College Football Week 4 Picks and Predictions From WhatIfSports.com image

College Football Week 4 Picks and Predictions

Week 4 predictions for every D-I/FBS college football game

WhatIfSports.com
September 15, 2014

Each Monday, WhatIfSports.com's NCAA college football simulation engine will provide you with game predictions for every D-1 FBS game that upcoming week. The college football simulation engine generates detailed information for each game including each team's chances of winning (Win%) and the average points scored for both teams. Make sure to share the college football information you gained here with your friends by either checking out our NCAA football widgets on the WhatIf To Go page or clicking on the social networking share bar at the top and bottom of this article.

Check out our 2014 College Football Season-to-Date page to follow our accuracy and for Upsets of the Week.

The statistical inputs to the thousands of college football simulations are based on rigorous analysis of each team's roster, depth charts and statistically based player rankings. Roster modifications are made in cases of injury or suspension and those players are removed from their team's game simulation for that week.

Game of the Week: Clemson at Florida State

Searching for statistical trends in college football can be like hunting for a needle in a haystack throughout the season.

For instance, Clemson got rocked by Georgia the first week of the season, 45-21. This past weekend, the Bulldogs - coming off a bye - were upset by the ol' ball coach and South Carolina in sloppy Columbia conditions, 38-35.

This week, the Clemson Tigers and Florida State Seminoles are both coming off BYES in the WhatIfSports.com college football featured game of the week.

For Jameis Winston and company, the thought of playing Oklahoma State (on a neutral field) and Citadel (home) back-to-back weeks to start the season earned them some R&R in Week 3.

In a small, two-game sample size, Winston has been efficient completing better than 70-percent of his passes for 626 yards with three touchdowns and two interceptions.

Receiver Rashad Greene has been the biggest benefactor of Winston's arm. He's seventh in the nation in receiving yards per game at better than 141 yards per pop. Karlos Williams is the main option out of the backfield averaging better than four yards per rush with a touchdown through two games.

Florida State's rush defense got punished by the Cowboys - 161 yards and three touchdowns - and rush-heavy Citadel - 250 yards and 4.5 yards per rush. So, the Seminoles rank 103rd against the rush and 13th versus the pass two games into the season.

Clemson scored the most points in a game in 33 years by crushing MEAC sacrificial lamb South Carolina State two weeks ago, 73-7. Starting quarterback Cole Stoudt played most of the game passing for more than 300 yards with a touchdown and receiver Artavis Scott racked up 164 yards with two touchdowns.

A week prior, the Tigers' rush defense let Georgia's Todd Gurley amass 198 rush yards with three scores. With FSU focusing on a pass-first offensive mentality, it's hard to gauge how the Tigers defense will fare considering Georgia didn't need to pass and South Carolina State isn't a fair assessment.

We simulated the Seminoles and Tigers 101 times and the computer likes Florida State 74.8 percent of the time by an average score of 28-20.

College Football Week 4 Predictions
MatchupWin %Avg. Score 
Maine Black Bears 5.0 8.6Boxscore
@ Boston College Eagles95.043.6 
Presbyterian Blue Hose 5.0 8.0Boxscore
@ North Carolina State Wolfpack95.044.4 
Tulane Green Wave24.817.5Boxscore
@ Duke Blue Devils75.227.3 
Clemson Tigers25.220.2Boxscore
@ Florida State Seminoles74.828.3 
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets34.717.9Boxscore
@ Virginia Tech Hokies65.322.1 
Army Black Knights35.617.6Boxscore
@ Wake Forest Demon Deacons64.421.9 
Iowa Hawkeyes47.519.7Boxscore
@ Pittsburgh Panthers52.520.7 
Maryland Terrapins66.322.3Boxscore
@ Syracuse Orange33.718.1 
Southern Illinois Salukis 5.0 8.7Boxscore
@ Purdue Boilermakers95.042.7 
Western Illinois Leathernecks 5.0 7.9Boxscore
@ Northwestern Wildcats95.040.6 
Eastern Michigan Eagles 5.913.2Boxscore
@ Michigan State Spartans94.132.1 
Massachusetts Minutemen12.914.1Boxscore
@ Penn State Nittany Lions87.128.9 
Bowling Green Falcons26.720.9Boxscore
@ Wisconsin Badgers73.329.2 
San Jose State Spartans29.722.4Boxscore
@ Minnesota Golden Gophers70.327.2 
Texas State Bobcats40.624.8Boxscore
@ Illinois Fighting Illini59.426.6 
Utah Utes39.618.5Boxscore
@ Michigan Wolverines60.423.1 
Miami (FL) Hurricanes49.021.0Boxscore
@ Nebraska Cornhuskers51.022.0 
Norfolk State Spartans 5.0 6.8Boxscore
@ Buffalo Bulls95.039.2 
Murray State Racers 5.0 7.2Boxscore
@ Western Michigan Broncos95.038.8 
Idaho Vandals33.721.3Boxscore
@ Ohio Bobcats66.327.9 
Ball State Cardinals46.526.5Boxscore
@ Toledo Rockets53.527.2 
Marshall Thundering Herd75.231.2Boxscore
@ Akron Zips24.822.1 
Georgia State Panthers18.816.4Boxscore
@ Washington Huskies81.228.4 
San Diego State Aztecs36.624.5Boxscore
@ Oregon State Beavers63.429.1 
Hawaii Rainbow Warriors36.620.9Boxscore
@ Colorado Buffaloes63.425.5 
California Golden Bears39.122.7Boxscore
@ Arizona Wildcats60.926.4 
Oregon Ducks85.133.9Boxscore
@ Washington State Cougars14.921.2 
Troy Trojans10.919.6Boxscore
@ Georgia Bulldogs89.134.6 
Indiana Hoosiers23.820.1Boxscore
@ Missouri Tigers76.229.9 
Mississippi State Bulldogs26.716.4Boxscore
@ LSU Tigers73.324.3 
Florida Gators33.218.5Boxscore
@ Alabama Crimson Tide66.824.7 
Northern Illinois Huskies47.522.4Boxscore
@ Arkansas Razorbacks52.524.1 
South Carolina Gamecocks83.224.6Boxscore
@ Vanderbilt Commodores16.813.1 
Virginia Cavaliers27.715.5Boxscore
@ BYU Cougars72.322.3 
Rutgers Scarlet Knights49.524.1Boxscore
@ Navy Midshipmen50.524.9 
Auburn Tigers52.524.1Boxscore
@ Kansas State Wildcats47.523.1 
Central Michigan Chippewas56.923.8Boxscore
@ Kansas Jayhawks43.121.9 
Oklahoma Sooners63.927.6Boxscore
@ West Virginia Mountaineers36.122.3 
Northwestern State Demons 5.0 8.8Boxscore
@ Louisiana Tech Bulldogs95.043.3 
Nicholls Colonels 5.0 6.0Boxscore
@ North Texas Mean Green95.043.0 
Old Dominion Monarchs33.723.9Boxscore
@ Rice Owls66.329.1 
Appalachian State Mountaineers45.023.5Boxscore
@ Southern Miss Golden Eagles55.025.9 
Louisville Cardinals93.128.5Boxscore
@ FIU Golden Panthers 6.910.7 
Southern Utah Thunderbirds 5.0 7.3Boxscore
@ Fresno State Bulldogs95.044.7 
Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns37.124.3Boxscore
@ Boise State Broncos62.929.2 
Florida Atlantic Owls41.623.5Boxscore
@ Wyoming Cowboys58.426.0 
Georgia Southern Eagles38.623.6Boxscore
@ South Alabama Jaguars61.426.9 
Utah State Aggies55.926.4Boxscore
@ Arkansas State Red Wolves44.122.4 
New Mexico Lobos56.428.4Boxscore
@ New Mexico State Aggies43.625.5 
Delaware State Hornets 5.0 6.5Boxscore
@ Temple Owls95.041.3 
Bethune-Cookman Wildcats 5.0 8.8Boxscore
@ UCF Knights95.046.2 
Miami (OH) RedHawks12.914.7Boxscore
@ Cincinnati Bearcats87.130.1 
UNLV Rebels35.622.9Boxscore
@ Houston Cougars64.426.5 
Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders43.622.4Boxscore
@ Memphis Tigers56.423.3 
Connecticut Huskies47.020.3Boxscore
@ South Florida Bulls53.021.3 
North Carolina Tar Heels61.427.2Boxscore
@ East Carolina Pirates38.624.1 
Texas A&M Aggies87.132.5Boxscore
@ SMU Mustangs12.916.8 
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Ryan Fowler is the Content Manager for WhatIfSports.com. He can be reached at rfowler@whatifsports.com.

Jake Westrich is the Digital Content Coordinator for WhatIfSports.com. He can be reached at jwestrich@whatifsports.com.

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