Week 6 predictions for every D-I/FBS college football game
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Each Monday morning, Whatifsports.com's NCAA college football simulation engine will provide you with game predictions for every D-1 FBS game that upcoming week. The college football simulation engine generates detailed information for each game including the home team's chances of winning (Home Win%) and the average points scored for both teams. Make sure to share the college football information you gained here with your friends by either checking out our NCAA football widgets on the WhatIf To Go page or clicking on the social networking share bar at the top and bottom of this article.
Check out our 2010 College Football Season-to-Date page to follow our accuracy and for Locks and Upsets of the Week available on Wednesdays.
The statistical inputs to the thousands of college football simulations are based on rigorous analysis of each team's roster, depth charts and statistically based player rankings. Roster modifications are made in cases of injury or suspension and those player's are removed from their team's game simulation for that week.
Game of the Week: Michigan State vs Michigan
The Michigan Wolverines are quickly becoming the Loyola Marymount of college football. Rich Rodriguez should really consider adopting the philosophy of "if you can't beat them, just outrun and outscore them."
The Wolverines advance the ball up the field as if an offensive drive were the Autobahn; braking is optional. The only difference is, quarterback Denard Robinson has no brakes, he only gets faster in the open field. The sophomore wildcat throws his legs into another gear while defensive backs lunge to tackle thin air.
The TOP stat line from last Saturday's game against Indiana embodies the core of Michigan's zoom-zoom offense.
Time of possession:
Michigan - 18:13
Indiana - 41:17
The Maize and Blue nearly scored 3 points an offensive minute against Indiana.
With the way their defense has performed the first five weeks, Robinson and company may need to put up more points to withstand the thrashing the Michigan defense will receive the other two-thirds of the game.
Greg Robinson may be looking for another job, again. The Michigan defensive coordinator is dealing with a lot of injuries (who isn't?), but for a team like Michigan to rank 73rd in points allowed, when you have Bowling Green and Massachusetts on your schedule, is unconscionable.
Regardless, Michigan is 5-0 and will face their in-state rival Michigan State this Saturday. The two share the state, an unblemished record and last second wins over Notre Dame in South Bend.
Sparty's perfect start to the season is the second headline behind the health of their head coach.
Mark Dantonio suffered a heart attack after the win over the Irish, in which he called for, and converted, a fake field goal in overtime to pull the stunner three weeks ago.
Well, coach suffered another setback in his return to health last weekend as doctors discovered a blood clot in his leg which forced him to miss the Spartans upset win over Wisconsin.
Even at 5-0, Michigan State is still flying under the radar as a viable Big 10 champion. Their numbers don't run up and punch you in the face. They rank 39th in passing yards, 20th in rushing yards, 24th in points per game and 36th in points allowed. But Michigan will have to stop the Spartans on offense a few times if they want any crack at a 6-0 record.
Using our college football simulation engine, Whatifsports.com simulated this game 101 times and what a barn-burner this could turn out to be. Michigan State won 56.4 percent of the time by an average score of 38-37.
The San Diego State at BYU game was re-simulated on 10/6.
College Football Week 6
|Central Michigan Chippewas||5.0||16||Boxscore|
|@ Virginia Tech Hokies||95.0||37|
|@ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets||89.1||35|
|Boston College Eagles||20.8||22||Boxscore|
|@ North Carolina State Wolfpack||79.2||34|
|Florida State Seminoles||37.6||31||Boxscore|
|@ Miami (FL) Hurricanes||62.4||38|
|@ Wake Forest Demon Deacons||45.5||24|
|@ North Carolina Tar Heels||37.6||19|
|@ Louisville Cardinals||95.0||36|
|Miami (OH) RedHawks||5.0||10||Boxscore|
|@ Cincinnati Bearcats||95.0||43|
|@ West Virginia Mountaineers||95.0||45|
|@ South Florida Bulls||41.6||29|
|@ Rutgers Scarlet Knights||22.8||20|
|Minnesota Golden Gophers||5.0||15||Boxscore|
|@ Wisconsin Badgers||95.0||45|
|@ Ohio State Buckeyes||95.0||44|
|Illinois Fighting Illini||5.9||14||Boxscore|
|@ Penn State Nittany Lions||94.1||36|
|@ Northwestern Wildcats||74.3||31|
|Michigan State Spartans||56.4||37||Boxscore|
|@ Michigan Wolverines||43.6||37|
|Bowling Green Falcons||6.9||10||Boxscore|
|@ Ohio Bobcats||93.1||31|
|@ Kent State Golden Flashes||73.3||27|
|Western Michigan Broncos||45.5||21||Boxscore|
|@ Ball State Cardinals||54.5||22|
|@ Northern Illinois Huskies||25.7||22|
|@ Stanford Cardinal||90.1||41|
|@ California Golden Bears||85.1||36|
|Oregon State Beavers||30.7||24||Boxscore|
|@ Arizona Wildcats||69.3||34|
|Arizona State Sun Devils||67.3||28||Boxscore|
|@ Washington Huskies||32.7||24|
|@ Washington State Cougars||5.0||13|
|Eastern Michigan Eagles||9.9||11||Boxscore|
|@ Vanderbilt Commodores||90.1||28|
|@ Georgia Bulldogs||78.2||32|
|@ Florida Gators||70.3||29|
|Alabama Crimson Tide||86.1||29||Boxscore|
|@ South Carolina Gamecocks||13.9||16|
|@ Kentucky Wildcats||5.9||19|
|San Jose State Spartans||5.0||18||Boxscore|
|@ Nevada Wolf Pack||95.0||45|
|@ Boise State Broncos||95.0||50|
|@ Fresno State Bulldogs||71.3||38|
|Utah State Aggies||51.5||28||Boxscore|
|@ Louisiana Tech Bulldogs||48.5||29|
|New Mexico Lobos||74.3||21||Boxscore|
|@ New Mexico State Aggies||25.7||17|
|@ Notre Dame Fighting Irish||29.7||29|
|@ Texas Tech Red Raiders||81.2||38|
|@ Missouri Tigers||72.3||35|
|@ Texas A&M Aggies||29.7||39|
|@ Kansas State Wildcats||9.9||16|
|@ Iowa State Cyclones||6.9||20|
|Tulsa Golden Hurricane||8.9||23||Boxscore|
|@ Southern Methodist Mustangs||91.1||42|
|East Carolina Pirates||21.8||23||Boxscore|
|@ Southern Miss Golden Eagles||78.2||39|
|@ UCF Knights||77.2||34|
|@ UTEP Miners||60.4||31|
|Mississippi State Bulldogs||51.5||34||Boxscore|
|@ Houston Cougars||48.5||36|
|Army Black Knights||54.5||22||Boxscore|
|@ Tulane Green Wave||45.5||23|
|@ TCU Horned Frogs||95.0||45|
|Colorado State Rams||7.9||11||Boxscore|
|@ Air Force Falcons||92.1||33|
|San Diego State Aztecs||59.4||25||Boxscore|
|@ Brigham Young Cougars||40.6||23|
|Western Kentucky Hilltoppers||37.6||17||Boxscore|
|@ Florida International Golden Panthers||62.4||24|
|Florida Atlantic Owls||42.6||28||Boxscore|
|@ Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks||57.4||33|
|@ Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders||47.5||30|
|Arkansas State Red Wolves||70.3||28||Boxscore|
|@ North Texas Mean Green||29.7||24|
|Oklahoma State Cowboys||95.0||38||Boxscore|
|@ Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns||5.0||16|
Ryan Fowler is the Content Manager for Whatifsports.com. He can be reached at email@example.com.