College Football Week 8 Picks and Predictions From WhatIfSports.com image

College Football Week 8 Picks and Predictions

Week 8 predictions for every D-I/FBS college football game

By Ryan Fowler and Jake Westrich - WhatIfSports.com
October 15, 2012

Each Monday, WhatIfSports.com's NCAA college football simulation engine will provide you with game predictions for every D-1 FBS game that upcoming week. The college football simulation engine generates detailed information for each game including each team's chances of winning (Win%) and the average points scored for both teams. Make sure to share the college football information you gained here with your friends by either checking out our NCAA football widgets on the WhatIf To Go page or clicking on the social networking share bar at the top and bottom of this article.

Check out our 2012 College Football Season-to-Date page to follow our accuracy and for Upsets of the Week available on Wednesdays.

The statistical inputs to the thousands of college football simulations are based on rigorous analysis of each team's roster, depth charts and statistically based player rankings. Roster modifications are made in cases of injury or suspension and those players are removed from their team's game simulation for that week.

Game of the Week: Kansas State at West Virginia

This is as much a public service announcement as it is WhatIfSports.com's college football Game of the Week preview.

First, Kansas State football is ranked fourth in the country. Yes, they are in the FBS.

Second, like West Virginia, the Wildcats, 6-0 including an upset win over Oklahoma, do play football in the Big 12. We can't assume that people know this as Manhattan, Kansas cannot be found on iPhone 5 maps.

Third, if Bill Snyder's boys can bring home a win in Week 8, they could very well be on their way to the BCS National Championship Game.

Alabama, stop laughing.

If you were to visit the school's athletic site, the Purple Pride slaps you right in the face with a splash page boasting:

Since the start of the 1993 season, few programs can match Kansas State's win total or its winning percentage of nearly 75 percent. The Wildcats have participated in 3 Big 12 Championship games - claiming the 2003 Big 12 crown over No. 1 Oklahoma. K-State has been a consistent winner under Coach Bill Snyder, earning a postseason bowl berth in 14 of 19 seasons from 1993-present, including the 2012 AT&T Cotton Bowl Classic.

On offense, the Wildcats do one thing: run the football. Quarterback Colin Klein has evenly split carries with running back John Hubert, 98 apiece, for 1,116 yards and 18 touchdowns. The offense is averaging over 40 points per game.

The Cats rush defense is ranked 16th in the country, allowing 102 yards on the ground per game. However, it's the Mountaineers pass offense that K-State needs to fear this week, and Snyder better hope his secondary brings their A-game because the 239 yards allowed average (76th in country) can quickly become 339 yards with Geno Smith hungry after a Heisman hiccup in Week 6 at Texas Tech.

Speaking of West Virginia, Dana Holgorsen's crew must be sick of the Lonestar State after having to travel to Texas back-to-back weeks.

"Welcome to the Big 12!"

Smith was shut down by Texas Tech's top pass defense in the country last Saturday. Through his first five games, the frontrunner for the Heisman completed over 81 percent of his passes with over 399 pass yards per game. Against the Red Raiders, he only completed 52.7 percent of his passes for 275 yards with one touchdown.

As previously mentioned, Kansas State's offense is pretty one-dimensional favoring the rush. Not good news for a Mountaineers' defense that ranks 43rd in the country in rush yards allowed per game at over 131, but have allowed 12 touchdowns via the ground (t-84th).

We simulated the Mountaineers and Wildcats 101 times and it's West Virginia holding court at home, winning 56.4 percent of the time by an average score of 28-25.

College Football Week 8
MatchupWin%Avg Score 
Virginia Tech Hokies30.722Boxscore
@ Clemson Tigers69.328 
Boston College Eagles36.621Boxscore
@ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets63.427 
Wake Forest Demon Deacons43.621Boxscore
@ Virginia Cavaliers56.424 
North Carolina Tar Heels57.930Boxscore
@ Duke Blue Devils42.127 
North Carolina State Wolfpack65.326Boxscore
@ Maryland Terrapins34.720 
Florida State Seminoles74.327Boxscore
@ Miami (FL) Hurricanes25.722 
South Florida Bulls40.621Boxscore
@ Louisville Cardinals59.425 
Connecticut Huskies45.021Boxscore
@ Syracuse Orange55.023 
Rutgers Scarlet Knights62.424Boxscore
@ Temple Owls37.619 
Purdue Boilermakers25.719Boxscore
@ Ohio State Buckeyes74.327 
Michigan State Spartans35.619Boxscore
@ Michigan Wolverines64.423 
Minnesota Golden Gophers36.621Boxscore
@ Wisconsin Badgers63.424 
Penn State Nittany Lions51.023Boxscore
@ Iowa Hawkeyes49.022 
Nebraska Cornhuskers62.427Boxscore
@ Northwestern Wildcats37.623 
Western Michigan Broncos35.620Boxscore
@ Kent State Golden Flashes64.425 
Army Black Knights52.522Boxscore
@ Eastern Michigan Eagles47.521 
Ball State Cardinals54.529Boxscore
@ Central Michigan Chippewas45.526 
Cincinnati Bearcats66.828Boxscore
@ Toledo Rockets33.223 
Northern Illinois Huskies77.228Boxscore
@ Akron Zips22.817 
Pittsburgh Panthers81.228Boxscore
@ Buffalo Bulls18.817 
Bowling Green Falcons86.127Boxscore
@ Massachusetts Minutemen13.917 
Colorado Buffaloes 6.917Boxscore
@ USC Trojans93.137 
Utah Utes35.621Boxscore
@ Oregon State Beavers64.426 
Washington Huskies48.525Boxscore
@ Arizona Wildcats51.527 
Stanford Cardinal60.425Boxscore
@ California Golden Bears39.622 
Oregon Ducks79.730Boxscore
@ Arizona State Sun Devils20.322 
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders16.819Boxscore
@ Mississippi State Bulldogs83.232 
South Carolina Gamecocks34.717Boxscore
@ Florida Gators65.321 
Auburn Tigers36.617Boxscore
@ Vanderbilt Commodores63.422 
LSU Tigers57.422Boxscore
@ Texas A&M Aggies42.619 
Alabama Crimson Tide78.228Boxscore
@ Tennessee Volunteers21.817 
Georgia Bulldogs84.225Boxscore
@ Kentucky Wildcats15.812 
New Mexico State Aggies17.321Boxscore
@ Utah State Aggies82.731 
Idaho Vandals17.320Boxscore
@ Louisiana Tech Bulldogs82.733 
San Jose State Spartans69.333Boxscore
@ Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners30.724 
Brigham Young Cougars32.719Boxscore
@ Notre Dame Fighting Irish67.327 
Indiana Hoosiers56.425Boxscore
@ Navy Midshipmen43.624 
Kansas Jayhawks13.918Boxscore
@ Oklahoma Sooners86.134 
Baylor Bears38.623Boxscore
@ Texas Longhorns61.427 
Iowa State Cyclones41.626Boxscore
@ Oklahoma State Cowboys58.429 
Kansas State Wildcats43.625Boxscore
@ West Virginia Mountaineers56.428 
Texas Tech Red Raiders61.428Boxscore
@ TCU Horned Frogs38.625 
Rice Owls19.820Boxscore
@ Tulsa Golden Hurricane80.231 
Tulane Green Wave47.022Boxscore
@ UTEP Miners53.024 
Houston Cougars52.528Boxscore
@ Southern Methodist Mustangs47.527 
East Carolina Pirates64.429Boxscore
@ UAB Blazers35.624 
Marshall Thundering Herd73.326Boxscore
@ Southern Miss Golden Eagles26.719 
UCF Knights83.230Boxscore
@ Memphis Tigers16.818 
UNLV Rebels 5.018Boxscore
@ Boise State Broncos95.034 
San Diego State Aztecs32.219Boxscore
@ Nevada Wolf Pack67.826 
New Mexico Lobos32.220Boxscore
@ Air Force Falcons67.827 
Wyoming Cowboys38.623Boxscore
@ Fresno State Bulldogs61.426 
FIU Golden Panthers41.627Boxscore
@ Troy Trojans58.428 
Florida Atlantic Owls46.523Boxscore
@ South Alabama Jaguars53.524 
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks55.427Boxscore
@ Western Kentucky Hilltoppers44.624 
Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns63.930Boxscore
@ North Texas Mean Green36.125 
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Ryan Fowler is the Content Manager for WhatIfSports.com. He can be reached at rfowler@whatifsports.com.

Jake Westrich is the Digital Content Coordinator for WhatIfSports.com. He can be reached at jwestrich@whatifsports.com.

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