NCAA College Football Week 12 Picks and Predictions From WhatIfSports.com image

Tressel Needs A Little Help From His "Friends"

Week 12 predictions for every D-I/FBS college football game

By Ryan Fowler - WhatIfSports.com
November 15th, 2010

Each Monday morning, Whatifsports.com's NCAA college football simulation engine will provide you with game predictions for every D-1 FBS game that upcoming week. The college football simulation engine generates detailed information for each game including the home team's chances of winning (Home Win%) and the average points scored for both teams. Make sure to share the college football information you gained here with your friends by either checking out our NCAA football widgets on the WhatIf To Go page or clicking on the social networking share bar at the top and bottom of this article.

Check out our 2010 College Football Season-to-Date page to follow our accuracy and for Locks and Upsets of the Week available on Wednesdays.

The statistical inputs to the thousands of college football simulations are based on rigorous analysis of each team's roster, depth charts and statistically based player rankings. Roster modifications are made in cases of injury or suspension and those player's are removed from their team's game simulation for that week.

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Game of the Week: Ohio State at Iowa (featuring Wisconsin at Michigan)

<a href="http://msn.foxsports.com/video?vid=d933e265-d449-4dbe-8076-1a9ad3082bbf" target="_new" title="">WhatIfSports: Game of the week</a>

Sometimes you just need a little help from your friends. But when those friends happen to be your hated rival and a team 99-percent of your fan base would rather see on the back of a 1980s milk carton than on a football field, the Joe Cocker-esque request for assistance may fall on deaf ears.

But like today's politicians reaching across the aisle to help each other's cause or the recent pop culture faux pas when rapper Eminem produced a duet with pop sensations, Pink and Rihanna, Ohio State's temptation to dance with the Maize and Blue devil is warranted, if only, for survival.

The Buckeyes, who some considered BCS title contenders three months ago, need Michigan to beat Wisconsin this week at the Big House (or see Northwestern knock off the Badgers next week) to have a shot at sharing the Big Ten crown with Michigan State (assuming the Bucks and Spartans win out).

I know there are a lot of "what-ifs" in the previous paragraph, but these scenarios are our specialty.

Forgetting Ohio State's collaboration with the Wolverines for just a second, the Buckeyes need to take care of their own business at Iowa. The last time Jim Tressel's team left the state to face a ranked opponent; the Badgers brought the shock and awe with an opening kickoff return for a touchdown and a ground attack (188 yards and 3 TDs) that controlled the clock and sucked the life out of Ohio State.

The 31-18 loss in Madison placed OSU in a rare Big Ten predicament. They would need others to help their post-season cause instead of controlling their own destiny within the conference.

As for Iowa, the Hawkeyes have bungled their shot at the conference crown the last two weeks. A sub-par effort at Indiana required a late fourth-quarter touchdown pass from Rick Stanzi to bounce out of Bloomington with an 18-13 win. However, head coach Kirk Ferentz would watch Rose Bowl aspirations wilt away this past Saturday when Northwestern challenged the Hawkeyes for 60 minutes and rallied for the 21-17 upset win to drop Iowa to 7-3 (4-2 Big Ten).

Although the Buckeyes and Hawkeyes both rank in the top ten in points allowed per game, 5th (13.6) and 7th (15.0) respectively, Ohio State outranks their opponent in passing and rushing yards allowed per game in addition to the number of defensive interceptions (17 compared to 15).

Using our college football simulation engine, we simulated Ohio State versus Iowa 101 times and in one of the closest Game of the Week results, the Buckeyes win 57.4-percent of the time by an average score of 26-22.

Considering Wisconsin absolutely annihilated Indiana last weekend, to learn the Badgers are favored to win 89.1-percent of the time by an average score of 43-23 over Michigan isn't an unexpected simulation revelation.

It's just disappointing that, for just one week, those two crazy kids from opposite sides of the track couldn't work together to achieve a common goal.

Not to worry, I'm sure those clad in scarlet and grey have something in store for their "friends" from Ann Arbor on November 27th.

College Football Week 12
MatchupWin%Avg Score 
Duke Blue Devils16.822Boxscore
@ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets83.235 
North Carolina State Wolfpack18.323Boxscore
@ North Carolina Tar Heels81.734 
Virginia Cavaliers43.621Boxscore
@ Boston College Eagles56.422 
Virginia Tech Hokies57.932Boxscore
@ Miami (FL) Hurricanes42.127 
Clemson Tigers79.231Boxscore
@ Wake Forest Demon Deacons20.821 
Florida State Seminoles85.139Boxscore
@ Maryland Terrapins14.926 
Rutgers Scarlet Knights14.417Boxscore
@ Cincinnati Bearcats85.629 
Connecticut Huskies50.524Boxscore
@ Syracuse Orange49.523 
West Virginia Mountaineers74.329Boxscore
@ Louisville Cardinals25.718 
Pittsburgh Panthers82.231Boxscore
@ South Florida Bulls17.819 
Illinois Fighting Illini13.919Boxscore
@ Northwestern Wildcats86.133 
Purdue Boilermakers15.820Boxscore
@ Michigan State Spartans84.233 
Ohio State Buckeyes57.426Boxscore
@ Iowa Hawkeyes42.622 
Wisconsin Badgers89.143Boxscore
@ Michigan Wolverines10.923 
Penn State Nittany Lions92.136Boxscore
@ Indiana Hoosiers 7.919 
Eastern Michigan Eagles 7.912Boxscore
@ Buffalo Bulls92.129 
Bowling Green Falcons27.720Boxscore
@ Toledo Rockets72.328 
Ohio Bobcats46.525Boxscore
@ Temple Owls53.527 
Miami (OH) RedHawks60.423Boxscore
@ Akron Zips39.619 
Kent State Golden Flashes66.323Boxscore
@ Western Michigan Broncos33.716 
Northern Illinois Huskies95.040Boxscore
@ Ball State Cardinals 5.011 
USC Trojans58.927Boxscore
@ Oregon State Beavers41.124 
UCLA Bruins75.229Boxscore
@ Washington Huskies24.820 
Stanford Cardinal87.136Boxscore
@ California Golden Bears12.920 
Georgia State Panthers 5.06Boxscore
@ Alabama Crimson Tide95.063 
Appalachian State Mountaineers 5.06Boxscore
@ Florida Gators95.054 
Troy Trojans 5.018Boxscore
@ South Carolina Gamecocks95.043 
Mississippi Rebels13.917Boxscore
@ LSU Tigers86.134 
Arkansas Razorbacks80.240Boxscore
@ Mississippi State Bulldogs19.831 
Tennessee Volunteers86.131Boxscore
@ Vanderbilt Commodores13.914 
New Mexico State Aggies 5.013Boxscore
@ Nevada Wolf Pack95.051 
Fresno State Bulldogs 6.924Boxscore
@ Boise State Broncos93.145 
San Jose State Spartans 7.917Boxscore
@ Hawaii Warriors92.138 
Idaho Vandals64.435Boxscore
@ Utah State Aggies35.632 
Army Black Knights11.915Boxscore
@ Notre Dame Fighting Irish88.131 
Arkansas State Red Wolves46.529Boxscore
@ Navy Midshipmen53.530 
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders79.232Boxscore
@ Western Kentucky Hilltoppers20.821 
Weber State Wildcats 5.06Boxscore
@ Texas Tech Red Raiders95.056 
Florida Atlantic Owls 7.916Boxscore
@ Texas Longhorns92.136 
Nebraska Cornhuskers43.626Boxscore
@ Texas A&M Aggies56.427 
Kansas State Wildcats48.522Boxscore
@ Colorado Buffaloes51.523 
Oklahoma Sooners69.334Boxscore
@ Baylor Bears30.727 
Missouri Tigers93.136Boxscore
@ Iowa State Cyclones 6.916 
Oklahoma State Cowboys95.049Boxscore
@ Kansas Jayhawks 5.019 
Memphis Tigers 6.917Boxscore
@ UAB Blazers93.134 
Marshall Thundering Herd14.919Boxscore
@ Southern Methodist Mustangs85.133 
Houston Cougars40.634Boxscore
@ Southern Miss Golden Eagles59.439 
UTEP Miners60.435Boxscore
@ Tulsa Golden Hurricane39.632 
East Carolina Pirates74.332Boxscore
@ Rice Owls25.722 
UCF Knights80.232Boxscore
@ Tulane Green Wave19.824 
New Mexico Lobos 5.012Boxscore
@ Brigham Young Cougars95.034 
Colorado State Rams45.523Boxscore
@ Wyoming Cowboys54.524 
Utah Utes65.332Boxscore
@ San Diego State Aztecs34.726 
Air Force Falcons94.134Boxscore
@ UNLV Rebels 5.913 
North Texas Mean Green25.721Boxscore
@ Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks74.330 
Florida International Golden Panthers60.428Boxscore
@ Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns39.625 

Ryan Fowler is the Content Manager for Whatifsports.com. He can be reached at rfowler@whatifsports.com.

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