard field goal with 1:06 remaining, and Montana could not lead a comeback.
UCF: One more win would set a school record for the Knights, who are 0-3 in bowl games. Freshman QB Jeff Godfrey has had a great season and the Golden Knights have the top run defense in Conference USA.
Box Score: This game went back and forth until the fourth quarter when Murray threw his 4th TD pass of the game to Kris Durham, putting the Dogs up 34-24 and putting this game out of reach. Caleb King and Washaun Ealey combined for 167 yards on the ground. UCF RB Ronnie Weaver had more than 100 yards and two TDs, and Godfrey did not turn the ball over.
33 carries, 143 yards, TD
3 catches, 29 yards
Florida State: First-year coach Jimbo Fisher got FSU to the ACC title game. The Seminoles rank second in sacks and 17th in tackles for a loss. Not bad considering Fisher's pedigree is on offense, where he helped QB Christian Ponder be more consistent.
Box Score: After Lattimore ran for a 38-yard TD with just over four minutes to go, USC went up 26-17. But on the next play from scrimmage, Chris Thompson broke through for a 60-yard TD and got the 'Noles right back in it. USC's next drive was inefficient. Then Ponder led FSU down the field, and Dustin Hopkins nailed a 50-yard field goal with just under 90 seconds left for the win.
Texas Tech: New coach Tommy Tuberville stuck with Mike Leach's pass-heavy offensive philosophy as senior QB Taylor Potts threw for 3,357 yards and 31 TD. Receiver Lyle Leong is second in the nation with 17 TD catches.
Box Score: Leong caught two touchdown passes from Potts, who threw four TDs but also four interceptions. Northwestern's offense struggled with Watkins starting at QB for injured Persa. However, the Wildcats tied the game at the start of the fourth quarter with a field goal, but Leong's second TD of the game, with 8:15 to go, gave Tech the lead that they never relinquished.
Penn State: Inconsistent play from the quarterback position led to a rough year in (not so) Happy Valley. Sophomore QB Matt McGloin did a much better job late in the year for Joe Paterno after replacing true freshman Robert Bolden.
Box Score: Florida led 21-13 entering the fourth quarter. Bolden found Derek Moye for a 6-yard TD, but on the two-point coversion, Bolden's pass fell incomplete. Penn State got the ball back, though, with 2:25 left from its 28 and Bolden led them down the field as Collin Wagner kicked a 36-yard field goal as time expired to win.
20 carries, 97 yards
3 catches, 97 yards
Michigan State: It's rare that a team from the Big Ten goes 11-1, shares the conference championship and does not get invited to a BCS bowl. The Spartans beat the team representing the conference in the Rose Bowl (Wisconsin).
Box Score: After trailing by 11 at the half, Michigan State tied the game on a field goal with 1:12 left. However, too much time was left on the clock for McElroy and company. McElroy moved Alabama down the field and into position for Jeremy Shelley. The Tide's kicker redeemed himself from two earlier misses as he nailed the game-winner from 35 yards out as time expired.
13-14, 190 yards, 2 TD
33 carries, 141 yards
Michigan: QB Denard Robinson looked like he was going to win the Heisman trophy unanimously the first month of the season. However, Big Ten play and injuries slowed him down. The defense allowed 33.8 points per game (ranked 102nd in the country). This is Rich Rodriguez's first bowl appearance in Ann Arbor.
Box Score: Robinson reminded the nation why he was an early-season Heisman candidate, accounting for 331 total yards. But Michigan's defense let the team down again. Michigan led 28-23 with under a minute to go, but Bulldogs QB Chris Relf found Brandon Heavens for the game-winning 11-yard TD with 42 ticks left on the clock.
TCU: TCU capped off its second consecutive undefeated regular season. After losing to Boise State in the Fiesta Bowl last year, TCU faces a BCS opponent this time in the Rose Bowl. QB Andy Dalton needs to limit mistakes to give the Horned Frogs a chance.
Box Score: Wisconsin and TCU both rushed for more than 200 yards as a team, but the Horned Frogs averaged 6.3 yards per carry to the Badgers' 4.2 YPC. TCU's knockout blow came with 3:10 left in the game when Waymon James rumbled 8 yards for the score to extend the Frogs' lead to nine.
30 carries, 156 yards, 2 TD
5 catches, 57 yards
Oklahoma: The Sooners have lost five straight BCS bowl games, including two Fiesta Bowls. Landry Jones blossomed into a star for Bob Stoops, passing for more than 4,000 yards and 35 TDs. WR Ryan Broyles was a big part of the offense with 118 catches for 1,452 yards and 11 TDs.
Box Score: UConn kept this close, trailing 16-13 entering the fourth quarter, but DeMarco Murray broke through in the fourth, rushing for two touchdowns, including a 53-yarder to put the Sooners up 23-13. Todman ran for 130 yards in the bowl game loss.
22-35, 311 yards, 2 TD, 2 INT
11 carries, 41 yards rushing
Virginia Tech After the Hokies lost to Boise State and FCS James Madison to start the season, most people wrote them off for 2010. However, Frank Beamer's boys recovered to win 11 straight and the ACC championship. As Tyrod Taylor goes, the offense goes. Taylor and the running game have been crucial all year.
Box Score: Luck and Taylor accomplished more of the same for the Cardinal in the Orange Bowl. Taylor ran for 163 yards and a TD, and Luck tossed two touchdowns. Virginia Tech settled for five field goals from Chris Hazley as the Hokies had a hard time getting in the end zone.
Arkansas: Bobby Petrino's offense features Ryan Mallett, a 3,000-yard passer, RB Knile Davis who ran for more than 1,000 yards, and five receivers with at least 500 yards receiving. The Hogs averaged 37.3 ppg but averaged 42.5 points over their last six games (6-0).
Box Score: Pryor hit Dane Sanzenbacher for a 17-yard TD with just under a minute to go to give OSU the lead for good in a game where a lead never felt safe. The fourth quarter featured 28 total points, the final nine scored by OSU to give Jim Tressel another BCS bowl win. Pryor finished the game with three touchdown passes to take home Player of the Game honors.
18 carries, 180 yards
Miami (OH): Coach Mike Haywood turned around a team that went 1-11 in 2009 into a nine-win, championship team in 2010. And he did it without starting QB Zach Dysert for the last three games, who was out with a lacerated spleen.
Box Score: Dysert returned from injury and threw a 14-yard TD to Nick Harwell with 1:10 remaining to give Miami a brief 24-23 lead. But MTU's Benny Cunningham, not Phillip Tanner, took an ensuing handoff and ran 39 yards for the game-winning TD with just three seconds remaining.
Texas A&M: After a 3-3 start, the Aggies reeled off six straight wins, including Oklahoma and Nebraska, who both played in the Big 12 title game. Mike Sherman benched QB Jerrod Johnson and turned one of his top WRs, Ryan Tannehill into his starting quarterback, which paid huge dividends for A&M.
Box Score: Miles developed a reputation for being "lucky" this year. Here is a good example: After Texas A&M missed a 38-yard field goal with 34 seconds left, LSU took over at its 21. Jordan Jefferson hit Rueben Randle for an 18-yard gain, but a 15-yard facemask handed LSU an extra gift. With five seconds left and the ball sitting on the LSU 46-yard line, Jefferson threw it up for grabs. The Tigers' Kadron Boone came down with it in the end zone with no time left on the clock. Miles does it again.
25 carries, 146 yards, TD
2 catches, 16 yards
Kentucky: Kentucky is making its fifth straight bowl appearance. Fifth-year senior QB Mike Hartline has plenty of weapons on offense, such as receiver Randall Cobb, who had 16 touchdowns in four different ways. RB Derrick Locke is healthy again, too.
Box Score: Pitt overcame a poor performance from Sunseri, as it ran for 269 yards collectively, averaging 4.9 yards per rush. Lewis and Graham each had two TDs. Lewis scored from 8 yards out with just over five minutes to go to put Pitt ahead 24-17. Locke carried the Kentucky offense as Hartline was suspended.
8-13, 169 yards, 2 TD
15 carries, 44 yards
Boston College: The Eagles followed up a five-game losing streak early in the year with a five-game winning streak. True freshman QB Chase Rettig helped guide Boston College to its 12th straight bowl game. The return of linebacker Mark Herzlich from cancer, also provided the team with a huge boost.
Box Score: Trailing by five in the third quarter, Mike Ball scored on an 11-yard run as the Wolf Pack retook the lead. Vai Taua added 118 yards on the ground as Nevada ran for 275 yards as a team. Rettig passed for 266 yards and a touchdown for the Eagles.
Auburn: The Tigers are led by Heisman trophy winner Cam Newton, who amidst some late-season, off-the-field controversy had a spectacular season. Lombardi award winner Nick Fairley is the leader of the Auburn defense. Auburn ranks sixth in both rushing yards and points per game.
Box Score: Oregon exploded in the second quarter, scoring 28 points - three touchdowns via James. The Ducks defense kept Newton in check as the Heisman winner tossed just one TD and ran for 63 yards. Oregon surrendered 24 points in the second half, but the Ducks' first-half outburst held off the Tigers for the BCS National Championship crown.
Remember if any depth chart changes or injuries occur between now and a team's bowl game, you have the ablity to adjust the depth chart using our FREE college football SimMatchup feature.
Ryan Fowler is the Content Manager for Whatifsports.com. He can be reached at firstname.lastname@example.org.