Here are two teams:
vs top 50 (1-7)
vs 51-100 (0-3)
vs top 50 (3-3)
vs 51-100 (1-0)
Now, I think team B is more tournament worthy but is currently 59th in the projection report. Unless we beat the #10 team in the country in the CT semifinals it is unlikely we will make the NT.
Team A was the 2nd the last team in the NT.
The only things I can think of to explain why team A is equal to or better than Team B are:
Team A is be rewarded for playing, and losing to, more good teams
Team A has no bad losses (worst RPI of team that defeated us was 90)
Team A went 13-0 vs teams with an RPI in the 100's
Team B has one bad loss (RPI 156)
Team B only played 4 games against teams with an RPI in the 100's (3-1 record)
Team B played 15 REALLY bad teams (RPI 200+)
Here are my conclusions based on the above:
Scheduling awful teams is not beneficial to making the NT.
Bad losses have an impact.
Record vs top 50 and top 100 is kinda over rated.
SOS indirectly matters ( I think games over RPI of 200 just don't count, unless you lose).
Winning games against teams with an RPI in the 100's matters