NCAA football Week 11 power rankings
2012 NCAA Football Features
College Football Week 11 Picks2012 College Football Season-To-Date
2012 NCAA Football Archives
NCAA Football SimMatchup
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WhatIfSports.com utilizes its NCAA football simulation to present the most comprehensive and unbiased ranking of all 124 FBS teams. We simulated thousands of games and used those winning percentages to evaluate every team. All 124 teams are ranked below with their average points for and against from the simulated games. Simulations are based on updated rosters and depth charts so significant week-to-week changes may occur once the regular season kicks off.
Teams Ranked by Winning Percentage
(everyone plays everyone 100 times)
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1. | Alabama Crimson Tide | - | 87.0 | 32.7 | 15.3 |
| 2. | Oregon Ducks | - | 84.8 | 32.4 | 17.7 |
| 3. | Notre Dame Fighting Irish | - | 78.3 | 30.5 | 17.6 |
| 4. | Kansas State Wildcats | +1 | 78.2 | 29.4 | 18.3 |
| 5. | Ohio State Buckeyes | +1 | 75.8 | 28.7 | 18.7 |
| 6. | LSU Tigers | +2 | 75.2 | 26.9 | 16.4 |
| 7. | Georgia Bulldogs | +6 | 74.9 | 28.9 | 18.5 |
| 8. | Florida State Seminoles | +1 | 74.8 | 28.2 | 18.8 |
| 9. | USC Trojans | -5 | 74.0 | 30.9 | 21.3 |
| 10. | Clemson Tigers | +2 | 73.5 | 30.3 | 21.0 |
| 11. | Florida Gators | - | 73.1 | 26.2 | 17.2 |
| 12. | Oklahoma Sooners | -5 | 72.7 | 30.6 | 21.1 |
| 13. | Texas Longhorns | -3 | 71.9 | 26.6 | 18.5 |
| 14. | Texas A&M Aggies | +5 | 70.3 | 28.7 | 20.5 |
| 15. | South Carolina Gamecocks | +2 | 68.9 | 24.7 | 17.3 |
| 16. | Nebraska Cornhuskers | - | 68.5 | 28.5 | 21.3 |
| 17. | UCLA Bruins | +27 | 68.3 | 27.2 | 20.5 |
| 18. | Texas Tech Red Raiders | -3 | 68.2 | 30.4 | 23.3 |
| 19. | TCU Horned Frogs | +21 | 68.1 | 28.0 | 20.9 |
| 20. | Oregon State Beavers | +3 | 67.2 | 27.7 | 20.7 |
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
| 21. | Louisville Cardinals | -3 | 67.2 | 27.0 | 20.8 |
| 22. | Rutgers Scarlet Knights | -2 | 66.9 | 25.8 | 19.5 |
| 23. | Stanford Cardinal | +1 | 65.6 | 25.9 | 19.9 |
| 24. | Penn State Nittany Lions | +18 | 65.4 | 26.7 | 20.3 |
| 25. | North Carolina Tar Heels | +3 | 65.2 | 27.6 | 22.0 |
| 26. | Mississippi State Bulldogs | +1 | 64.8 | 26.2 | 20.6 |
| 27. | West Virginia Mountaineers | -6 | 64.6 | 29.9 | 24.4 |
| 28. | Michigan Wolverines | +2 | 63.4 | 25.8 | 20.1 |
| 29. | Boise State Broncos | -7 | 62.9 | 27.3 | 22.8 |
| 30. | Oklahoma State Cowboys | -16 | 62.9 | 26.4 | 21.2 |
| 31. | Miami (FL) Hurricanes | +6 | 62.6 | 27.2 | 22.2 |
| 32. | Iowa State Cyclones | +6 | 61.3 | 26.9 | 22.1 |
| 33. | Mississippi Rebels | +6 | 60.9 | 25.9 | 21.3 |
| 34. | Michigan State Spartans | +2 | 60.9 | 24.4 | 20.3 |
| 35. | Arizona State Sun Devils | -10 | 60.5 | 26.8 | 22.4 |
| 36. | Brigham Young Cougars | -1 | 60.3 | 25.5 | 21.4 |
| 37. | Northwestern Wildcats | -8 | 59.9 | 26.5 | 22.6 |
| 38. | Arkansas Razorbacks | +5 | 59.7 | 26.7 | 23.0 |
| 39. | Virginia Tech Hokies | -6 | 59.1 | 25.8 | 22.3 |
| 40. | Arizona Wildcats | -6 | 59.1 | 28.3 | 25.0 |
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
| 41. | Duke Blue Devils | - | 59.0 | 28.4 | 24.8 |
| 42. | Pittsburgh Panthers | +6 | 58.0 | 26.1 | 23.1 |
| 43. | Louisiana Tech Bulldogs | +6 | 58.0 | 29.3 | 25.7 |
| 44. | Washington Huskies | -13 | 57.8 | 26.0 | 22.6 |
| 45. | Iowa Hawkeyes | - | 57.8 | 25.3 | 22.3 |
| 46. | Vanderbilt Commodores | - | 57.6 | 23.0 | 19.9 |
| 47. | Tennessee Volunteers | -21 | 57.5 | 25.3 | 22.6 |
| 48. | Cincinnati Bearcats | +5 | 56.9 | 24.9 | 22.0 |
| 49. | Baylor Bears | +1 | 56.6 | 26.5 | 23.9 |
| 50. | Missouri Tigers | +4 | 56.5 | 22.9 | 20.6 |
| 51. | North Carolina State Wolfpack | -19 | 56.1 | 23.9 | 21.7 |
| 52. | Syracuse Orange | - | 55.5 | 25.7 | 23.4 |
| 53. | Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets | +13 | 55.3 | 25.9 | 24.0 |
| 54. | Indiana Hoosiers | +16 | 55.2 | 26.4 | 24.8 |
| 55. | Utah Utes | - | 55.0 | 23.0 | 21.3 |
| 56. | Wisconsin Badgers | -9 | 54.9 | 24.1 | 21.9 |
| 57. | UCF Knights | +5 | 54.7 | 25.7 | 24.3 |
| 58. | Tulsa Golden Hurricane | - | 53.7 | 26.8 | 25.3 |
| 59. | Wake Forest Demon Deacons | +1 | 53.7 | 23.6 | 22.4 |
| 60. | Purdue Boilermakers | -3 | 53.4 | 24.0 | 23.0 |
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
| 61. | California Golden Bears | -10 | 53.4 | 23.9 | 22.6 |
| 62. | San Diego State Aztecs | +13 | 52.5 | 24.7 | 24.1 |
| 63. | Maryland Terrapins | -2 | 52.1 | 24.2 | 23.5 |
| 64. | Ohio Bobcats | -1 | 51.7 | 24.7 | 24.2 |
| 65. | Temple Owls | +6 | 51.3 | 22.9 | 22.7 |
| 66. | South Florida Bulls | +3 | 51.3 | 24.9 | 23.9 |
| 67. | Minnesota Golden Gophers | +5 | 51.1 | 23.6 | 23.1 |
| 68. | Northern Illinois Huskies | -4 | 51.1 | 23.9 | 23.5 |
| 69. | Fresno State Bulldogs | -2 | 50.9 | 26.3 | 26.1 |
| 70. | Toledo Rockets | -11 | 50.7 | 26.0 | 25.9 |
| 71. | Virginia Cavaliers | +3 | 50.5 | 22.8 | 22.6 |
| 72. | Utah State Aggies | +1 | 49.3 | 25.0 | 25.5 |
| 73. | Washington State Cougars | -17 | 49.3 | 25.3 | 25.3 |
| 74. | Connecticut Huskies | -9 | 48.7 | 21.2 | 21.1 |
| 75. | Kent State Golden Flashes | +1 | 46.7 | 21.1 | 22.4 |
| 76. | Ball State Cardinals | +1 | 46.3 | 24.9 | 26.2 |
| 77. | Nevada Wolf Pack | +2 | 46.0 | 23.9 | 25.2 |
| 78. | East Carolina Pirates | +17 | 45.3 | 24.4 | 26.4 |
| 79. | Kansas Jayhawks | +4 | 44.3 | 23.5 | 25.8 |
| 80. | Illinois Fighting Illini | +6 | 44.0 | 19.9 | 22.4 |
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
| 81. | Marshall Thundering Herd | +1 | 43.7 | 23.7 | 26.4 |
| 82. | Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns | +12 | 43.4 | 25.0 | 27.4 |
| 83. | Arkansas State Red Wolves | -2 | 42.8 | 23.7 | 26.1 |
| 84. | Auburn Tigers | - | 42.7 | 20.3 | 22.6 |
| 85. | Navy Midshipmen | +7 | 42.3 | 22.0 | 25.3 |
| 86. | Western Michigan Broncos | -1 | 41.6 | 24.9 | 27.5 |
| 87. | San Jose State Spartans | +4 | 41.1 | 24.8 | 28.3 |
| 88. | Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks | -10 | 40.9 | 23.6 | 27.0 |
| 89. | Boston College Eagles | -2 | 40.8 | 22.0 | 25.2 |
| 90. | Bowling Green Falcons | +7 | 40.5 | 22.2 | 26.2 |
| 91. | Troy Trojans | +16 | 40.2 | 25.3 | 29.2 |
| 92. | Colorado Buffaloes | -2 | 40.1 | 21.8 | 25.3 |
| 93. | Houston Cougars | -13 | 39.4 | 24.6 | 28.3 |
| 94. | Southern Methodist Mustangs | -26 | 39.0 | 24.0 | 27.9 |
| 95. | Kentucky Wildcats | -2 | 38.8 | 18.4 | 22.2 |
| 96. | Western Kentucky Hilltoppers | -7 | 38.0 | 21.4 | 26.5 |
| 97. | Air Force Falcons | -9 | 35.7 | 20.5 | 26.3 |
| 98. | Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders | +3 | 35.5 | 23.9 | 29.6 |
| 99. | Miami (OH) RedHawks | -3 | 35.0 | 21.2 | 26.7 |
| 100. | Wyoming Cowboys | -2 | 34.9 | 21.0 | 26.6 |
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
| 101. | Central Michigan Chippewas | -2 | 33.9 | 22.6 | 28.6 |
| 102. | Buffalo Bulls | +9 | 31.2 | 19.5 | 26.8 |
| 103. | UTEP Miners | +3 | 29.3 | 19.4 | 27.3 |
| 104. | Rice Owls | - | 29.2 | 20.4 | 28.5 |
| 105. | Tulane Green Wave | - | 28.5 | 19.2 | 27.3 |
| 106. | FIU Golden Panthers | -4 | 28.3 | 20.0 | 28.3 |
| 107. | North Texas Mean Green | -4 | 28.1 | 20.0 | 29.0 |
| 108. | Colorado State Rams | +1 | 27.8 | 17.9 | 26.2 |
| 109. | Army Black Knights | +1 | 26.1 | 19.2 | 28.8 |
| 110. | UNLV Rebels | -2 | 25.9 | 19.3 | 28.1 |
| 111. | Southern Miss Golden Eagles | -11 | 23.8 | 18.4 | 28.7 |
| 112. | Memphis Tigers | +4 | 22.5 | 18.3 | 29.7 |
| 113. | Eastern Michigan Eagles | +2 | 22.4 | 16.1 | 27.3 |
| 114. | UAB Blazers | -1 | 22.0 | 18.8 | 30.4 |
| 115. | New Mexico Lobos | -3 | 21.0 | 18.3 | 29.5 |
| 116. | Idaho Vandals | +3 | 20.8 | 17.7 | 30.0 |
| 117. | New Mexico State Aggies | -3 | 20.2 | 18.7 | 30.8 |
| 118. | Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners | -1 | 20.0 | 18.9 | 31.5 |
| 119. | Florida Atlantic Owls | -1 | 19.6 | 17.1 | 29.0 |
| 120. | Hawaii Warriors | - | 19.1 | 15.8 | 28.8 |
| Team | Change | Win Pct | PS/G | PA/G | |
| 121. | Texas State Bobcats | +1 | 18.9 | 17.5 | 30.3 |
| 122. | Akron Zips | -1 | 17.7 | 16.6 | 30.1 |
| 123. | South Alabama Jaguars | - | 16.4 | 15.4 | 30.3 |
| 124. | Massachusetts Minutemen | - | 14.5 | 15.1 | 30.6 |
Jake Westrich is the digital content coordinator for WhatIfSports.com. He can be reached at jwestrich@whatifsports.com.



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