1/16/2013 12:48 PM (edited)
Did anybody else have this many tight races?


60M - Won weak division by 1 game
West W-L PCT GB
Anti Ichiro Team 79-83 0.488 -
Please Let Me Score 78-84 0.481 1
No Pitch, No Catch 76-86 0.469 3
DOES FATIGUE MATTER? 54-108 0.333 25


80M
- Made it (in tough division) as wildcard by 2 games
East W-L PCT GB
- Sun Life of Pro Player Land Sharks - 94-68 0.58 -
400 SBs... Easy 92-70 0.568 2
WISC $80 Mil Prog/Reg Round 2 90-72 0.556 4
Déjà Vu part Deux 85-77 0.525 9


90M - Missed in weak division by 3 games
East W-L PCT GB
Cobb/Cicotte 05 Det 90M 78-84 0.481 -
Dawson, Driessen & 300 SBs 75-87 0.463 3
Sutton & Wills & A Bottle Of Pills 75-87 0.463 3
The Young and the Falkenbergs 74-88 0.457 4


100M - Missed division by 1 game, missed wildcard by 2 games (came down to game 162)
West W-L PCT GB
The Babe-Maris-Curtis Trifecta 85-77 0.525 -
Christy, Dazzy & Hal 84-78 0.519 1
8 Epoch Blues 84-78 0.519 1
only myself to blame here 78-84 0.481 7


110M - Won moderately weak division by 4 games, was only 2 games up with 4 to play.
East W-L PCT GB
No Defined Strategy 83-79 0.512 -
.Seward's Folly 79-83 0.488 4
Coming Up Roses 77-85 0.475 6
Prey for Reign 75-87 0.463 8


120M - This was easiest division win.
East W-L PCT GB
Balanced Steps 91-71 0.562 -
Missteps 84-78 0.519 7
(6) Step by Step 73-89 0.451 18
120 Million Steps to Mount Craptacular 70-92 0.432 21


1/16/2013 2:26 PM
I had no tight races at all, which was a surprise from the other direction. For most the season I had 3 really tight races, but two surges and a collapse meant that they resolved themselves practically by the trade deadline.
1/16/2013 2:57 PM

Ironically, my 80M team in round 1 was also in a tough division.  They won 93 games and missed the playoffs.  Needless to say, I guess I did a decent job building that roster (Progressive/Regressive theme).

1/16/2013 3:03 PM
In the 60M theme, I threw away 21 potential wins, by relying on massively fatigured mopup guys for 143 innings (they went a combined 0-21 with a 18.35 ERA).  The rest of my staff went 79-62 with a 3.02 ERA in 1302 innings.... and most of that was at 90-94%.

I was lucky to be in a weak division and luckier to not completely fall into the Fatigue Death Spiral. 
1/17/2013 6:11 PM

Four playoff teams, four first-round exits.  Three game 5 losses.  F*ck this game.

1/17/2013 10:11 PM
Posted by schwarze on 1/17/2013 6:11:00 PM (view original):

Four playoff teams, four first-round exits.  Three game 5 losses.  F*ck this game.

That's horrible; I'm really sorry. I wish there was some way to avoid these 5 game series.

I'm facing mildnhazy in 2 LCSs. And I would have faced him in a third if he hadn't lost a game 5. Those two series will go a long way to settling the WISC.
1/17/2013 10:18 PM
I'm facing you in 3 of them.  As much as you would have liked otherwise, I won that game 5.  I see you won 2 of your game 5's this evening and have put through all 4 of your teams....might as well give you the championship now.
1/18/2013 12:18 AM
I don't know how I misread that. Good luck in the 3 LCSs we will be running!
1/18/2013 12:42 AM
What happens in the 90M league could change this, but whoever comes out on top in those 3 LCSs we have should have a pretty good chance of winning the whole thing. Last year came down to a WS between the top 2 finishers, this year feels similar, except it's happening one round earlier. Should be fun.
1/18/2013 11:24 AM
Posted by brianjw on 1/17/2013 10:11:00 PM (view original):
Posted by schwarze on 1/17/2013 6:11:00 PM (view original):

Four playoff teams, four first-round exits.  Three game 5 losses.  F*ck this game.

That's horrible; I'm really sorry. I wish there was some way to avoid these 5 game series.

I'm facing mildnhazy in 2 LCSs. And I would have faced him in a third if he hadn't lost a game 5. Those two series will go a long way to settling the WISC.
Actually, I wasn't expecting huge success from my playoff teams.  Two were lucky to advance anyway.  I was hoping one of my 90-win teams would win a series or two. 

What really ticked me off happened right about the same time... I had a 108-win team in a theme league lose in round 1 to an 87-win team (3 games to 1).  This 108-win team actually underperformed during the season (the Pythagorean expected win total was 111). 
1/18/2013 11:37 AM
wow, that does suck.  at least i only had to suffer with 1 playoff team, blew 9th-inning leads in games 1 and 2.  out in 3.
1/18/2013 11:45 AM
Posted by schwarze on 1/17/2013 6:11:00 PM (view original):

Four playoff teams, four first-round exits.  Three game 5 losses.  F*ck this game.

Reminds me of my Round One playoff debacle last year...
1/18/2013 1:39 PM
0-4 in game 1 of the LCSs. Overall win probability probably down by 20-30% in one batch of games. 

For comparison, a team that gives up a TD on the opening kickoff has (according to the win prob calculator at advancednflstats.com), a 28% chance of winning. Without running the numbers, that feels like about how much the 0-4 cost me. And, psychologically, it feels like a kickoff return TD to open the game. At least they are 7 game series...
1/20/2013 1:35 PM
Congratulations mildnhazy! Unless I've miscounted (always possible) you've clinched. Really impressive performance across the board - I just couldn't match the consistency you showed.
1/20/2013 3:05 PM

Five of the six leagues are just starting the World Series.  Once the 110M gets there, I will post updated standings.

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