Week 8 predictions for every D-I/FBS college football game
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Each Monday, WhatIfSports.com's NCAA college football simulation engine will provide you with game predictions for every D-1 FBS game that upcoming week. The college football simulation engine generates detailed information for each game including each team's chances of winning (Win%) and the average points scored for both teams. Make sure to share the college football information you gained here with your friends by either checking out our NCAA football widgets on the WhatIf To Go page or clicking on the social networking share bar at the top and bottom of this article.
Check out our 2011 College Football Season-to-Date page to follow our accuracy and for Upsets of the Week available on Wednesdays.
The statistical inputs to the thousands of college football simulations are based on rigorous analysis of each team's roster, depth charts and statistically based player rankings. Roster modifications are made in cases of injury or suspension and those players are removed from their team's game simulation for that week.
Game of the Week: Wisconsin at Michigan State
With their win on Saturday, Michigan State has now beaten Michigan four consecutive times for the first time since 1959-1962. But that streak would hold little weight in 2011 if the Spartans fall to Wisconsin in East Lansing Saturday night.
MSU currently leads the Big Ten's Legends Division by a half game over Nebraska, Michigan and Iowa, while the Badgers remain undefeated after trouncing Indiana 59-7.
Wisconsin is quietly making a strong run at the BCS National Championship. They lead FBS schools in scoring (50.1 points per game) and have scored at least 35 points in every single game. Their two-headed monsters in the running game, Montee Ball and James White, have already rushed for over 1,000 yards and 20 touchdowns. Then there is the all-transfer team president, Russell Wilson, who is completing nearly 75 percent of his passes with over 1,500 yards passing and 14 touchdowns.
It's that runaway locomotive of an offense that Michigan State hosts this Saturday. The Spartans' defense has led them to their 5-1 start as their offensive output lingers in the middle of the FBS pack. They rank first in pass defense (119.1 yards per game), third in rush defense (186.1 yards per game) and fourth in scoring defense (10.8 points per game).
Using our college football simulation engine, we "played" the Badgers and Spartans 101 times and its Wisconsin winning 78.7 percent of the time by an average score of 36-24.
Washington at Stanford
Certain NFL fan bases have adopted "Suck for Luck" campaigns, hoping to snag the services of Andrew Luck in the 2012 NFL Draft, but Stanford's quarterback remains focused as he's led the Cardinal to a nation-best 14-game win streak. Their latest victory was a 30-point shellacking of Washington State. They return home for a Week 8 meeting with the 22nd-ranked Huskies Saturday night.
Stanford currently ranks fifth in both scoring offense (45.8 points per game) and defense (11.2 ppg). Luck is completing 71.3 percent of his passes for more than 1,700 yards with 18 touchdowns and only three interceptions. A potpourri of running backs have accounted for 5.1 yards per rush and 15 touchdowns.
Washington's quarterback, Keith Price, is no slouch as he is third in the nation with 21 passing touchdowns. Outside of that, the Huskies' stats are far from inspiring heading into a road contest against Luck. They rank 45th in passing offense and 48th on the ground. What hurts the most and that needs to improve Saturday night are the 28.5 points per game (77th in FBS) Washington is surrendering each time they take the field.
We simulated the Cardinal and Huskies 101 times and it's Stanford winning 89.1 percent of the time by an average score of 37-22.
Please note: The LSU/Auburn game was resimulated on 10/20 to account for suspended LSU players.
College Football Week 8
|Boston College Eagles||21.8||18||Boxscore|
|@ Virginia Tech Hokies||78.2||27|
|North Carolina Tar Heels||25.7||20||Boxscore|
|@ Clemson Tigers||74.3||30|
|@ Florida State Seminoles||74.3||30|
|Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets||37.6||22||Boxscore|
|@ Miami (FL) Hurricanes||62.4||26|
|Wake Forest Demon Deacons||62.4||32||Boxscore|
|@ Duke Blue Devils||37.6||28|
|North Carolina State Wolfpack||68.3||27||Boxscore|
|@ Virginia Cavaliers||31.7||22|
|Rutgers Scarlet Knights||53.5||23||Boxscore|
|@ Louisville Cardinals||46.5||22|
|@ South Florida Bulls||42.6||28|
|West Virginia Mountaineers||69.3||29||Boxscore|
|@ Syracuse Orange||30.7||22|
|@ Iowa Hawkeyes||85.1||33|
|Illinois Fighting Illini||63.4||26||Boxscore|
|@ Purdue Boilermakers||36.6||22|
|Penn State Nittany Lions||74.8||27||Boxscore|
|@ Northwestern Wildcats||25.2||20|
|@ Michigan State Spartans||21.3||24|
|@ Minnesota Golden Gophers||5.0||10|
|Miami (OH) RedHawks||25.7||21||Boxscore|
|@ Toledo Rockets||74.3||32|
|Central Michigan Chippewas||80.2||29||Boxscore|
|@ Ball State Cardinals||19.8||19|
|Northern Illinois Huskies||86.6||33||Boxscore|
|@ Buffalo Bulls||13.4||19|
|Western Michigan Broncos||86.6||35||Boxscore|
|@ Eastern Michigan Eagles||13.4||19|
|@ Akron Zips||8.9||13|
|@ Bowling Green Falcons||8.9||17|
|@ Stanford Cardinal||89.1||37|
|@ Arizona Wildcats||68.8||28|
|@ California Golden Bears||40.6||22|
|Oregon State Beavers||67.3||29||Boxscore|
|@ Washington State Cougars||32.7||25|
|@ Colorado Buffaloes||6.9||19|
|Jacksonville State Gamecocks||5.0||8||Boxscore|
|@ Kentucky Wildcats||95.0||43|
|@ Alabama Crimson Tide||89.1||33|
|@ LSU Tigers||84.7||32|
|Army Black Knights||37.6||18||Boxscore|
|@ Vanderbilt Commodores||62.4||20|
|@ Mississippi Rebels||6.9||19|
|New Mexico State Aggies||6.9||19||Boxscore|
|@ Hawaii Warriors||93.1||39|
|Fresno State Bulldogs||51.0||29||Boxscore|
|@ Nevada Wolf Pack||49.0||27|
|Louisiana Tech Bulldogs||62.4||29||Boxscore|
|@ Utah State Aggies||37.6||25|
|Idaho State Bengals||5.0||8||Boxscore|
|@ Brigham Young Cougars||95.0||49|
|@ Notre Dame Fighting Irish||54.5||29|
|East Carolina Pirates||48.5||26||Boxscore|
|@ Navy Midshipmen||51.5||28|
|Texas Tech Red Raiders||12.9||20||Boxscore|
|@ Oklahoma Sooners||87.1||38|
|Kansas State Wildcats||79.2||34||Boxscore|
|@ Kansas Jayhawks||20.8||21|
|Oklahoma State Cowboys||80.2||37||Boxscore|
|@ Missouri Tigers||19.8||25|
|Texas A&M Aggies||92.1||36||Boxscore|
|@ Iowa State Cyclones||7.9||18|
|@ Tulane Green Wave||93.1||31|
|Marshall Thundering Herd||23.8||23||Boxscore|
|@ Houston Cougars||76.2||33|
|Colorado State Rams||45.0||23||Boxscore|
|@ UTEP Miners||55.0||24|
|Southern Methodist Mustangs||73.3||37||Boxscore|
|@ Southern Miss Golden Eagles||26.7||31|
|Tulsa Golden Hurricane||82.2||38||Boxscore|
|@ Rice Owls||17.8||27|
|@ UAB Blazers||7.9||19|
|New Mexico Lobos||5.0||9||Boxscore|
|@ TCU Horned Frogs||95.0||46|
|Air Force Falcons||5.0||18||Boxscore|
|@ Boise State Broncos||95.0||40|
|FIU Golden Panthers||56.4||28||Boxscore|
|@ Arkansas State Red Wolves||43.6||26|
|@ North Texas Mean Green||36.6||23|
|Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns||71.3||31||Boxscore|
|@ Western Kentucky Hilltoppers||28.7||22|
|Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders||83.2||27||Boxscore|
|@ Florida Atlantic Owls||16.8||16|
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