College Football Week 12 Picks and Predictions From WhatIfSports.com image

College Football Week 12 Picks and Predictions

Week 12 predictions for every D-I/FBS college football game

By Ryan Fowler and Jake Westrich - WhatIfSports.com
November 12, 2012

Each Monday, WhatIfSports.com's NCAA college football simulation engine will provide you with game predictions for every D-1 FBS game that upcoming week. The college football simulation engine generates detailed information for each game including each team's chances of winning (Win%) and the average points scored for both teams. Make sure to share the college football information you gained here with your friends by either checking out our NCAA football widgets on the WhatIf To Go page or clicking on the social networking share bar at the top and bottom of this article.

Check out our 2012 College Football Season-to-Date page to follow our accuracy and for Upsets of the Week.

The statistical inputs to the thousands of college football simulations are based on rigorous analysis of each team's roster, depth charts and statistically based player rankings. Roster modifications are made in cases of injury or suspension and those players are removed from their team's game simulation for that week.

Game of the Week: Kansas State at Baylor

A teenager just threw the college football season into a tizzy.

Led by freshman quarterback Johnny Manziel, Texas A&M's upset win over Alabama knocked the Crimson Tide from the ranks of the unbeaten, out of the national championship picture {for now} and opened the door for the most unlikely of contenders if you were to rewind the tape back to August.

Two more wins and Kansas State is in the BCS National Championship. As college football pundits like to say this time of year, "If the season ended today, the Wildcats would face the Oregon Ducks in the title game." Bill Snyder's crew must knock off Baylor this week before enjoying a timely late-season BYE the week of Thanksgiving.

When you dissect K-State's stats, their average margin of victory jumps out and smacks you in the face. The Wildcats average 42.2 points per game, while holding opponents to 17.7 – ranked 14th in the BCS. Quarterback Colin Klein continues to impose his “death by a thousand cuts” against opposing defenses. He's only rushed for more than 90 yards twice this season, but has scored at least one rushing touchdown in nine out of the team's 10 games this season (did not score Week 1). Klein threw only his third interception of the season last Saturday compared to 12 passing touchdowns.

In order for Baylor to pull the upset, the Bears are going to need to contain Klein and cut down on the turnovers that have plagued them this season. Baylor has lost six fumbles and thrown 10 interceptions this year. When you factor in that Kansas State is first in the country in turnover margin (+2.10), Baylor can't afford to make mistakes.

The Bears remain one of the highest-scoring teams in the country at 42.7 points per game. This allowed the team to hang around with Oklahoma for four quarters last week before falling 42-34 to the Sooners.

We simulated the Bears and the Wildcats 101 times and it's K-State winning more than 80 percent of the time by an average score of 30-19.

College Football Week 12
MatchupWin%Avg Score 
North Carolina State Wolfpack31.721Boxscore
@ Clemson Tigers68.327 
South Florida Bulls39.623Boxscore
@ Miami (FL) Hurricanes60.426 
Duke Blue Devils45.529Boxscore
@ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets54.530 
North Carolina Tar Heels56.425Boxscore
@ Virginia Cavaliers43.624 
Virginia Tech Hokies72.826Boxscore
@ Boston College Eagles27.220 
Florida State Seminoles76.228Boxscore
@ Maryland Terrapins23.818 
Rutgers Scarlet Knights48.522Boxscore
@ Cincinnati Bearcats51.524 
Minnesota Golden Gophers29.720Boxscore
@ Nebraska Cornhuskers70.326 
Iowa Hawkeyes41.619Boxscore
@ Michigan Wolverines58.423 
Indiana Hoosiers45.524Boxscore
@ Penn State Nittany Lions54.526 
Northwestern Wildcats49.522Boxscore
@ Michigan State Spartans50.524 
Purdue Boilermakers59.422Boxscore
@ Illinois Fighting Illini40.618 
Ohio State Buckeyes71.324Boxscore
@ Wisconsin Badgers28.718 
Eastern Michigan Eagles24.820Boxscore
@ Western Michigan Broncos75.228 
Toledo Rockets43.625Boxscore
@ Northern Illinois Huskies56.426 
Kent State Golden Flashes45.522Boxscore
@ Bowling Green Falcons54.523 
Miami (OH) RedHawks46.525Boxscore
@ Central Michigan Chippewas53.526 
Ohio Bobcats48.027Boxscore
@ Ball State Cardinals52.028 
Buffalo Bulls64.424Boxscore
@ Massachusetts Minutemen35.619 
Stanford Cardinal20.819Boxscore
@ Oregon Ducks79.227 
California Golden Bears30.721Boxscore
@ Oregon State Beavers69.326 
Washington State Cougars37.624Boxscore
@ Arizona State Sun Devils62.427 
Arizona Wildcats48.525Boxscore
@ Utah Utes51.526 
USC Trojans53.527Boxscore
@ UCLA Bruins46.526 
Washington Huskies69.826Boxscore
@ Colorado Buffaloes30.219 
Sam Houston State Bearkats 5.07Boxscore
@ Texas A&M Aggies95.052 
Wofford Terriers 5.06Boxscore
@ South Carolina Gamecocks95.047 
Jacksonville State Gamecocks 5.06Boxscore
@ Florida Gators95.045 
Georgia Southern Eagles 5.07Boxscore
@ Georgia Bulldogs95.051 
Samford Bulldogs 5.08Boxscore
@ Kentucky Wildcats95.039 
Western Carolina Catamounts 5.07Boxscore
@ Alabama Crimson Tide95.055 
Alabama A&M Bulldogs 5.08Boxscore
@ Auburn Tigers95.040 
Mississippi Rebels25.716Boxscore
@ LSU Tigers74.325 
Arkansas Razorbacks37.122Boxscore
@ Mississippi State Bulldogs62.925 
Tennessee Volunteers40.120Boxscore
@ Vanderbilt Commodores59.923 
Syracuse Orange49.522Boxscore
@ Missouri Tigers50.523 
Utah State Aggies37.627Boxscore
@ Louisiana Tech Bulldogs62.430 
Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners50.027Boxscore
@ Idaho Vandals50.026 
Brigham Young Cougars70.329Boxscore
@ San Jose State Spartans29.722 
Wake Forest Demon Deacons22.818Boxscore
@ Notre Dame Fighting Irish77.229 
Texas State Bobcats24.820Boxscore
@ Navy Midshipmen75.229 
Temple Owls68.325Boxscore
@ Army Black Knights31.719 
Texas Tech Red Raiders48.527Boxscore
@ Oklahoma State Cowboys51.528 
Oklahoma Sooners54.530Boxscore
@ West Virginia Mountaineers45.528 
Iowa State Cyclones57.427Boxscore
@ Kansas Jayhawks42.623 
Kansas State Wildcats80.230Boxscore
@ Baylor Bears19.819 
Houston Cougars45.027Boxscore
@ Marshall Thundering Herd55.028 
Memphis Tigers48.524Boxscore
@ UAB Blazers51.526 
UCF Knights49.526Boxscore
@ Tulsa Golden Hurricane50.527 
Southern Methodist Mustangs55.426Boxscore
@ Rice Owls44.623 
UTEP Miners56.425Boxscore
@ Southern Miss Golden Eagles43.622 
East Carolina Pirates66.828Boxscore
@ Tulane Green Wave33.221 
Colorado State Rams11.915Boxscore
@ Boise State Broncos88.129 
Hawaii Warriors30.216Boxscore
@ Air Force Falcons69.825 
Wyoming Cowboys55.425Boxscore
@ UNLV Rebels44.622 
Nevada Wolf Pack78.228Boxscore
@ New Mexico Lobos21.819 
North Texas Mean Green29.722Boxscore
@ Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks70.328 
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers34.723Boxscore
@ Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns65.328 
Arkansas State Red Wolves55.432Boxscore
@ Troy Trojans44.629 
FIU Golden Panthers62.424Boxscore
@ Florida Atlantic Owls37.621 
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders77.730Boxscore
@ South Alabama Jaguars22.321 
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Ryan Fowler is the Content Manager for WhatIfSports.com. He can be reached at rfowler@whatifsports.com.

Jake Westrich is the Digital Content Coordinator for WhatIfSports.com. He can be reached at jwestrich@whatifsports.com.

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