2014 NFL Week 4 Picks and Predictions From WhatIfSports.com image

2014 NFL Week 4 Picks and Predictions

NFL Week 4 box scores and stats included

WhatIfSports.com
September 23, 2014

Each Tuesday, WhatIfSports.com's NFL simulation engine will provide you with predictions, box scores and statistics for every NFL game that week. The NFL simulation engine generates detailed information including the home team's chances of winning (Home Win %), average score and comprehensive box score link. If you want to share your new found NFL knowledge with friends and family, make sure to check out our NFL Widgets on the WhatIf To Go page or click on the social networking share bar located at the top and bottom of the article.

The statistical inputs to the thousands of NFL games simulated are based on rigorous analysis of each team's roster, depth chart and statistically based player ranking. Roster modifications have been made for injuries and suspensions and those players are not part of their team's game simulation.

To account for injuries and roster moves announced late in the week, we will be re-simulating some games on Thursdays throughout the 2014 NFL season.

Check out our 2014 NFL Season-to-Date page to follow our accuracy week-to-week and find Locks and Upsets of the Week.

Gridiron Dynasty - College Football Game

Game of the Week: Packers at Bears

Any conversation regarding the NFL's best rivalries starts with the tug-of-war between the Green Bay Packers and Chicago Bears. This Midwestern matchup has been contested 188 times, a league record, with a ridiculously close 93-89-6 series mark in favor of the Bears.

However, the Packers hold the upper hand as of late, winning seven of the past eight matchups, including an instant classic last winter, highlighted by a last-minute touchdown pass from Aaron Rodgers to Randall Cobb in the season finale. The win vaulted the Cheeseheads to a division title while keeping the Monsters of the Midway out of the postseason. With revenge on their mind, the Bears welcome the Packers to the Windy City, serving as our WhatIfSports.com Game of the Week.

The Packers are viewed as one of the league's most explosive offenses. Through three weeks, it's a disposition rooted in the past rather than the present, as the club ranks 28th in total offense and averages just 18 points per outing (third-worst in the conference). Although Rodgers hasn't posted his historical eye-popping numbers, he hasn't been bad, either, finding the end zone five times versus one pick.

The process of elimination would seemingly put the spotlight on the running game, an assumption proved correct by the box scores. Eddie Lacy and the backfield have produced little of note on the ground, averaging a feeble 3.6 yards per carry. Worse, the group has more turnovers than touchdowns.

In their defense, the Packers faced a brutal slate of defenses in the opening weeks. Moreover, the defense, while far from stout, has maintained a semblance of dependability. The schedule eases up for Rodgers and company, meaning the forecast remains bright for the Lambeau faithful.

The sky is also sunny for Marc Trestman's Bears. After a heartbreaking overtime loss in the season opener, Chicago has bounced back in stellar fashion, notching road Ws in San Francisco and New York. The offense has been sound, averaging 25 points per game. More importantly, Jay Cutler seems to be on the precipice of a mid-career rejuvenation. Against a trio of tough resistances, Cutler has racked up eight scores versus two interceptions, quite the feat given No. 1 target Brandon Marshall is nowhere near full health. Once Matt Forte finds his footing (3.2 yards per carry), the Bears may boast the conference's most well-rounded attack.

Alas, all is not well in Soldier Field. Perennially flaunting a nightmarish defense, Chicago's D was anything but last year, conceding a league-high 161.4 rushing yards per game. The early returns from 2014 (144.7 yards per contest) illustrate this problem has not been alleviated. Also in disheartening news, the Bears lost All-Pro corner Charles Tillman to a season-ending triceps injury. The secondary has been energized by rookie Kyle Fuller, who leads the NFL with three interceptions, and the front seven is slightly better than last fall's turnstile performance. Nevertheless, for the Bears to be a title contender, the defense will need to raise its collective fight.

So who wins this Black-and-Blue battle? According to the award-winning WhatIfSports.com football simulation engine, the Packers come out on top 54.9 percent of the time by an average score of 25-24. For the rest of this week's scores, check below:

NFL Week 4 Predictions
MatchupWin %Avg. Score
Jacksonville Jaguars13.619Boxscore
@ San Diego Chargers86.434Simulate Game
Tampa Bay Buccaneers24.920Boxscore
@ Pittsburgh Steelers75.130Simulate Game
Carolina Panthers35.018Boxscore
@ Baltimore Ravens65.022Simulate Game
Tennessee Titans39.121Boxscore
@ Indianapolis Colts60.924Simulate Game
New York Giants46.323Boxscore
@ Washington Redskins53.724Simulate Game
Buffalo Bills49.221Boxscore
@ Houston Texans50.822Simulate Game
Green Bay Packers54.925Boxscore
@ Chicago Bears45.124Simulate Game
Detroit Lions56.022Boxscore
@ New York Jets44.020Simulate Game
New Orleans Saints56.527Boxscore
@ Dallas Cowboys43.524Simulate Game
Philadelphia Eagles59.924Boxscore
@ San Francisco 49ers40.121Simulate Game
New England Patriots72.825Boxscore
@ Kansas City Chiefs27.218Simulate Game
Miami Dolphins74.226Boxscore
@ Oakland Raiders25.818Simulate Game
Atlanta Falcons75.127Boxscore
@ Minnesota Vikings24.920Simulate Game

Joel Beall is the Assistant Content Manager for WhatIfSports.com. He can be reached at jbeall@whatifsports.com.

Jake Westrich is the Digital Content Coordinator for WhatIfSports.com. He can be reached at jwestrich@whatifsports.com.

Gridiron Dynasty

Coach, recruit and run your own college football program.

Every DIA, DIAA, DII & DIII College Awaits


SimLeague Baseball

Compete in a full season with your dream team from MLB past and present. Lineups, player settings, trades, prizes and more.

Try It For Free


Hardball Dynasty

Run your own baseball franchise in this in-depth, multi-player baseball game.

Try It at a Discount

What is WhatIfSports?

WhatIfSports.com is a sports simulation and online gaming site providing free content and unique games for the MLB, NBA, NFL, NHL, NCAA sports and more.

Join WhatIfSports.com today to get these members only benefits:

  • Create your own Dream Team
  • Save your favorite SimMatchup results
  • Play a FREE SimLeague trial season
  • Start playing a Dynasty game
  • Manage baseball games LIVE
  • Access to SiteMail
  • Post in our Forums
  • Build a Buddy list to easily invite friends
  • Use our online Customer Service
  • Earn game credits by using our Referral & Affiliate program

Terms of Use Customer Support Privacy Statement Advertising Choices

Popular on WhatIfSports site: Baseball Simulation | College Basketball Game | College Football Game | Online Baseball Game | Hockey Simulation | NFL Picks | College Football Picks | Sports Games

© 1999-2014 WhatIfSports.com, Inc. All rights reserved. WhatIfSports is a trademark of WhatIfSports.com, Inc. SimLeague, SimMatchup and iSimNow are trademarks or registered trademarks of Electronic Arts, Inc. Used under license. The names of actual companies and products mentioned herein may be the trademarks of their respective owners.