Final 2010 NCAA football power rankings
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WhatIfSports.com utilizes its NCAA football simulation to present the most comprehensive, deterministic and unbiased ranking of all teams. We simulated every possible DI FBS match-up one hundred times, and used the winning percentages from 700,000+ games to evaluate every team. All 120 teams are ranked below with their average points for and against from the simulated games. Simulations are based on updated, strength-of-schedule-adjusted stats, so significant week-to-week changes could occur.
Teams Ranked by Winning Percentage
(everyone plays everyone 100 times)
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Oregon Ducks | - | 93.8 | 44.1 | 17.3 |
| 2. | TCU Horned Frogs | - | 91.9 | 42.6 | 17.7 |
| 3. | Ohio State Buckeyes | - | 91.4 | 38.3 | 14.1 |
| 4. | Wisconsin Badgers | - | 89.4 | 40.4 | 18.3 |
| 5. | Auburn Tigers | +2 | 88.7 | 42.2 | 20.4 |
| 6. | Stanford Cardinal | -1 | 88.4 | 42.6 | 21.4 |
| 7. | Virginia Tech Hokies | +1 | 86.8 | 40.4 | 20.0 |
| 8. | Boise State Broncos | +2 | 85.6 | 41.9 | 23.1 |
| 9. | Arkansas Razorbacks | +2 | 84.0 | 43.4 | 26.9 |
| 10. | LSU Tigers | +3 | 81.7 | 34.2 | 17.8 |
| 11. | Oklahoma State Cowboys | +3 | 79.6 | 40.2 | 25.8 |
| 12. | Oklahoma Sooners | +3 | 79.6 | 36.1 | 21.0 |
| 13. | Alabama Crimson Tide | -1 | 78.9 | 31.0 | 16.0 |
| 14. | South Carolina Gamecocks | -5 | 78.7 | 33.6 | 19.8 |
| 15. | North Carolina Tar Heels | +2 | 78.0 | 33.1 | 18.6 |
| 16. | Texas A&M Aggies | +5 | 76.8 | 36.1 | 23.1 |
| 17. | Nebraska Cornhuskers | +1 | 76.6 | 30.0 | 17.0 |
| 18. | Michigan State Spartans | +5 | 75.9 | 35.0 | 22.7 |
| 19. | Florida State Seminoles | - | 75.6 | 36.7 | 24.4 |
| 20. | Arizona Wildcats | -4 | 75.5 | 33.5 | 20.9 |
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
| 21. | West Virginia Mountaineers | -1 | 74.8 | 30.5 | 18.4 |
| 22. | Penn State Nittany Lions | +6 | 73.8 | 30.6 | 19.7 |
| 23. | Iowa Hawkeyes | -17 | 73.5 | 29.5 | 17.7 |
| 24. | Pittsburgh Panthers | -2 | 73.0 | 32.7 | 21.6 |
| 25. | Utah Utes | - | 71.7 | 33.6 | 22.8 |
| 26. | Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets | +1 | 71.4 | 33.3 | 23.2 |
| 27. | Missouri Tigers | -3 | 71.4 | 31.6 | 21.4 |
| 28. | Georgia Bulldogs | -2 | 69.7 | 33.5 | 23.8 |
| 29. | Arizona State Sun Devils | +1 | 68.4 | 30.9 | 22.4 |
| 30. | Northern Illinois Huskies | +1 | 68.0 | 33.0 | 24.6 |
| 31. | Texas Tech Red Raiders | +3 | 66.7 | 33.7 | 26.2 |
| 32. | San Diego State Aztecs | -3 | 66.7 | 32.9 | 25.0 |
| 33. | Miami (FL) Hurricanes | - | 65.9 | 30.2 | 22.6 |
| 34. | Nevada Wolf Pack | -2 | 65.2 | 37.7 | 30.4 |
| 35. | USC Trojans | +3 | 64.9 | 31.7 | 25.1 |
| 36. | Florida Gators | - | 62.8 | 26.9 | 20.7 |
| 37. | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | +2 | 62.3 | 29.4 | 23.8 |
| 38. | Hawaii Warriors | -1 | 61.4 | 35.3 | 29.6 |
| 39. | Texas Longhorns | +2 | 61.2 | 28.3 | 22.4 |
| 40. | Connecticut Huskies | - | 60.3 | 29.3 | 23.8 |
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
| 41. | North Carolina State Wolfpack | +1 | 60.0 | 32.5 | 28.0 |
| 42. | Cincinnati Bearcats | -7 | 59.9 | 30.8 | 26.0 |
| 43. | Mississippi State Bulldogs | - | 59.7 | 30.7 | 25.5 |
| 44. | Southern Miss Golden Eagles | +2 | 59.3 | 35.6 | 30.7 |
| 45. | Southern Methodist Mustangs | -1 | 57.6 | 32.1 | 28.8 |
| 46. | Clemson Tigers | -1 | 56.9 | 29.4 | 26.1 |
| 47. | Northwestern Wildcats | +1 | 56.6 | 27.4 | 23.7 |
| 48. | Temple Owls | -1 | 56.2 | 27.6 | 25.0 |
| 49. | Baylor Bears | +7 | 55.5 | 30.0 | 27.4 |
| 50. | California Golden Bears | +2 | 55.2 | 26.0 | 23.8 |
| 51. | Oregon State Beavers | -2 | 54.7 | 26.4 | 24.0 |
| 52. | UCF Knights | +3 | 54.7 | 30.2 | 27.8 |
| 53. | Syracuse Orange | -2 | 54.3 | 25.8 | 22.7 |
| 54. | Kentucky Wildcats | -1 | 54.3 | 27.1 | 25.0 |
| 55. | Fresno State Bulldogs | -5 | 53.1 | 29.7 | 28.1 |
| 56. | Mississippi Rebels | -2 | 52.6 | 29.3 | 27.8 |
| 57. | Air Force Falcons | - | 52.5 | 26.1 | 25.2 |
| 58. | Michigan Wolverines | +3 | 52.0 | 31.1 | 30.4 |
| 59. | Purdue Boilermakers | +5 | 51.3 | 25.7 | 25.2 |
| 60. | Brigham Young Cougars | -1 | 50.5 | 26.4 | 25.9 |
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
| 61. | South Florida Bulls | -1 | 50.3 | 25.3 | 24.9 |
| 62. | Louisville Cardinals | - | 50.0 | 24.9 | 24.9 |
| 63. | UCLA Bruins | -5 | 49.5 | 24.8 | 25.1 |
| 64. | Tennessee Volunteers | +3 | 49.2 | 25.3 | 25.6 |
| 65. | Idaho Vandals | - | 48.8 | 31.9 | 32.2 |
| 66. | Ohio Bobcats | -3 | 48.4 | 24.6 | 24.9 |
| 67. | Colorado Buffaloes | -1 | 47.3 | 25.1 | 26.0 |
| 68. | UTEP Miners | +2 | 46.8 | 28.7 | 29.9 |
| 69. | Troy Trojans | +14 | 46.6 | 29.1 | 30.8 |
| 70. | Maryland Terrapins | -1 | 46.2 | 26.9 | 28.2 |
| 71. | Houston Cougars | - | 46.0 | 30.9 | 32.3 |
| 72. | Navy Midshipmen | -4 | 45.2 | 25.0 | 27.0 |
| 73. | Tulsa Golden Hurricane | +1 | 44.8 | 30.3 | 32.9 |
| 74. | Rutgers Scarlet Knights | -2 | 44.8 | 22.6 | 25.0 |
| 75. | Duke Blue Devils | - | 44.6 | 25.8 | 28.3 |
| 76. | Illinois Fighting Illini | - | 43.9 | 24.8 | 27.3 |
| 77. | Virginia Cavaliers | - | 43.3 | 21.5 | 24.8 |
| 78. | Boston College Eagles | -5 | 42.9 | 23.4 | 25.6 |
| 79. | Central Michigan Chippewas | +1 | 41.8 | 22.7 | 26.3 |
| 80. | Kansas State Wildcats | +1 | 40.8 | 23.7 | 27.1 |
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
| 81. | Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | -2 | 40.3 | 24.5 | 28.3 |
| 82. | Washington Huskies | - | 39.7 | 25.0 | 29.3 |
| 83. | Utah State Aggies | -5 | 38.1 | 25.9 | 30.5 |
| 84. | Indiana Hoosiers | - | 35.1 | 26.0 | 32.1 |
| 85. | Arkansas State Red Wolves | - | 34.9 | 25.5 | 32.3 |
| 86. | Wake Forest Demon Deacons | +1 | 34.8 | 22.1 | 28.7 |
| 87. | Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | -1 | 34.8 | 23.7 | 30.5 |
| 88. | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | - | 34.7 | 21.8 | 28.4 |
| 89. | East Carolina Pirates | - | 34.5 | 24.1 | 31.0 |
| 90. | Toledo Rockets | +1 | 33.7 | 25.0 | 32.2 |
| 91. | Iowa State Cyclones | -1 | 32.2 | 21.0 | 29.6 |
| 92. | Tulane Green Wave | +1 | 31.3 | 21.1 | 30.0 |
| 93. | Florida International Golden Panthers | +2 | 29.8 | 22.8 | 32.4 |
| 94. | Buffalo Bulls | -2 | 29.1 | 19.5 | 29.0 |
| 95. | UAB Blazers | +2 | 28.4 | 23.8 | 34.1 |
| 96. | Army Black Knights | -2 | 28.0 | 18.1 | 28.9 |
| 97. | Washington State Cougars | -1 | 27.5 | 21.9 | 32.2 |
| 98. | Florida Atlantic Owls | +1 | 27.3 | 21.3 | 32.6 |
| 99. | Minnesota Golden Gophers | -1 | 25.3 | 18.8 | 30.1 |
| 100. | Wyoming Cowboys | +1 | 25.1 | 18.2 | 30.1 |
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
| 101. | Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | +2 | 25.0 | 20.1 | 32.0 |
| 102. | North Texas Mean Green | +3 | 24.6 | 20.8 | 33.5 |
| 103. | Kent State Golden Flashes | -1 | 24.6 | 16.9 | 29.0 |
| 104. | Colorado State Rams | - | 24.5 | 19.5 | 32.0 |
| 105. | Vanderbilt Commodores | +3 | 22.2 | 16.3 | 30.9 |
| 106. | Kansas Jayhawks | +1 | 21.2 | 19.4 | 34.1 |
| 107. | Marshall Thundering Herd | -7 | 21.1 | 18.3 | 32.2 |
| 108. | Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | -2 | 19.6 | 20.0 | 35.2 |
| 109. | Miami (OH) RedHawks | - | 16.2 | 17.4 | 34.5 |
| 110. | Rice Owls | - | 14.6 | 18.3 | 37.0 |
| 111. | Bowling Green Falcons | +1 | 14.6 | 14.3 | 33.0 |
| 112. | UNLV Rebels | +2 | 14.3 | 15.8 | 34.9 |
| 113. | San Jose State Spartans | -2 | 14.3 | 15.4 | 33.5 |
| 114. | Western Michigan Broncos | -1 | 14.2 | 15.4 | 34.5 |
| 115. | Akron Zips | +2 | 10.9 | 13.0 | 35.9 |
| 116. | New Mexico Lobos | -1 | 10.5 | 13.3 | 35.7 |
| 117. | Ball State Cardinals | -1 | 10.4 | 13.1 | 36.9 |
| 118. | Eastern Michigan Eagles | - | 6.2 | 10.6 | 39.5 |
| 119. | New Mexico State Aggies | +1 | 4.3 | 9.3 | 40.3 |
| 120. | Memphis Tigers | -1 | 4.3 | 10.8 | 41.0 |
Ryan Fowler is the Content Manager for Whatifsports.com. He can be reached at rfowler@whatifsports.com.



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