College Football Week 10 Picks and Predictions From WhatIfSports.com image

College Football Week 10 Picks and Predictions

Week 10 predictions for every D-I/FBS college football game

WhatIfSports.com
October 28, 2013

Each Monday, WhatIfSports.com's NCAA college football simulation engine will provide you with game predictions for every D-1 FBS game that upcoming week. The college football simulation engine generates detailed information for each game including each team's chances of winning (Win%) and the average points scored for both teams. Make sure to share the college football information you gained here with your friends by either checking out our NCAA football widgets on the WhatIf To Go page or clicking on the social networking share bar at the top and bottom of this article.

Check out our 2013 College Football Season-to-Date page to follow our accuracy and for Upsets of the Week.

The statistical inputs to the thousands of college football simulations are based on rigorous analysis of each team's roster, depth charts and statistically based player rankings. Roster modifications are made in cases of injury or suspension and those players are removed from their team's game simulation for that week.

Game of the Week: Miami (FL) at Florida State

We considered Michigan at Michigan State as our Week 10 featured matchup. However, something about the Wolverines’ 4OT-loss to a Penn State team that just got blown out by Ohio State 63-14 that swayed our decision.

Miami (FL) vs. Florida State may boast the seventh-ranked team traveling upstate to try and upset the third-best team in the country, but for those who have paid attention to the Hurricanes’ efforts the last two weeks; numbers (rankings) can be deceiving.

Speaking of numbers, Vegas set the point spread on this game at Florida State (-21) – the Jacksonville Jaguars feel bad for the Hurricanes.

Since we last recapped Jameis Winston’s Heisman resume – before the Clemson win – the redshirt freshman quarterback has averaged 368 passing yards with six touchdowns and two interceptions in two games. He’s completing nearly 70 percent of his passes with 23 touchdowns and only four interceptions.

Winston is 19 years old. The WhatIfSports.com content department held jobs at Staples, a steel mill and UPS as college sophomores. Sadly, our Heisman poses included reams of paper, scrap metal and cardboard boxes.

The balanced Seminoles’ offense is ranked 11th in the nation in passing and 25th in rushing behind Devonta Freeman and Karlos Williams. The duo has combined for 13 rushing touchdowns.

Florida State’s defense remains in the top five in points allowed at 13 points per pop.

The Hurricanes needed back-to-back, 14-point fourth quarters in order to remain unbeaten in 2013. Now, injuries bit hard in the team’s game at North Carolina two Thursdays ago, but they did get running back Duke Johnson back in time for the Wake Forest game. It took 30 carries for 168 yards with two fourth-quarter touchdowns from DJ to beat the Deacons.

The 39.6 points per game the team averages behind Johnson and Dallas Crawford seems impressive until you realize the offense has only managed 25.5 points per game the last two weeks. With Florida State’s defense holding Clemson to 14 points two games ago, the Hurricanes could be in trouble.

They’ll have to hope their 17th-ranked total and 17th-ranked pass defense can somehow contain Winston and company.

We simulated the Seminoles and Hurricanes 101 times and it’s the Seminoles winning 71.3 percent of the time by an average score of 31-22.

College Football Week 10
MatchupWin%Avg Score 
Miami (FL) Hurricanes28.722Boxscore
@ Florida State Seminoles71.331 
Pittsburgh Panthers49.519Boxscore
@ Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets50.521 
Wake Forest Demon Deacons61.421Boxscore
@ Syracuse Orange38.618 
Virginia Tech Hokies65.322Boxscore
@ Boston College Eagles34.718 
North Carolina Tar Heels69.327Boxscore
@ North Carolina State Wolfpack30.722 
Clemson Tigers75.225Boxscore
@ Virginia Cavaliers24.817 
Northwestern Wildcats32.722Boxscore
@ Nebraska Cornhuskers67.324 
Illinois Fighting Illini33.721Boxscore
@ Penn State Nittany Lions66.327 
Minnesota Golden Gophers42.621Boxscore
@ Indiana Hoosiers57.424 
Michigan Wolverines49.521Boxscore
@ Michigan State Spartans50.522 
Wisconsin Badgers52.023Boxscore
@ Iowa Hawkeyes48.021 
Ohio State Buckeyes88.130Boxscore
@ Purdue Boilermakers11.916 
Eastern Michigan Eagles23.822Boxscore
@ Toledo Rockets76.232 
Kent State Golden Flashes51.524Boxscore
@ Akron Zips48.523 
Northern Illinois Huskies95.031Boxscore
@ Massachusetts Minutemen 5.012 
Colorado Buffaloes23.821Boxscore
@ UCLA Bruins76.230 
USC Trojans46.524Boxscore
@ Oregon State Beavers53.526 
Arizona State Sun Devils58.923Boxscore
@ Washington State Cougars41.122 
Arizona Wildcats65.328Boxscore
@ California Golden Bears34.723 
Alabama State Hornets 5.08Boxscore
@ Kentucky Wildcats95.043 
UTEP Miners 6.917Boxscore
@ Texas A&M Aggies93.136 
Tennessee Volunteers31.222Boxscore
@ Missouri Tigers68.827 
Mississippi State Bulldogs32.721Boxscore
@ South Carolina Gamecocks67.327 
Florida Gators44.620Boxscore
vs. Georgia Bulldogs55.421 
Auburn Tigers74.825Boxscore
@ Arkansas Razorbacks25.217 
Navy Midshipmen24.319Boxscore
@ Notre Dame Fighting Irish75.727 
Texas State Bobcats62.425Boxscore
@ Idaho Vandals37.620 
Kansas Jayhawks24.318Boxscore
@ Texas Longhorns75.728 
Iowa State Cyclones30.720Boxscore
@ Kansas State Wildcats69.326 
West Virginia Mountaineers42.621Boxscore
@ TCU Horned Frogs57.423 
Oklahoma State Cowboys50.528Boxscore
@ Texas Tech Red Raiders49.527 
Southern Miss Golden Eagles25.220Boxscore
@ Marshall Thundering Herd74.829 
Rice Owls47.522Boxscore
@ North Texas Mean Green52.523 
Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners49.524Boxscore
@ Tulsa Golden Hurricane50.525 
Tulane Green Wave55.426Boxscore
@ Florida Atlantic Owls44.622 
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders60.427Boxscore
@ UAB Blazers39.624 
East Carolina Pirates78.227Boxscore
@ FIU Golden Panthers21.818 
Nevada Wolf Pack14.921Boxscore
@ Fresno State Bulldogs85.133 
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors31.719Boxscore
@ Utah State Aggies68.327 
New Mexico Lobos33.720Boxscore
@ San Diego State Aztecs66.326 
Army Black Knights37.619Boxscore
@ Air Force Falcons62.425 
San Jose State Spartans63.427Boxscore
@ UNLV Rebels36.623 
Boise State Broncos67.330Boxscore
@ Colorado State Rams32.723 
New Mexico State Aggies27.722Boxscore
@ Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns72.329 
Arkansas State Red Wolves38.121Boxscore
@ South Alabama Jaguars61.925 
Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks47.027Boxscore
@ Troy Trojans53.029 
Western Kentucky Hilltoppers84.230Boxscore
@ Georgia State Panthers15.816 
Temple Owls26.218Boxscore
@ Rutgers Scarlet Knights73.826 
South Florida Bulls36.123Boxscore
@ Houston Cougars63.928 
Cincinnati Bearcats80.226Boxscore
@ Memphis Tigers19.818 
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Ryan Fowler is the Content Manager for WhatIfSports.com. He can be reached at rfowler@whatifsports.com.

Jake Westrich is the Digital Content Coordinator for WhatIfSports.com. He can be reached at jwestrich@whatifsports.com.

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