2011 NFL Week 14 Picks and Predictions from WhatIfSports.com From WhatIfSports.com image

2011 NFL Week 14 Picks and Predictions

NFL Week 14 box scores and stats included

By Joel Beall and Jake Westrich - WhatIfSports.com
UPDATE: December 8th, 2011

Each Tuesday, WhatIfSports.com's NFL simulation engine will provide you with predictions, box scores and statistics for every NFL game that week. The NFL simulation engine generates detailed information including the home team's chances of winning (Home Win %), average score and comprehensive box score link. If you want to share your new found NFL knowledge with friends and family, make sure to check out our NFL Widgets on the WhatIf To Go page or click on the social networking share bar located at the top and bottom of the article.

The statistical inputs to the thousands of NFL games simulated are based on rigorous analysis of each team's roster, depth chart and statistically based player ranking. Roster modifications have been made for injuries and suspensions and those players are not part of their team's game simulation.

To account for injuries and roster moves announced late in the week, we will be re-simulating some games on Thursdays throughout the 2011 NFL season.

Check out our 2011 NFL Season-to-Date page to follow our accuracy week-to-week and find Locks and Upsets of the Week.

Gridiron Dynasty - College Football Game
<a href='http://msn.foxsports.com/video/NFL?videoId=595fe062-1519-4381-8a22-607b7911ac2e&from=&src=v5:embed::uuids#' target='_new' title='WhatIfSports: Week 14 NFL pick'>Video: WhatIfSports: Week 14 NFL pick</a>

Game of the Week: Bears at Broncos

Beatlemania. Fernandomania. Pyromania. Hulkamania. Yet those fervors can't hold a candle to the epidemic sweeping the nation's landscape known as Tebowmania. The narrative has become as clich├ęd and predictable as an episode of Friday Night Lights: a slow and apathetic three quarters of football, followed by a riveting and last-second comeback as Tim Tebow and the Broncos dramatically defy defeat. The mayhem returns to Denver this Sunday, as the Chicago Bears heroically try to end this gridiron marvel in Mile High, serving as our WhatIfSports.com Game of the Week.

The Bears enter Week 14 in desperation mode. True, the team owns tie-breakers over Atlanta and Detroit for a playoff berth, but injuries to stars Jay Cutler and Matt Forte have thrown a wrench into their postseason aspirations. Worse, substitute signal caller Caleb Hanie has been brutal in reserve, hitting just 48.3 percent of his intended targets and turning the ball over six times in the past two weeks.

Nonetheless, there remains a glimmer of hope in the Windy City. While Forte is expected to be sidelined for at least two weeks, fill-in Marion Barber has been decent in abbreviated action this season for the Bears, and certainly has the experience and aptitude to hold down the fort. And the defense, although rising in age, endures as one of the tougher units in football. The rush resistance is yielding 99.8 yards per game on the ground, third-best in the NFC. The secondary has displayed a penchant for giving up a plethora of passing yards, yet the squad's 16 picks rank second in the conference. Da Bears might be down, but they are far from out.

The Broncos can second this sentiment. Heading into the bye week with a disappointing 1-4 record, Denver was left for dead in the eyes of many pigskin pundits. A change under center from Kyle Orton to Tebow seemed more like a transaction to appease the rabid fan base rather than one to better the team. Tebow did little to challenge this claim, looking lost and overwhelmed in his first two contests. However, after catering the offense to his skillset, the Broncos have strung together five straight W's and suddenly find themselves atop the AFC West.

Tebow's presence may have served as catalyst for the turnaround, but he's hardly the only Bronco performing at an elite level. Willis McGahee, who was believed to be washed-up at 30, has racked up 886 yards on a meager 182 carries this season. Second-year stud Eric Decker has hauled in eight scores, and the Denver defense, once viewed as the weak link, has held opponents to 13 points or less in three of the past four games.

So who wins this clash of postseason aspirants? According to the award-winning WhatIfSports.com simulation engine, the Denver Broncos come out on top 55.1 percent of the time by an average margin of 18-17. For the rest of this week's scores, check below:

Please note: The Browns/Steelers, Raiders/Packers, Rams/Seahawks and Texans/Bengals games were resimulated on 12/8 to account for injuries and roster updates.

NFL Week 14
MatchupWin%Avg Score
Indianapolis Colts 7.412Boxscore
@ Baltimore Ravens92.631Simulate Game
Cleveland Browns18.815Boxscore
@ Pittsburgh Steelers81.227Simulate Game
Kansas City Chiefs28.616Boxscore
@ New York Jets71.423Simulate Game
Oakland Raiders30.718Boxscore
@ Green Bay Packers69.325Simulate Game
Buffalo Bills33.122Boxscore
@ San Diego Chargers66.927Simulate Game
Minnesota Vikings38.120Boxscore
@ Detroit Lions61.925Simulate Game
New York Giants41.623Boxscore
@ Dallas Cowboys58.426Simulate Game
St. Louis Rams43.318Boxscore
@ Seattle Seahawks56.720Simulate Game
Chicago Bears44.917Boxscore
@ Denver Broncos55.118Simulate Game
Philadelphia Eagles52.923Boxscore
@ Miami Dolphins47.122Simulate Game
Tampa Bay Buccaneers59.720Boxscore
@ Jacksonville Jaguars40.316Simulate Game
Houston Texans60.020Boxscore
@ Cincinnati Bengals40.016Simulate Game
Atlanta Falcons61.125Boxscore
@ Carolina Panthers38.922Simulate Game
New Orleans Saints63.029Boxscore
@ Tennessee Titans37.024Simulate Game
San Francisco 49ers66.923Boxscore
@ Arizona Cardinals33.116Simulate Game
New England Patriots81.931Boxscore
@ Washington Redskins18.120Simulate Game

Joel Beall is the Assistant Content Manager for WhatIfSports.com. He can be reached at jbeall@whatifsports.com.

Jake Westrich is the Digital Content Coordinator for WhatIfSports.com. He can be reached at jwestrich@whatifsports.com.

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