Heartland Conference Season 40 Preview
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Season 39 was a bit of a disappointment for the Heartland Conference. We finished 14th in conference RPI, suffered a 2-8 defeat in the Cal CAA-Heartland Challenge and had a rather lackluster post-season performance as many teams work through their rebuilds. Season 40 dawns with many coaches finally having a roster full of their own recruits and represents a chance to turn the corner and begin the climb towards the top of Knight D-II. In no particular order, here are some thoughts regarding season 40. Good Luck everyone!
Incarnate Word Cardinals (C-) San Antonio, Texas. Garmansouth7
Season 39 Prediction: 21-9. PIT semis (NT bubble burst)
Season 39 Result: 9-19, 5-11 (168 RPI)
Ok, so I was a bit over enthusiastic regarding the Cardinals last season. Another season implementing coach garmansouth’s zone and the luxury of 8 upperclassmen may mean this is the season that UtIW matures into a contender in the Heartland West. The Cardinals are a threat to score from anywhere on the court with bigs Schimmel, Scott, Denney and Collins all serious interior offensive weapons while the guard trio of Rogers, Christiansen and Bush will prevent opponents from sagging in the middle with their deadly perimeter accuracy. Not everything is a positive for the Cardinals however. The lack of overall team athleticism may hurt them against the higher echelon teams, and while the developing zone can be effective, most of garmansouth’s crew lack defensive prowess - which may keep things interesting. International freshman center and shot-blocking sensation Armand Yazzie may represent an attempt to address this, and in no time Mission City fans will be echoing the suave import’s trademark “Ciao, Y’all!”
Season 40 Prediction: 15-11[reg] (20-12[overall]) PIT semis (NT bubble burst).
Oklahoma Panhandle State Aggies (C-) Goodwell, Oklahoma. A_in_the_b
Season 39 Prediction: 14-15. PIT 1st rd
Season 39 Result: 7-20, 5-11 (208 RPI)
With another rebuilding season under his belt and a newly minted fab 5 recruiting class that represents the nations #30 class, a_in_the_b is making great strides with this perennial cellar dweller. The Aggies will look to the senior tandem of guard Charles Phillips and center Emanuel Stephens for their primary 1-2 punch and for much needed senior leadership. By tourney time the freshmen might be experienced enough to help ab win a couple games in the post season for the first time since SIMAI season 1, assuming of course that a daunting non-conference slate and the rigors of banging heads with the Heartland night in and night out leave OPSU in position to make a post-season appearance. I say book it.
Season 40 Prediction: 16-10 (17-12) NT 1st rd.
Rockhurst Hawks (C) Kansas City, Missouri. Gomiami1972
Season 39 Prediction: 18-11. PIT 2nd rd
Season 39 Result: 15-12, 10-6 (126 RPI)
Season 39 continued the Hawks improvement arc after a rough season 38 disrupted things. The bounty of that deep recruiting season is the versatile sextet of juniors that will form the heart and soul of gomiami’s squad. Lack of guard depth may be a problem against especially deep or elite squads, but I expect Rockhurst to be a much tougher out in season 40. Projected starting backcourt mates Thomas Anderson and David Medders are the offensive equals of any tandem in the league. Fellow junior center Charles “Chucky” Cheeks will prowl the interior and make any trip inside the paint an opportunity for pain as he looks to increase last season’s 1.3 blocks per game. Slightly below average defense may be an issue against higher powered offensive opponents, but look for Rockhurst to return to post-season play and secure coach gomiami’s first tourney win in KC.
Season 40 Prediction: 15-11 (18-13) PIT Semis (NT bubble burst).
St. Edward’s Hilltoppers (C-) Austin, Texas. Bradriddell
Season 39 Prediction: 15-13. PIT 1st rd
Season 39 Result: 9-18, 7-9 (227 RPI)
Season 40 marks brad’s 4th yr with the Hilltoppers. St. Edward’s returns a quartet of seniors but look for a pair of juniors, center Jason Stephens and guard Edgar Swing, to breakout and lead this team back to the post-season for the first time in 10 season. Team defense may lead to easier scoring opportunities for Hilltopper opponents, but that’s when Stephens shot-blocking will become key. I think brad is another big class away from making real noise, but expect this team to be another in the litany of improved clubs over last season.
Season 40 Prediction: 16-10 (17-12) NT 1st rd.
West Florida Argos (B) Pensacola, Florida. Bakerbarnett
Season 39 Prediction: 20-10, NT 2nd rd
Season 39 Result: 17-12, 12-4 (95 RPI) PIT 1st rd
Season 39 was a bit of a downer for bakerbarnett and his Argos. Maybe if they transposed their nickname to be the Agros like I always misread it they’d be more aggressive and win a couple more of those close games? An over-ambitious non-conference schedule cost baker a few wins last season that might have edged W Florida into the NT, and I fear this season could replicate that trend. There is a lot of youth on the club as baker works his second round of recruits into upperclassmen while continuing the upward prestige arc. Expect a pair of juniors to dominate the action in Pensacola as SF Kenneth Miller and SG Jim Evans are expected to do most of the heavy lifting this season. Look for growing pains and a tough schedule to cause problems early for the Agros - er Argos…
Season 40 Prediction: 14-12 (16-14) PIT 2nd rd.
Lincoln Blue Tigers (C+) Jefferson City, Missouri. Fast_eddie
Season 39 Prediction: none
Season 39 Result: 26-5, 13-3 (91 RPI) PIT 2nd rd
Season 39 saw fast_eddie move into the HC spot at Lincoln. Eddie enjoyed remarkable success his rookie season, but some of that credit must go to prior coach SIMAI and his prescience in recruiting a 9 man senior class for eddie to work with. Look for a tougher season this go around with so many new faces on campus. Eddie did assemble the #5 rated recruiting class, of course that achievement was perhaps assisted by his need to recruit 9 new players… either way, look for the Blue Tigers to suffer a few growing pains this season, however there is a lot of talent among these recruits, so by CT time Lincoln might be ready to make some noise. I expect the Blue Tigers to take a minor step back this season as the new regime gains experience, missing post-season play this year, but expect them to dance soon.
Season 40 Prediction: 14-12 (15-13)
North Alabama Lions (C-) Florence, Alabama. Maddog162
Season 39 Prediction: none
Season 39 Result: 8-20, 5-11 (236 RPI)
Maddog also debuted in the Heartland in season 39, and immediately began making changes necessary to bring the lions into contention. Like Lincoln, N Alabama is early in a rebuilding process that will likely require a few seasons to bear fruit. With 5 new players on this season’s roster and another year of practicing maddog’s offensive and defensive sets I expect to see lots of improvement over last season, but a couple more seasons worth of, well, seasoning may be required. Maddog’s AD did him few favors, scheduling non-conference dates against a couple of top 25 squads which should test the Lions mettle early. A post-season bid would be quite an achievement so early in the rebuilding process.
Season 40 Prediction: 6-20 (6-21)
St. Mary’s (TX) Rattlers (C+) San Antonio, Texas. Bjken3
Season 39 Prediction: 7-20
Season 39 Result: 14-13, 7-9 (169 RPI)
Season 40 will be bjken’s 3rd with the Rattlers, and will be marked by St. Mary’s featuring a lineup with 11 of 12 kids recruited by the new regime. The Rattlers have suffered some growing pains as bjken revamped the program after taking over for the departed bigred19. While there is a considerable youth movement in play, look for bjken’s 5 upperclassmen to be make the Rattlers competitive. The Battle for San Antonio between Heartland foes Incarnate Word and St. Mary’s should be riveting drama as the season unfolds. In an ironic twist look for bigred’s last remaining recruit, senior guard Jeff McCroskey to provide offensive spark to an overall speedy roster. A trip to the NT may still be a season away, but look for gains in Rattler nation this year, perhaps a PIT berth to boot.
Season 40 Prediction: 15-11, (17-13) PIT 2nd rd.
Montevallo Falcons (B-) Montevallo, Alabama. Pjbrankin
Season 39 Prediction: 7-20
Season 39 Result: 9-19, 8-8 (163 RPI)
When last we visited, khook19 was rolling through the Heartland on his way to a 16-0 campaign and an early NT flameout before bolting for the bright lights of D I. Pjbrankin enters his second season at the helm of the Falcons, and continues rebuilding them in his own image. Look for improvement over last season as the new regime’s offensive and defensive philosophies gain additional experience. Youth is the word, is the word that you heard regarding these Falcons, or should we say Eyasses… depending upon the rate of development, a PIT berth is a possibility this season, but expect seasons 41 and 42 to really show what these baby Falcons can become.
Season 40 Prediction: 13-13 (13-14)
Valdosta State Blazers (B+) Valdosta, Georgia. Dacj501
Season 39 Prediction: 23-8, NT 2nd rd
Season 39 Result: 20-10, 13-3 (49 RPI) NT 1st rd
Season 39 saw the Blazers return to the NT after falling short in season 38. Coach dacj501 has hard difficulty adjusting to rule changes implemented by the WCAA a few seasons ago that made inside scoring more difficult. The Blazers have been offensively challenged for some time as a result. The maturation of junior guards Benjamin Miller and Timothy Rutledge will begin to ease some of that pain. An ambitious non-conference schedule will either result in a nice RPI and a decent NT seed come tourney time, or a few extra losses and perhaps a trip back to the PIT Final Four.
Season 40 Prediction: 20-6, (24-7) NT 2nd rd.