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Game of the Week: South Carolina vs Auburn - SEC Championship

Steve Spurrier and South Carolina look to spoil Auburn’s pursuit of perfection in this year’s SEC Championship Game in Atlanta. While the conference title is on the line, the automatic SEC BCS bid is a secondary storyline for the Tigers, as a win guarantees an appearance in the National Championship.

These two squads have already battled in 2010, as Auburn survived a September 25 showdown with a 35-27 victory thanks to Cam Newton’s five-touchdown performance. Yet this encounter was fought in the Auburn-friendly confines of Jordan-Hare Stadium, giving USC fans hope that the neutralized Georgia Dome aids in an alternative outcome.

For Auburn, the offensive assault is fueled by Heisman-hopeful Newton, who has registered 43 touchdowns on the season. The Tigers boast one of the nation’s most relentless rushing attacks with the triple-headed monster of Newton (1,336 rushing yards and 18 TDs), Michael Dyer (886 yards and 5 TDs), and Onterio McCalebb (733 yards with a 8.5 rush attempt) averaging 291.3 yards on the ground per game. This blitzkrieg has equated to the Tigers lighting up the scoreboard to the tune of 41.6 points per contest.

But despite this offensive explosion the Tigers are far from flawless. The Auburn defense has been relatively pedestrian, surrendering 25.1 points per game. This defensive deficiency has correlated into numerous close-calls for the Tigers as six games have been decided by seven points or less. Auburn does have one of the most dominant and disruptive defenders in college football in DT Nick Fairley, who has accumulated 10 sacks on the season. Yet Fairley has also caused his fair share of problems, as excessive celebration and personal foul penalties have led to extended drives for the opposition.

On the other side of that spectrum lies South Carolina, whose defense is yielding just 20.2 points per game and holding opponents to 1,118 rushing yards on the season, tops in the SEC. The Gamecocks are also opportunistic against the pass, as USC has returned five interceptions for touchdowns in 2010.

The South Carolina offense is a much-more balanced attack, with freshman running back Marcus Lattimore leading the way with 1,114 yards and 17 touchdowns. South Carolina signal caller Stephen Garcia has been erratic at times, but has posted solid numbers (2,646 yards and 18 TDs) and has built a strong affinity with All-American candidate Alshon Jeffery (75 receptions for 1,351 yards and eight scores).

So who wins this SEC shootout? According to the WhatIfSports.com college football simulation engine, the Tigers come out on top 58.4 percent of the time with an average score of 33-30. For the rest of this week’s picks, check below:

College Football Week 14
Matchup	Win%	Avg Score
Florida State Seminoles	27.7	30	Boxscore
@ Virginia Tech Hokies	72.3	35
Rutgers Scarlet Knights	17.3	14	Boxscore
@ West Virginia Mountaineers	82.7	27
Connecticut Huskies	60.4	27	Boxscore
@ South Florida Bulls	39.6	23
Pittsburgh Panthers	61.4	31	Boxscore
@ Cincinnati Bearcats	38.6	27
Northern Illinois Huskies	95.0	40	Boxscore
@ Miami (OH) RedHawks	5.0	15
Arizona State Sun Devils	32.7	23	Boxscore
@ Arizona Wildcats	67.3	29
USC Trojans	58.4	28	Boxscore
@ UCLA Bruins	41.6	24
Washington Huskies	62.4	29	Boxscore
@ Washington State Cougars	37.6	24
Oregon Ducks	95.0	41	Boxscore
@ Oregon State Beavers	5.0	16
Auburn Tigers	58.4	33	Boxscore
@ South Carolina Gamecocks	41.6	30
UNLV Rebels	5.0	18	Boxscore
@ Hawaii Warriors	95.0	41
Utah State Aggies	5.0	22	Boxscore
@ Boise State Broncos	95.0	45
San Jose State Spartans	9.9	22	Boxscore
@ Idaho Vandals	90.1	38
Illinois Fighting Illini	42.6	26	Boxscore
@ Fresno State Bulldogs	57.4	29
Nevada Wolf Pack	80.2	40	Boxscore
@ Louisiana Tech Bulldogs	19.8	29
Nebraska Cornhuskers	46.5	24	Boxscore
@ Oklahoma Sooners	53.5	25
Southern Methodist Mustangs	56.4	34	Boxscore
@ UCF Knights	43.6	31
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders	64.4	30	Boxscore
@ Florida International Golden Panthers	35.6	24
Troy Trojans	71.8	31	Boxscore
@ Florida Atlantic Owls	28.2	26

Ryan Fowler is the Content Manager for Whatifsports.com. He can be reached at rfowler@whatifsports.com.