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Each Monday, WhatIfSports.com's NCAA college football simulation engine will provide you with game predictions for every D-1 FBS game that upcoming week. The college football simulation engine generates detailed information for each game including each team's chances of winning (Win%) and the average points scored for both teams. Make sure to share the college football information you gained here with your friends by either checking out our NCAA football widgets on the WhatIf To Go page or clicking on the social networking share bar at the top and bottom of this article.
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The statistical inputs to the thousands of college football simulations are based on rigorous analysis of each team's roster, depth charts and statistically based player rankings. Roster modifications are made in cases of injury or suspension and those players are removed from their team's game simulation for that week.
Game of the Week: Maryland at Florida State
After a Week 1 blowout win over Pittsburgh, 41-13, Florida State quarterback Jameis Winston had all but wrapped up the Heisman Trophy. He finished 25-27 for 356 yards with four touchdowns and no interceptions. To say he had entered the Bill Brasky realm would be an understatement.
Unfortunately for Winston, the college football season and Heisman applications consist of more than just the first week. In the two games that followed, against Nevada and Bethune-Cookman, Winston finished 25-37 for 362 yards with four touchdowns and a pick. However, Winston traveled to Boston College last week and lit up the Eagles for 330 yards with four more TDs and another pick.
Florida State's rush depth is prevalent as four different players have over 100 yards on the ground this season with six different rushers finding the end zone.
The same can be said of the Winston's passing attack as Kenny Shaw, Rashad Greene and Kelvin Benjamin are all in the mix with eight touchdowns between the three of them.
On defense, the Seminoles rank 60th against the rush, allowing over 150 yards on the ground per game, but are fourth in the nation against the pass at 136 yards allowed per game with six interceptions. The 15 points per game allowed ranks 17th in the country.
As for the 4-0 Terrapins, they may be ranked inside the Top 25, but the four teams they beat have a combined record of 5-12 and three of Old Dominion's wins came against Howard, Citadel and Albany.
The good news for Maryland is the team had two weeks to prepare for FSU. Quarterback C.J. Brown is completing over 66 percent of his passes with seven touchdowns and an interception thus far. But the mobile quarterback has also rushed for 283 yards (6.3 YPR) with six touchdowns on the ground. The Terps are 24th in the country in rushing as a team with nearly 227 yards on the ground per game. With FSU's defense struggling against the rush, this is where Maryland can make a case for an upset.
The passing game is pretty simple with Stefon Diggs and Deon Long accounting for over half of the receiving yards with four scores combined.
We could mention how Maryland is 13th against the rush, 14th against the pass and third in points against, but that would circle us back to their first four opponents and strength of schedule.
We simulated the Seminoles and Terps 101 times and it's Florida State winning 71.8 percent of the time by an average score of 26-18.
College Football Week 6
|Army Black Knights||27.7||18||Boxscore|
|@ Boston College Eagles||72.3||25|
|@ Florida State Seminoles||71.8||26|
|North Carolina Tar Heels||34.7||20||Boxscore|
|@ Virginia Tech Hokies||65.3||24|
|Ball State Cardinals||36.6||22||Boxscore|
|@ Virginia Cavaliers||63.4||26|
|Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets||41.6||23||Boxscore|
|@ Miami (FL) Hurricanes||58.4||27|
|North Carolina State Wolfpack||63.9||22||Boxscore|
|@ Wake Forest Demon Deacons||36.1||19|
|@ Syracuse Orange||17.8||19|
|Minnesota Golden Gophers||25.7||18||Boxscore|
|@ Michigan Wolverines||74.3||27|
|Illinois Fighting Illini||28.7||21||Boxscore|
|@ Nebraska Cornhuskers||71.3||29|
|Michigan State Spartans||52.5||21||Boxscore|
|@ Iowa Hawkeyes||47.5||19|
|Penn State Nittany Lions||59.4||27||Boxscore|
|@ Indiana Hoosiers||40.6||23|
|Ohio State Buckeyes||60.4||25||Boxscore|
|@ Northwestern Wildcats||39.6||21|
|@ Bowling Green Falcons||95.0||31|
|Eastern Michigan Eagles||35.1||20||Boxscore|
|@ Buffalo Bulls||64.9||25|
|Western Michigan Broncos||40.6||25||Boxscore|
|@ Toledo Rockets||59.4||28|
|Central Michigan Chippewas||55.9||26||Boxscore|
|@ Miami (OH) RedHawks||44.1||24|
|Northern Illinois Huskies||63.4||28||Boxscore|
|@ Kent State Golden Flashes||36.6||22|
|@ Akron Zips||33.7||20|
|Notre Dame Fighting Irish||38.6||20||Boxscore|
|@ Arizona State Sun Devils||61.4||23|
|Washington State Cougars||46.0||22||Boxscore|
|@ California Golden Bears||54.0||23|
|@ Stanford Cardinal||50.5||23|
|@ Utah Utes||29.7||21|
|@ Colorado Buffaloes||15.8||18|
|Georgia State Panthers||5.0||8||Boxscore|
|@ Alabama Crimson Tide||95.0||43|
|@ South Carolina Gamecocks||80.2||25|
|@ Florida Gators||66.8||24|
|@ Vanderbilt Commodores||52.5||24|
|Ole Miss Rebels||59.9||24||Boxscore|
|@ Auburn Tigers||40.1||22|
|@ Tennessee Volunteers||33.2||23|
|@ Mississippi State Bulldogs||31.7||20|
|Air Force Falcons||38.6||21||Boxscore|
|@ Navy Midshipmen||61.4||24|
|Fresno State Bulldogs||91.1||34||Boxscore|
|@ Idaho Vandals||8.9||18|
|Kansas State Wildcats||29.2||20||Boxscore|
|@ Oklahoma State Cowboys||70.8||28|
|TCU Horned Frogs||35.6||20||Boxscore|
|@ Oklahoma Sooners||64.4||26|
|West Virginia Mountaineers||38.6||25||Boxscore|
|@ Baylor Bears||61.4||29|
|@ Iowa State Cyclones||36.6||24|
|Texas Tech Red Raiders||72.3||29||Boxscore|
|@ Kansas Jayhawks||27.7||20|
|Texas-San Antonio Roadrunners||30.7||26||Boxscore|
|@ Marshall Thundering Herd||69.3||31|
|FIU Golden Panthers||35.6||21||Boxscore|
|@ Southern Miss Golden Eagles||64.4||25|
|Louisiana Tech Bulldogs||37.6||23||Boxscore|
|@ UTEP Miners||62.4||26|
|@ Tulsa Golden Hurricane||61.9||25|
|Florida Atlantic Owls||49.5||24||Boxscore|
|@ UAB Blazers||50.5||26|
|East Carolina Pirates||56.4||27||Boxscore|
|@ Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders||43.6||24|
|North Texas Mean Green||57.4||26||Boxscore|
|@ Tulane Green Wave||42.6||23|
|New Mexico State Aggies||39.6||22||Boxscore|
|@ New Mexico Lobos||60.4||26|
|@ Utah State Aggies||55.4||23|
|Nevada Wolf Pack||47.5||24||Boxscore|
|@ San Diego State Aztecs||52.5||26|
|San Jose State Spartans||54.5||23||Boxscore|
|@ Hawaii Rainbow Warriors||45.5||22|
|Texas State Bobcats||40.1||25||Boxscore|
|@ Louisiana-Lafayette Ragin' Cajuns||59.9||29|
|South Alabama Jaguars||49.0||25||Boxscore|
|@ Troy Trojans||51.0||26|
|Western Kentucky Hilltoppers||55.4||27||Boxscore|
|@ Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks||44.6||24|
|@ Memphis Tigers||37.6||22|
|Rutgers Scarlet Knights||66.8||26||Boxscore|
|@ SMU Mustangs||33.2||20|
|@ South Florida Bulls||17.8||16|
|@ Temple Owls||8.9||17|
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