Week 9 predictions for every D-I/FBS college football game
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Each Monday morning, Whatifsports.com's NCAA college football simulation engine will provide you with game predictions for every D-1 FBS game that upcoming week. The college football simulation engine generates detailed information for each game including the home team's chances of winning (Home Win%) and the average points scored for both teams. Make sure to share the college football information you gained here with your friends by either checking out our NCAA football widgets on the WhatIf To Go page or clicking on the social networking share bar at the top and bottom of this article.
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The statistical inputs to the thousands of college football simulations are based on rigorous analysis of each team's roster, depth charts and statistically based player rankings. Roster modifications are made in cases of injury or suspension and those player's are removed from their team's game simulation for that week.
Games of the Week: Missouri vs Nebraska
You never forget your first time.
It took Gary Pinkel seven games, but the Missouri (7-0) head coach can rest easier knowing he's beaten Oklahoma.
However, Pinkel's celebration siesta should have quickly turned cat nap with Nebraska lurking in the shadows six days from now.
The Tigers' upset win over top ranked OU can be parlayed into a Big 12 haymaker if their defense can travel to Lincoln and slow down Taylor Martinez and the Cornhuskers.
Nebraska's quarterback is coming off a five touchdown performance against Oklahoma State where he passed for 323 yards and rushed for 112. To be fair, the Cowboys' defense (ranked 89th in points allowed) is far more sparse then the dense defense of Mizzou.
This Black and Gold resistance was apparent when, trailing by one heading into the fourth quarter, the Tigers' defense literally shut down Sooners' quarterback Landry Jones. The trigger for Bob Stoops was forgetting to turn the safety off, failing to throw a completion (0-7) in the last quarter, while getting picked off once.
On the flip side, sneaky good Missouri quarterback Blaine Gabbert was eight-of-nine passing with a touchdown in the fourth to help cap off a 16-six run to end the game.
Nebraska and Missouri are two different styles on offense. Although the Huskers went to the air against Oklahoma State, they are primarily a rushing team propelled by the legs of Martinez. As a team, Nebraska is fifth in the nation in rushing yards per game (290.0), while 100th in passing yards per game (169.1); once again proving last week's air assault was a statistical anomaly.
Time to bust open the cliche pinata (what's with all the Spanish undertones to this article?). Whichever defense blinks first is where the other team will gain an advantage. The Tigers' defense is still fifth in the nation in points-allowed even after allowing Oklahoma to rack up 26 on them last Saturday. Nebraska fell to 17th in points allowed with the Cowboys' 41-point performance.
The Tigers' 17th-ranked rush defense will need to contain Martinez on the ground, while the Huskers' third-ranked pass defense will be in charge of keeping Gabbert in check.
Using our college football simulation engine, we simulated this game 101 times and the Missouri Tigers win 63.4-percent of the time by an average score of 25-23.
Please Note: The Oklahoma State and Penn State games have been re-simulated on 10/28/10.
College Football Week 9
|William & Mary Tribe||5.0||5||Boxscore|
|@ North Carolina Tar Heels||95.0||52|
|Wake Forest Demon Deacons||40.6||23||Boxscore|
|@ Maryland Terrapins||59.4||29|
|@ Boston College Eagles||32.7||25|
|Florida State Seminoles||71.3||38||Boxscore|
|@ North Carolina State Wolfpack||28.7||33|
|Miami (FL) Hurricanes||89.1||31||Boxscore|
|@ Virginia Cavaliers||10.9||17|
|@ Pittsburgh Panthers||79.2||33|
|@ Cincinnati Bearcats||73.3||30|
|West Virginia Mountaineers||64.4||27||Boxscore|
|@ Connecticut Huskies||35.6||23|
|Michigan State Spartans||29.7||25||Boxscore|
|@ Iowa Hawkeyes||70.3||35|
|@ Penn State Nittany Lions||68.3||31|
|@ Illinois Fighting Illini||52.5||25|
|@ Indiana Hoosiers||25.7||27|
|Ohio State Buckeyes||95.0||43||Boxscore|
|@ Minnesota Golden Gophers||5.0||8|
|@ Temple Owls||95.0||40|
|Bowling Green Falcons||8.9||12||Boxscore|
|@ Central Michigan Chippewas||91.1||30|
|Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns||16.8||15||Boxscore|
|@ Ohio Bobcats||83.2||32|
|Ball State Cardinals||18.8||13||Boxscore|
|@ Kent State Golden Flashes||81.2||27|
|Miami (OH) RedHawks||21.8||16||Boxscore|
|@ Buffalo Bulls||78.2||28|
|@ Eastern Michigan Eagles||10.9||16|
|Northern Illinois Huskies||93.1||34||Boxscore|
|@ Western Michigan Broncos||6.9||15|
|Washington State Cougars||9.9||18||Boxscore|
|@ Arizona State Sun Devils||90.1||37|
|California Golden Bears||66.3||28||Boxscore|
|@ Oregon State Beavers||33.7||26|
|@ USC Trojans||12.9||20|
|@ Washington Huskies||7.9||28|
|@ UCLA Bruins||5.9||15|
|@ Arkansas Razorbacks||95.0||48|
|@ South Carolina Gamecocks||90.1||36|
|@ Mississippi State Bulldogs||64.4||31|
|@ Florida Gators||53.5||27|
|@ Mississippi Rebels||16.8||26|
|Louisiana Tech Bulldogs||5.0||19||Boxscore|
|@ Boise State Broncos||95.0||47|
|Utah State Aggies||20.8||28||Boxscore|
|@ Nevada Wolf Pack||79.2||41|
|@ Hawaii Warriors||67.3||39|
|San Jose State Spartans||78.2||25||Boxscore|
|@ New Mexico State Aggies||21.8||15|
|Virginia Military Keydets||5.0||7||Boxscore|
|@ Army Black Knights||95.0||38|
|Tulsa Golden Hurricane||13.9||23||Boxscore|
|@ Notre Dame Fighting Irish||86.1||39|
|North Texas Mean Green||58.4||23||Boxscore|
|@ Western Kentucky Hilltoppers||41.6||22|
|Duke Blue Devils||62.4||24||Boxscore|
|@ Navy Midshipmen||37.6||23|
|@ Oklahoma Sooners||95.0||38|
|@ Iowa State Cyclones||71.3||30|
|@ Texas Longhorns||67.3||31|
|Texas Tech Red Raiders||35.6||28||Boxscore|
|@ Texas A&M Aggies||64.4||35|
|@ Nebraska Cornhuskers||36.6||23|
|Oklahoma State Cowboys||86.1||37||Boxscore|
|@ Kansas State Wildcats||13.9||22|
|@ Southern Miss Golden Eagles||87.1||45|
|East Carolina Pirates||21.8||23||Boxscore|
|@ UCF Knights||78.2||35|
|Southern Methodist Mustangs||74.3||33||Boxscore|
|@ Tulane Green Wave||25.7||24|
|@ Marshall Thundering Herd||23.8||23|
|@ Memphis Tigers||5.0||19|
|New Mexico Lobos||19.8||15||Boxscore|
|@ Colorado State Rams||80.2||27|
|San Diego State Aztecs||87.1||29||Boxscore|
|@ Wyoming Cowboys||12.9||15|
|@ Air Force Falcons||5.0||17|
|TCU Horned Frogs||95.0||52||Boxscore|
|@ UNLV Rebels||5.0||8|
|Florida International Golden Panthers||33.7||24||Boxscore|
|@ Florida Atlantic Owls||66.3||31|
|@ Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks||32.7||27|
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