The bracket represents the most likely outcome, where the team with the highest likelihood of advancing is moved on to the next round. Numbers in the table reflect the chance of a team making it to that round.

Final Four/Round 1

Final Four

Louisville
UConn
Pitt
UNC

Championship

UConn
UNC

Champion

UNC
Seed/Team Field of 32 Sweet 16 Elite 8 Final 4 Champ. Game Championship
1 UNC
98.5% 84.6% 60.8% 42.1% 28.8% 21.6%
1 Pitt
96.9% 80.5% 63.0% 46.5% 25.3% 17.3%
1 UConn
97.1% 73.7% 59.9% 42.6% 28.8% 14.3%
2 Memphis
90.6% 72.1% 51.1% 25.7% 15.5% 7.1%
2 Oklahoma
96.5% 65.3% 43.0% 21.5% 12.0% 5.9%
1 Louisville
93.3% 68.3% 43.8% 27.2% 14.6% 5.8%
3 Kansas
74.0% 52.2% 36.8% 22.0% 10.7% 5.1%
4 Gonzaga
91.8% 78.6% 31.6% 15.8% 9.0% 4.8%
3 Syracuse
91.7% 52.5% 21.3% 7.4% 3.7% 2.0%
6 UCLA
71.0% 37.4% 21.6% 10.4% 3.8% 1.7%
3 Villanova
85.8% 48.1% 27.1% 11.0% 3.4% 1.6%
2 Duke
85.1% 53.5% 27.0% 10.0% 3.8% 1.2%
4 Wake
70.2% 40.3% 19.4% 9.4% 4.4% 1.2%
6 WVU
76.3% 31.9% 19.7% 9.8% 3.6% 1.2%
8 BYU
66.7% 20.1% 11.4% 4.9% 2.7% 1.2%
6 Az. St.
69.7% 36.2% 15.2% 4.4% 2.1% 1.1%
4 Xavier
75.2% 43.1% 13.7% 7.0% 1.9% 0.9%
2 Mich. St.
66.9% 41.1% 18.4% 8.9% 2.6% 0.8%
7 Clemson
79.7% 32.8% 18.2% 5.8% 2.2% 0.8%
5 FSU
66.6% 35.0% 10.2% 4.2% 1.0% 0.6%
6 Marquette
43.4% 25.3% 9.6% 3.4% 1.2% 0.6%
11 Utah St.
56.6% 35.0% 16.6% 6.6% 3.4% 0.6%
13 Miss. St.
54.0% 30.7% 9.0% 3.6% 1.5% 0.6%
4 Wash
46.0% 26.4% 7.1% 2.6% 1.1% 0.5%
5 Purdue
74.4% 36.7% 9.6% 5.0% 2.7% 0.3%
7 BC
58.9% 29.9% 10.5% 3.3% 1.1% 0.3%
8 Ohio St.
62.2% 20.3% 10.4% 3.6% 0.7% 0.3%
7 Cal
59.8% 16.0% 6.7% 1.3% 0.6% 0.2%
10 Minn.
55.5% 25.6% 11.9% 4.3% 0.6% 0.2%
5 Utah
53.9% 25.7% 10.2% 4.9% 1.4% 0.1%
8 LSU
61.5% 11.2% 4.0% 1.6% 0.7% 0.1%
3 Missouri
59.5% 25.9% 9.0% 2.6% 0.7% 0.0%
5 Illinois
52.1% 10.6% 1.0% 0.3% 0.2% 0.0%
7 Texas
44.5% 17.7% 6.3% 1.7% 0.1% 0.0%
8 Ok. St.
58.5% 11.2% 5.7% 2.0% 0.6% 0.0%
9 Tex. A&M
33.3% 5.5% 2.1% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0%
9 Tenn.
41.5% 7.2% 3.7% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
9 Siena
37.8% 8.6% 3.0% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0%
9 Butler
38.5% 4.1% 0.9% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
10 USC
41.1% 17.5% 6.0% 1.8% 0.2% 0.0%
10 Michigan
20.3% 1.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
10 Maryland
40.2% 8.4% 2.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
11 VCU
29.0% 10.4% 4.3% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
11 Temple
30.3% 9.6% 1.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0%
11 Dayton
23.7% 4.9% 1.2% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0%
12 WKU
47.9% 7.9% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.0%
12 Wisconsin
33.4% 13.7% 2.3% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0%
12 NIU
25.6% 6.2% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
12 Arizona
46.1% 21.4% 8.2% 3.2% 0.9% 0.0%
13 Port. St.
24.8% 8.2% 1.1% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
13 Cleve. St.
29.8% 12.6% 4.0% 2.5% 0.5% 0.0%
13 Akron
8.2% 2.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
14 SFA
8.3% 1.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
14 NDSU
26.0% 11.0% 5.0% 2.0% 0.6% 0.0%
14 Cornell
40.5% 13.8% 3.4% 0.8% 0.0% 0.0%
14 American
14.2% 4.1% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0%
15 Rob. Morris
33.1% 11.5% 2.4% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
15 Morgan St.
3.5% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
15 CS-North
9.4% 3.5% 0.9% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
15 Bing.
14.9% 3.2% 0.7% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
16 Radford
1.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
16 Morehead
6.7% 2.8% 1.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
16 ETSU
3.1% 1.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
16 Chatt.
2.9% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Hoops Dynasty

Hoops Dynasty

Coach, recruit, and run your own college basketball program.

Every DI, DII & DIII College Awaits

Hardball Dynasty

Run your own baseball franchise in this in-depth, multi-player baseball game.

Try It at a Discount

What is WhatIfSports?

WhatIfSports.com is a sports simulation and online gaming site providing free content and unique games for the MLB, NBA, NFL, NHL, NCAA sports and more.

Join WhatIfSports.com today to get these members only benefits:

  • Create your own Dream Team
  • Save your favorite SimMatchup results
  • Play a FREE SimLeague trial season
  • Start playing a Dynasty game
  • Manage baseball games LIVE
  • Access to SiteMail
  • Post in our Forums
  • Build a Buddy list to easily invite friends
  • Use our online Customer Service
  • Earn game credits by using our Referral & Affiliate program
Click Here to Signup

Terms of Use Customer Support Privacy Statement

© 1999-2012 WhatIfSports.com, Inc. All rights reserved. WhatIfSports is a trademark of WhatIfSports.com, Inc. SimLeague, SimMatchup and iSimNow are trademarks or registered trademarks of Electronic Arts, Inc. Used under license. The names of actual companies and products mentioned herein may be the trademarks of their respective owners.