As far as the whole "clutch" argument goes, as a very early fan of Bill James ( I'm talking back in the early 1980's when his "Baseball Abstract" was first published nationally), I do appreciate that there have been many things in sports anecdotally taken for fact when they are actually based on either far too small of sample size or on an overly preconceived and biased notion. I tend to favor what the numbers say as opposed to what the overall sentiment about a subject may be (as long as the person compiling the numbers is competent and unbiased in their analysis). However, after watching sports for several decades now, I can say that, as a fan, over time you begin to recognize that there are certain players you want to have the ball with the game on the line, and other players you don't want any way involved. As an Indy sports fan, I've had the privilege of seeing some of the great clutch performers of our time. Did Reggie Miller always come through? No, he had his share of failures, but, after years and years of watching the Pacers, he was the one who I wanted to have the ball at the end of a tight game. Peyton Manning is an interesting dichotomy on this topic. Some of his late game heroics of pulling victories out from certain defeats are still difficult for me to believe. You can't tell me he isn't one of the great clutch performers of all time. In the regular season that is. Come playoff time, Manning has been underwhelming at best. The one Super Bowl he has to his credit is a result of a defense that jelled at the right time and dominated opponets even as Peyton and the Colts' offense sputtered though the playoffs.
Not sure what light this may cast on the relevance of the clutch rating topic (probably none Lol). I do know that I've characterized some of my HD players as not very good clutch players based on (what seem to be) consistently poor performances in big games, even though the sample size is very small. Is that a result of their ratings actually not being conducive to that kind of match-up against a quality opponent, or just the randomness that is inherent to this kind of game? Don't really have the time to sort it out, so, unless Bill James takes an interest in HD, it might forever remain a mystery.
12/15/2014 10:56 PM (edited)