It's hard to say. You have 3 freshmen and 3 sophomores. It's more difficult for young teams to make a deep run.
You've had some close games, including a loss, vs. Sim teams. Generally, Final Four teams have dominated their Sim opponents.
On the other hand, you've defeated some good teams as well.
If the pairings go well for you, you could have a nice NT. But you could also go out in the first round