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Game of the Week: Army vs Navy

If Paul Revere were a defensive coordinator for Army or Navy in 2010, he would only need the one lantern.

Despite the Midshipmen’s amphibious reputation, they (along with the Black Knights) rely heavily on their sea legs as their offensive preference is a constant ground attack. It’s a shared strategic philosophy that has led to winning records, bowl bids and two rush offenses ranked in the top ten.

Now, in the 111th meeting, Navy and Army will send their explosive rushing attacks on to the same field and see which defense breaks first.

The Black Knights enter the game with no interest in throwing the rock. Army ranks dead last, 120th, in the FBS in passing yards per game (77.9). Although he’s not as dynamic as Navy’s quarterback, Ricky Dobbs, Army QB Trent Steelman leads the team in carries, is second on the team in rushing (620 yds) and first in rushing touchdowns (11).

Army is so anti-air assault; the team hasn’t passed more than 16 times in a game all season. They have rushed 50 times or more in nine of their eleven games including 66 times in a week four win against Duke.

Navy, and their triple-option offense led by Dobbs, has gone to the air more often with their season high (27 attempts) coming against the same Blue Devils in week eight. However, a week earlier versus Notre Dame, Dobbs threw the ball twice, total. Then there was the week nine invasion of East Carolina where the Midshipmen ran for 521 yards and eight (8!) touchdowns. You would think the Pirates of all teams would have seen it coming.

If the Navy senior class can manage to extend their series-record eight game winning streak to nine on Saturday, they would match the 36-win mark set last by the class of 1909.

Win or lose, Army’s six wins qualify them for a post-season bowl for the first time since 1996. Winning the turnover battle has led to most of Army’s success in 2010. The Black Knights are fifth in the country in turnover margin (+1.20) and have outscored opponents 104-24 in points off turnovers.

Using our college football simulation engine, we played Army versus Navy 101 times and the Midshipmen won 71.8-percent of the time by an average score of 28-18.

Navy won it by land.

December Madness returns for its 7th season! First round results released Thursday, December 9th!

College Football Week 15
Matchup	Win%	Avg Score
Army Black Knights	28.2	18	Boxscore
@ Navy Midshipmen	71.8	28

Ryan Fowler is the Content Manager for Whatifsports.com. He can be reached at rfowler@whatifsports.com.