All 35 bowl games simulated by WhatIfSports.com
Using the same college football simulation engine that accurately predicted 74.5 percent of all regular-season games, we simulated each of the 35 bowl matchups 1,001 times.
Each team's winning percentage, average score and sample box score can be found below. If you would like to replay any bowl game, every 2011 bowl team roster is available using our free NCAA College Football SimMatchup feature.
Note: The score in the left panel (ex. Temple 29 Wyoming 24) is the average score from 1,001 simulations. The box score recap is just an example of what could happen based on the average score. Click on the box score button for complete play-by-play.
29 carries, 115 yards, 1 TD
1 catch, 9 yards
Wyoming: Wyoming's record is a vast improvement over their 3-9 2010 campaign. Of the team's four losses in 2011, three were to opponents that spent much of the season in the Top 25 (Nebraska, TCU and Boise State), and the fourth, Utah State, will be playing in a bowl game of its own.
Box Score: Temple controlled the game with a duel running threat of Bernard Pierce (29 carries, 115 yards, TD) and Matt Brown (15 carries, 72 yards, TD). Wyoming managed to pull within two with just 1:15 remaining off a 36-yard run by Alvester Alexander, but the game-tying two-point conversion failed and the Owls held on for the 21-19 win.
20 carries, 114 yards, 1 TD
1 catch, 7 yards
Utah State: The Aggies can credit their sixth-ranked rushing offense largely to the performance of Robert Turbin, whose 1,416 rush yards rank eighth nationally. The junior boats a 6.2 yards-per-carry average and 19 touchdowns as well.
Box Score: Utah State tallied more total yards than Ohio (452 yards to Ohio's 360), but the Bobcats saved their biggest plays for last, rallying from a seven-point deficit to win 23-20. Running back Donte Harden scored the game-winner on a 44-yard run with 1:10 remaining.
26-48, 338 yards, 3 TD, 1 INT
Louisiana-Lafayette: The Ragin' Cajuns finished third in the Sun Belt with a 6-2 conference record, and their eight total wins were five more than the previous season. Quarterback Blaine Gautier overcame a stagnant ground game (86th in the nation) by throwing for 2,488 yards and 20 touchdowns to just five picks.
Box Score: San Diego State led by as much as 21-3 in the fourth quarter before withstanding a late comeback by the Rajin' Cajuns to record a 28-18 victory. Hillman was held in check, failing to score, but Lindley threw for 338 yards and three touchdowns.
21 carries, 126 yards
3 catches, 79 yards, 1 TD
Marshall: At 6-6, Marshall needed every win, including its 34-27 overtime victory against East Carolina in its season finale, to earn bowl eligibility. The Thundering Herd boast a 6-3 record in bowl games, most recently beating Ohio University 21-17 in 2009.
Box Score: Florida International fought back from an early 10-0 deficit, but found itself behind after Travon Van's 8-yard run gave Marshall a 25-24 lead with less than two minutes remaining. The Golden Panthers worked their way down the field and Jack Griffin split the uprights with a 43-yard field goal as time expired for the 27-25 win.
25-32, 355 yards, 2 TD, 1 INT
Louisiana Tech: After a 1-4 start, the Bulldogs are riding a seven-game win streak. The WAC championship was the school's first since it joined the conference in 2001. Quarterback Colby Cameron has posted 11 touchdowns and just two interceptions since becoming the starter mid-season.
Box Score: The two schools proved an even match through three quarters, but TCU exerted its superiority down the stretch, outscoring Louisiana Tech 14-3 in the fourth quarter. TCU captured a 31-20 victory as Pachall threw for 355 yards and two scores.
28-34, 301 yards, 2 TD
Boise State: If not for a one-point upset at the hands of TCU, Boise State would have had a flawless season and seriously muddied the BCS waters. Instead, they weren't among the 10 BCS bowl teams despite finishing seventh in the BCS standings. Kellen Moore and the Broncos won't be short on motivation.
Box Score: Boise State captured the lead near the end of the second quarter and never looked back, cruising to a 36-24 victory. Kellen Moore ended his career with a 301-yard, two-touchdown performance. Running back Doug Martin added two scores of his own.
Southern Miss: Southern Miss earned its first C-USA championship since 2003 by upsetting the previously unbeaten Houston Cougars. Quarterback Austin Davis leads an offense ranked 14th nationally in scoring. He has thrown for 3,331 yards, with 28 passing touchdowns and four scores on the ground.
Box Score: Nevada briefly captured the lead on a furious fourth quarter rally before Southern Miss running back Tracy Lampley's five-yard run tied the game and sent it to overtime. Nevada's Cody Fajardo threw an interception on the first play of overtime and Southern Miss settled for a field goal to capture the 34-31 victory.
12-17, 164, 1 INT
28 carries, 129 yards, 1 TD
North Carolina: Interim head coach Everett Withers exploited a light schedule to start his tenure in Chapel Hill 5-1, but his squad dropped four of their remaining six games to finish with a 7-5 mark. A freshman, Giovani Bernard, led North Carolina's rush attack, and his 1,222 yards ranked third in the ACC.
Box Score: North Carolina kept within striking range most of the game but was never able to slow down Missouri's powerful rush attack. The Missouri backfield accounted for 324 yards on the ground, led by 129 yards and a score from Franklin, in the 29-24 victory.
17 carries, 52 yards, 2 TD
3 catches, 40 yards
Purdue: A 6-6 record is Purdue's best since the 2007 season. A preseason injury to quarterback Rob Henry left Caleb TerBush as the default starter and he performed admirably, recording 1,804 yards passing with 12 touchdowns and six interceptions.
Box Score: Western Michigan fought back from a 21-6 deficit to tie the score at 21-all early in the fourth quarter on a two-point conversion by Tevin Drake. The Boilermakers regained the lead on a field goal and held on for the 24-21 win.
25-35, 356 yards, 3 TD, 2 INT
North Carolina State: The Wolfpack had hoped to build on last year's 9-4 record, but the departure of quarterback Russell Wilson for Wisconsin proved a bit of a stumbling block. Still, North Carolina State posted a winning record in consecutive seasons for the first time since 2002-2003.
Box Score: The Louisville defense served up a first-half shutout, but the Wolfpack rallied with 28 second-half points and sent the game into overtime. Jeremy Wright scored the go-ahead touchdown and North Carolina State was unable to find the end zone as Louisville prevailed 35-28.
15 carries, 153 yards rushing, 2 TD
2 catches, 99 yards
Air Force: Air Force was anything but a force through the air, as its 138.5 passing yards per game ranked 113th. However, the Falcons' rush attack was blistering, averaging 320.3 yards per game, second best in the nation. Eleven Air Force players rushed for 100 yards or more this season.
Box Score: Toledo went head-to-head with the Air Force rush game. They racked up 233 yards to the Falcons' 236, and reached the total on 25 fewer attempts. Add in the Rockets' 304 passing yards and they proved too offensively potent for the Falcons to handle. Toledo won 27-17.
Texas: A 7-5 record might suffice at other schools, but it's considered a disappointment in Austin. Though an improvement over last season's 5-7 mark, Texas failed to recapture the magic of 2009's BCS championship run.
Box Score: After a 10-10 tie at the half, Texas held California to three points the rest of the way and captured a 27-13 victory. Case McCoy and Jaxon Shipley, the younger brothers of former Texas players Colt McCoy and Jordan Shipley, connected three times for 114 yards.
5 catches, 100 yards, 1 TD
Notre Dame: Second-year coach Brian Kelly will need a bowl victory to improve on last year's 8-5 record. Notre Dame used a few quarterbacks throughout the season, but it appears Tommy Rees will earn the start over recent challenger Andrew Hendrix. Rees threw for 2,708 yards, 19 touchdowns and 12 interceptions.
Box Score: Florida State overcame a 4-point fourth quarter deficit with two field goals from Dustin Hopkins and notched a 26-24 victory. The Florida State defense picked off Rees three times in the win.
20-27, 323 yards, 4 TD, 1 INT
27 carries, 59 yards, 1 TD
Baylor: Newly minted Heisman Trophy winner Robert Griffin III appropriately sported Superman socks to the trophy presentation. He was largely responsible for Baylor's 9-3 record, accumulating 3,998 yards, 36 touchdowns, six interceptions, a record 192.3 quarterback rating, 644 rush yards and nine rushing touchdowns.
Box Score: With the spotlight on Griffin III, he delivered in a big way. The Baylor quarterback threw for 327 yards and four touchdowns, and carried the ball for 59 yards and another score. His touchdown run proved the game winner as Baylor prevailed 35-28.
Tulsa: The Tulsa rush attack is both diverse and effective. Ja'Terian Douglas posted 884 yards on just 108 carries, an 8.2 yards-per-carry average, while Trey Watts had 843 yards on 147 attempts. Quarterback G.J. Kinne rushed 112 times for 405 yards, and bulldozer Alex Singleton recorded 279 yards on 92 carries and a team-high eight rushing touchdowns.
Box Score: BYU overcame three touchdowns (two passing, one rushing) from G.J. Kinne to post a 33-32 victory. Junior Riley Nelson led the Cougars in their rally, throwing for three scores, including the go-ahead touchdown to McKay Jacobson early in the fourth quarter.
22-42, 300 yards, 1 TD, 1 INT
26 carries, 47 yards, 1 TD
Iowa State: Iowa State scored perhaps the season's biggest upset, knocking off second-ranked and seemingly BCS championship-bound Oklahoma State 37-31 in double overtime. The Cyclones followed that game up with two losses, but maintained a 6-6 record and bowl eligibility.
Box Score: Iowa State outlasted Rutgers in a 4-overtime thriller 33-27. Each team matched the other point-for-point until the fourth overtime, when Rutgers' Mohamed Sanu fell one yard short of a first down. Jared Barnett passed for one touchdown, rushed for another and converted a two-point play during the four overtime stanzas.
14-25, 261 yards, 1 TD
14 carries, 37 yards
Wake Forest: The Demon Deacons hold a 6-6 record, the school's best since 2008. Quarterback Tanner Prince (2,803 yards, 20 touchdowns, six interceptions) leads the nation's 36th-ranked passing offense. He'll likely connect with top receiver Chris Givens (74 receptions, 1,276, nine touchdowns).
Box Score: Wake Forest raced to a 20-3 advantage, but didn't find the end zone again as the Bulldogs methodically worked their way back into the game. Mississippi State took the lead on Vick Ballard's 10-yard touchdown run midway through the fourth quarter and added a late field goal to win 30-20.
21-37, 241 yards, 2 TD, 2 INT
6 carries, 20 yards
Oklahoma: A season of great promise turned south for the 9-3 Sooners. Once in contention for the national championship, a rash of injuries depleted Oklahoma's roster. The Sooner offense stills ranks fourth nationally, but hasn't looked the same since injuries sidelined wide receiver Ryan Broyles and running back Dominique Whaley.
Box Score: The Hawkeyes captured a 27-23 lead with just 34 seconds remaining. Landry Jones began the last-ditch drive at his own 31 yard line and marched down the field, calling his own number with runs on three occasions. Finally, he found Kenny Stills in the end zone from 35 yards out as time expired and the Sooners stole the 29-27 victory.
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25-41, 333 yards, 2 TD, 1 INT
11 carries, 24 yards
Northwestern: The Wildcats suffered a midseason five-game slide before righting the ship and finished with a 6-6 record, including a win over then No. 10 Nebraska. Quarterback Dan Persa has been one-dimensional this year, rushing for just 71 yards after posting 519 rush yards and nine touchdowns only one season ago.
Box Score: Texas A&M held the lead for all but a few minutes in the second quarter, and gave Northwestern no opportunity to get back in the game. Senior Ryan Tannehill went out on top, amassing 333 yards and two touchdowns in the 30-24 win.
Utah: The Utes spent their first season in the Pac-12 and found the reception less than accommodating. The team finished with a 4-5 conference record and found points much more difficult to come by than in years past. The 23rd highest-scoring offense in 2010, Utah finished just 78th this season.
Box Score: The Georgia Tech ground game proved too much for Utah as the Yellow Jackets gained 215 rush yards, including David Sims' go-ahead 30-yard score. Georgia Tech prevailed 24-19.
22 carries, 180 yards, 1 TD
3 catches, 23 yards, 1 TD
Vanderbilt: Vandy's six wins were more than the prior two years combined. All of the Commodores' losses came in conference play, and a three-point home loss to Arkansas on a missed field goal demonstrated Vanderbilt's vast improvement.
Box Score: Cincinnati rallied around the return of Collaros, as he powered the offense with 230 passing yards and two touchdowns. With just 1:30 remaining in the game, Collaros found Kenbrell Thompkins in the end zone for the go-ahead score and the 27-20 win.
16 carries, 152 yards, 2 TD
1 catch, 18 yards
UCLA: The Bruins won the Pac-12 South, but can credit USC's postseason ban to their representation in the conference's first championship game. Despite finishing with a 6-7 record, UCLA was granted bowl eligibility by the NCAA.
Box Score: Illinois fought back from a 21-7 deficit to tie the game at 21 early in the fourth quarter, but the Bruins regained the lead with a field goal on the following possession and notched the 24-21 victory. UCLA's Johnathan Franklin scored on runs of 72 and 44 yards in the game's opening stanza.
32-55, 388 yards, 2 TD, 2 INT
9 carries, 11 yards
Auburn: Last year's national champion discovered life without Cam Newton isn't nearly as glorious. Undefeated a season ago, Auburn finished with a 7-5 record. The Tigers will be without the services of sophomore running back Michael Dyer, who has been suspended indefinitely for a violation of team rules.
Box Score: Virginia and Auburn proved an even match through four quarters and needed extra time to settle things. The Tigers connected on a field goal in overtime and Neiko Thorpe recorded his second interception of the game to secure the 30-27 Auburn win.
27-36, 365 yards, 4 TD, 1 INT
Penn State: Amidst the scandal that clouded the Nittany Lions' season, the school managed a powerful defense that overcame its offensive ineptitude. Penn State finished fifth nationally in both scoring defense and passing defense.
Box Score: One of the most intriguing bowl matchups pitted Houston's high-powered passing offense against Penn State's suffocating secondary. Keenum could not be stopped as he totaled 365 yards and four touchdowns. Penn State's late rally fell short with a failed two-point conversion and Houston won 38-36.
19 carries, 106 yards, 1 TD
1 catch, 25 yards
Georgia: The Bulldogs began the season with two losses to ranked opponents before navigating their way to the SEC Championship game. Sophomore Aaron Murray's 33 touchdown passes place him seventh in the nation.
Box Score: The matchup between the BCS's 16th and 17th-ranked teams proved every bit as compelling as the rankings would suggest. Michigan State came from behind to win 24-21 on a late 21-yard run from Edwin Baker.
14-23, 170 yards, 1 TD, 3 INT
19 carries, 52 yards, 1 TD
South Carolina: The Gamecocks proved that star players don't define a team. They survived the dismissal of quarterback Stephen Garcia and a season-ending injury to running back Marcus Lattimore to maintain a 10-2 record.
Box Score: After South Carolina extended the team's lead to 27-7 with a score to start the second half, Nebraska's Taylor Martinez and Rex Burkhead combined for three rushing touchdowns and captured a 28-27 advantage. The Gamecocks responded with a Jay Wooten field goal. Two missed field goals down the stretch doomed the Cornhuskers and South Carolina recorded the 30-28 victory.
Florida: The Gators proved no match for a ferocious schedule that during one stretch pitted them against Alabama, LSU, Auburn and Georgia in consecutive weeks. The season was head coach Will Muschamp's first in Gainesville.
Box Score: The rematch of the 2007 BCS National Championship had a different flavor as both teams suffered through middling seasons to reach the game. A trend that occurred for much of the season continued as points eluded the Buckeyes. They managed to put just 16 on the board, and only three points after halftime. Florida recorded a comfortable 27-16 victory.
28 carries, 164 yards, 3 TD
1 catch, 5 yards
Oregon: Darron Thomas and LaMichael James lead the nation's third-most potent offense, which scores 46.2 points per game. Thomas has thrown for 30 touchdowns and rushed for another three, while James has accounted for 18 scores.
Box Score: The game was a duel of top-flight running backs, with both James and Ball showcasing their talents. James managed 133 yards and two touchdowns, while Ball ran for 164 yards and three scores. However, quarterback Russell Wilson provided the game winner on an eight-yard strike to Jared Abbrederis for a 32-31 Wisconsin victory.
Oklahoma State: The Cowboys were oh-so-close to competing for their first BCS national championship, but an upset by Iowa State derailed their title hopes. Oklahoma State boasts an offense that is second nationally in both passing yards per game and points scored per game.
Box Score: Few teams can expect to outscore Oklahoma State with just two trips to the end zone, but Stanford can credit the bulk of its 38 points to kicker Jordan Williamson. He connected on eight field goal attempts and the Cardinal prevailed 38-28.
12-16, 198 yards, 1 TD
28 carries, 85 yards, 1 TD
Virginia Tech: Virginia Tech recorded two losses on the season and both came at the hands of the Clemson Tigers. Like their bowl opponent, the Hokies are among the national leaders in scoring defense, surrendering 17.2 points per contest.
Box Score: Michigan rallied from a 20-10 fourth quarter deficit behind the play of junior quarterback Denard Robinson. He found Roy Roundtree in the end zone for one strike and ran in an 11-yard score with 23 seconds left for the game winner. The Wolverines won 24-20.
19-29, 196 yards, 2 TD
Clemson: Clemson claimed its first conference championship since 1991. Sophomore Tajh Boy rose to the occasion in his first season as starter, posting 3,578 yards, 31 touchdowns and 10 interceptions. He also ran for five scores.
Box Score: West Virginia took the lead on a 12-yard pass from Smith to Stedman Bailey with just 3:42 left in the game. Clemson’s ensuing drive included a 34-yard gain from Boyd to Sammy Watkins on fourth-and-14, and the Tigers found the end zone with 20 seconds remaining for the 27-24 victory.
21-30, 345 yards, 3 TD, 1 INT
10 carries, 9 yards
Arkansas: Perhaps one of the best teams in the nation, Arkansas has the misfortune of residing in the SEC West. The two teams that defeated the Razorbacks, divisional rivals Alabama and LSU, will meet in the BCS National Championship Game.
Box Score: The Arkansas offense had too much firepower for the Wildcats to contain, and the Razorbacks rolled to a 37-22 victory. Quarterback Tyler Wilson threw for 345 yards and three touchdowns.
14 carries, 128 yards, 2 TD
1 catch, 6 yards
Pittsburgh: The Panthers will also be without their top rusher as Ray Graham's season ended with an injury against Connecticut. Despite participating fully in only seven games, Graham racked up 958 yards and nine scores.
Box Score: SMU took a 24-10 advantage on a touchdown early in the third quarter, but Pitt's defense held the Mustangs scoreless for the remainder of the game. Zach Brown and Isaac Bennett each had 100-yard rushing games in the Panthers' 40-24 win.
16-22, 300 yards, 3 TD
16 carries, 33 yards
Northern Illinois: The champions of the MAC feature senior quarterback Chandler Harnish. With 2,942 yards passing and 1,382 rushing, he's third in the nation in total yards. The Huskies are bowl-bound for the fourth year in a row.
Box Score: Northern Illinois led 24-7 midway through the second quarter and the deficit proved more than Arkansas State could overcome. Harnish found the end zone three times and accumulated 333 yards of total offense in his team's 31-23 win.
LSU: The Tigers are hoping for the same result against a familiar foe. LSU's defense finished second only to Alabama in points allowed. A victory would be LSU's third BCS National Championship.
Box Score: Points were hard-fought through three quarters, as LSU eked out a 12-7 advantage. Alabama captured a late 20-19 lead on a 20-yard run by Eddie Lacy, but LSU responded. Drew Alleman connected on a 39-yard field goal, his fifth of the game, with 19 seconds left and LSU won 22-20.
Remember if any depth chart changes or injuries occur between now and a team's bowl game, you have the ablity to adjust the depth chart using our FREE college football SimMatchup feature.
Jake Westrich is the Digital Content Coordinator for WhatIfSports.com. He can be reached at jwestrich@whatifsports.com.



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